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My Feb 13th outlook


usedtobe

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Today, I wrote another 2 week outlook for CWG. The main story remains the cold and that the pattern keeps a colder than normal look through the period. I also discuss the Tuesday_Wednesday threat which looks more likely to have a suppressed track than an ideal one for snow but we're still far enough out in time it would be foolish to dismiss the possibility of the storm tracking north of where the bulk of the operational runs have it. While more 12Z GEFS members had a suppressed track than not, there were still quite a few that did forecast a decent snowstorm. I'll leave the absolutes about the storm to the heroes. I'm not that good. After writing the article and the above comment on my Facebook page,  the 18Z GFS came in. 

 

 

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2015/02/13/relentless-cold-pattern-next-two-weeks-while-next-weeks-snow-threat-is-highly-uncertain/

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