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The Valentine's Day Massacre Obs--A snow job or does it only blow?


moneypitmike

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30.5/27 - Heavy Snow.  Very light SW wind - around 3 to 5mph.

 

Visibility between 1/4 and 1/8 mile.   Very impressive.

 

Temp is rock steady and snow consistency is pretty wet.  Sticking to trees and pines are starting to get weighed down.  I hope the consistency changes before the winds start. 

 

2"

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The best part about this epic stretch of snow fall for me has been the lack of melting in between events...so we just keep building and building until your at the point of needing cavern like paths to get to the wood pile, oil fill spout, shed, etc... Swings or anything else hanging out in the yard no longer under their own weight due to being held up by the depth of the snow. Just total landscape transformation. Good stuff!

Snowing at a decent rate for most of the afternoon but small flakes.

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typically in these situations .. as the mid levels begin to close off, the radar returns start backing SE then E.. 

 

It's weird that some of the runs, like the NAM, want to cut off the hose (so to speak) while that is happening, then tries reignite QPF only when the flow is NE.  

 

That whole dry/lulling is weird.  Not saying it won't happen, but it's rarer to do so.  Yet that NAVGEM with it's hammering TROWALy look...  By the way, that arctic boundary coming through the cordillera has been thundering...  

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typically in these situations .. as the mid levels begin to close off, the radar returns start backing SE then E.. 

 

It's weird that some of the runs, like the NAM, want to cut off the hose (so to speak) while that is happening, then tries reignite QPF only when the flow is NE.  

 

That whole dry/lulling is weird.  Not saying it won't happen, but it's rarer to do so.  Yet that NAVGEM with it's hammering TROWALy look...  By the way, that arctic boundary coming through the cordillera has been thundering...  

What do you make of the NAVGEM?

Odd that it hasn't corrected this late in the game...

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typically in these situations .. as the mid levels begin to close off, the radar returns start backing SE then E.. 

 

It's weird that some of the runs, like the NAM, want to cut off the hose (so to speak) while that is happening, then tries reignite QPF only when the flow is NE.  

 

That whole dry/lulling is weird.  Not saying it won't happen, but it's rarer to do so.  Yet that NAVGEM with it's hammering TROWALy look...  By the way, that arctic boundary coming through the cordillera has been thundering...  

Yeah, that squall is impressive. Lots of ad hoc reports of visibilities below 50 feet and lightning.

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What do you make of the NAVGEM?

Odd that it hasn't corrected this late in the game...

Does NAVGEM have a QPF bias (I know it has a SE bias)

 

the big visible difference I see on it's charts is the "tightness" of the 7H low which Will said would be "extremely critical" to develop inflow necessary to increase precip, so that is pretty much the key to NAVGEM's solution IMO

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