BTRWx Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 WSW issued by LWX Has D.C. even had one yet this season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gordonheimer Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Wow! I am new to this stuff and I cant believe I just watched the storm go form a decent hit down here to jog all the way north! Are the models always that bad a few days out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Total Precip for DCA anybody? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Total Precip for DCA anybody? It is stuck at Hr 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Wow! I am new to this stuff and I cant believe I just watched the storm go form a decent hit down here to jog all the way north! Are the models always that bad a few days out? sadly yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Wow! I am new to this stuff and I cant believe I just watched the storm go form a decent hit down here to jog all the way north! Are the models always that bad a few days out? Before making conclusions of whether there's a trend, check other guidance first for the same run. GFS still to come Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McQuackleton Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 DC approaching 8" by 09z TUES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Better in MD through 39HR than 12Z through 45HR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 DC approaching 8" by 09z TUES 20:1 ratios? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 nasty cut off on the NAM that's not on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 It's not so bad for D.C. proper http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015021518&time=24&var=ASNOWI&hour=039 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Northern MD and Southern PA do better on NAM. Almost time to lock it up? EDIT:It's really about the same as 12z, not better, not worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 That is one odd E-W line on both the northern and southern end. Sharp cutoffs in both places. But I think the northern extent is better than 12Z, for the people there (N MD, etc.)? Wonder if the abrupt southern cutoff, e.g., at the KY/TN line, is where freezing precip begins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 nasty cut off on the NAM that's not on the Euro It is a fine run but the nasty cutoff is there at 42 hrs. http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015021518&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=042 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McQuackleton Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 nasty cut off on the NAM that's not on the Euro I updated the map.. cut off moved a little north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 20:1 ratios? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 It's not so bad for D.C. proper http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015021518&time=24&var=ASNOWI&hour=039 Northern Maryland does well too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Solid run. Northern neck just got nam'd. If it were 25-50 further north everyone would be jumping for joy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 It's not so bad for D.C. proper http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015021518&time=24&var=ASNOWI&hour=039 It's not bad for anyone... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 45 jackpots Phin http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015021518&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=045 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McQuackleton Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Looks like all of them are locked into something 6+ for everyone. I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 At 45, DC is at about .45 QPF so 8 inches it probably isn't. Still good though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Decent run. Hopefully RGEM is more north with the heaviest qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 45 jackpots Phin http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015021518&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=045 Sorry for the silly question because I cannot recall...that assumes 10:1 ratio? And yes, funny dot of higher amounts near northeast MD! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Nam qpf looks like around 0.45 or so for DC. So verbatim about 6". Getting back on the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Sorry for the silly question because I cannot recall...that assumes 10:1 ratio? And yes, funny dot of higher amounts near northeast MD! Yes. Edit: oops apparently they do i was not aware of that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 At 45, DC is at about .45 QPF so 8 inches it probably isn't. Still good though. IWM factors in ratios, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TL97 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Sorry for the silly question because I cannot recall...that assumes 10:1 ratio? And yes, funny dot of higher amounts near northeast MD! Instantweather maps factors in ratios, it seems to be 14-15:1 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 It's not bad for anyone... I'm concerned of the total swath being only close to the width of VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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