rochesterdave Posted March 24, 2015 Share Posted March 24, 2015 I was sure all the variables were pointing towards one last storm. But I've completely lost faith. I think this winter is just gonna coldly limp out. It was a good run. Still, with all the 'stars aligning' for the last two or three weeks, I'm amazed we couldn't pull a phase thing! Sad. See Ya all next winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted March 24, 2015 Share Posted March 24, 2015 1F here this morning. Please just make it stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coh Posted March 24, 2015 Share Posted March 24, 2015 1F here this morning. Please just make it stop. I'm with ya! 12 F here this morning, hi's only in the 20s the last 2 days, another cold blast this weekend and then more cold shots thereafter into April. Not sure we've seen the last of the snow either...long range GFS gives us a couple of potential events. Enough! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted March 24, 2015 Share Posted March 24, 2015 18Z NAM shows rain to heavy, wet snow Thursday night and early Friday. Trying to go back to decent wave development. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 26, 2015 Share Posted March 26, 2015 This weather is terrible. Looks to be cold and nasty right up until my trip on the 17th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coh Posted March 26, 2015 Share Posted March 26, 2015 Rain already starting to mix with giant snow flakes, not even 11 am yet. Should be an interesting afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted March 26, 2015 Share Posted March 26, 2015 Ground covered within 20 minutes. Huge flakes at North Campus. See how long this keeps up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coh Posted March 26, 2015 Share Posted March 26, 2015 Yep, grassy areas already covered here. That didn't take long! Fat wet flakes pouring straight down. Spring in Rochester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted March 26, 2015 Share Posted March 26, 2015 Really coming down here in Lackawanna. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted March 26, 2015 Share Posted March 26, 2015 Roads becoming snow covered. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 26, 2015 Share Posted March 26, 2015 A nice rain and 38F here in Oswego. We'll see if we can manage to drop below freezing and see snow. I have my doubts but I've been wrong before. EDIT: Already some huge flakes mixed in and 37F. Only the bottom 75mb or so of the column needs to cool down so we should manage more flakes through the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 26, 2015 Share Posted March 26, 2015 Some snow mixing with rain north of syracuse. I thought it was going to be near 50 and rain per local and NWS forecasts over past two days...wasn't paying close attn. Interesting we may now get a couple inches of snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 26, 2015 Author Share Posted March 26, 2015 A few really wet flakes mixing in up here on the SU hill...nasty raw out there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coh Posted March 26, 2015 Share Posted March 26, 2015 Looks like almost 2" on grassy areas here. Air temp still above freezing at 34.3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted March 26, 2015 Share Posted March 26, 2015 Holy huge snowflakes batman... half dollar size flakes lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coh Posted March 26, 2015 Share Posted March 26, 2015 Excitement over (for now), back over to light rain with occasional snow mixed in, 36 deg. Little less than 2" some of which has already melted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 27, 2015 Share Posted March 27, 2015 Well looks like the precip ran out before enough cold air worked in here. Maybe an hour of light wet snow, no accum. Back to waiting for Spring...oh I forgot, it's here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 27, 2015 Share Posted March 27, 2015 It's been snowing for 2 days straight here. This is getting ridiculous. It's April on Weds. I want some warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 27, 2015 Share Posted March 27, 2015 It's been snowing for 2 days straight here. This is getting ridiculous. It's April on Weds. I want some warmth!It has been a brutal stretch. I got a taste of the warmth in Florida a few weeks ago. Now I want more. Hopefully Mother Nature doesn't fool us the first day in April... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 It has been a brutal stretch. I got a taste of the warmth in Florida a few weeks ago. Now I want more. Hopefully Mother Nature doesn't fool us the first day in April... I think we have 2 more weeks of this cold...I think it may start breaking around mid month, we shall see though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 May 1st when the ice boom gets taken out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 I find that bright band of snow on the Niagara Pennisula interesting. I can't tell if that is just extra snowpack from early season LE, or if some recent lake effect occurred on a SW wind from that small swath of open water on the North Side of lake Erie. Either way, that is a pretty impressive gradient to that snowpack. There is also a fresh band of snowpack at the very south end of Lake Huron from a band that formed a few nights ago. Pretty cool stuff. May 1st when the ice boom gets taken out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 We just had thunder snow here about an hour ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 Depending on the track of the cyclone, Fri. night/Sat could get interesting for a period of time for some folks in northern/western NY. Consensus now seems to be a track from ELM to GFL, any southeastward shift would certainly increase the chances for an early April snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 Depending on the track of the cyclone, Fri. night/Sat could get interesting for a period of time for some folks in northern/western NY. Consensus now seems to be a track from ELM to GFL, any southeastward shift would certainly increase the chances for an early April snowfall. A ROBUST PACIFIC SHORTWAVE WILL MAKE ITS WAY OUT OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND CROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON FRIDAY...AND THIS WILL ENERGIZE A SFC WAVE OVER THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY IN THE PROCESS. THIS WAVE WILL CONSOLIDATE INTO A RAPIDLY DEEPENING SUB 990MB LOW WHICH WILL LIFT NORTHEAST ALONG A PRE-EXISTING BAROCLINIC ZONE FRIDAY NIGHT...TRACKING BY TO OUR SOUTH ACROSS NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA TO NEW ENGLAND BY SATURDAY MORNING. WHILE THIS WOULD BE A `WARM` TRACK FOR OUR REGION FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE EVENT...WE WOULD ALSO EXPERIENCE A SWATH OF WHAT SHOULD BE AN IMPRESSIVE DEFORMATION ZONE WHERE A SWATH OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WOULD BE POSSIBLE. WHILE THE OPERATIONAL RUNS OF THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE UNUSUALLY CLOSE WITH THE FORECAST TRACK...THE RELATING ENSEMBLE MEMBERS OF THESE PACKAGES DEPICT A FAIRLY WIDE SPREAD OF SOLUTIONS. IT CANNOT BE EMPHASIZED ENOUGH THAT A CHANGE IN THE FORECAST TRACK OF 50 MILES COULD BE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN A COLD RAIN EVENT AND A MEMORABLE SNOWFALL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coh Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 Just. Awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manhattanandcatskills Posted March 31, 2015 Share Posted March 31, 2015 I was so impressed this weekend in Andes...elev 2000ft, where we had a solid foot of densely packed and frozen snow that you could walk across without sinking even an inch. Hiked up another thousand feet where there was close to 30'. Just below us there were several patches of grass. It was a nice winter-like surprise of a weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 GFS is still pointing at something for the weekend snow-wise...let's see if it holds up. Any analysis of the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted April 3, 2015 Share Posted April 3, 2015 SREF plumes are getting more bullish. Looks like 2 events. I'm hopeful- even though I seasonally signed off a week ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted April 5, 2015 Share Posted April 5, 2015 Just had thundersnow/sleet in South Buffalo. Coming down hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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