CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 I haven't even measured outside in my BY where nothing has been touched. I would be surprised if there was less than 40" OTG, But I will do a formal measurement tomorrow as I'm convinced I'm over 3ft!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 With pics so I'm believed, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Amazing trip so far fellas. About 4-5 inches here today. Going to ebc tomorrow for u dave. Had to be 40-50" depth at the top of the hill today. 2200' elevation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 On the ground in Rochester region is just under 2'. But hey! That is a sh.t ton of snow! With all the compaction etc. We don't often do much more than this. Reading the kbuf disco, I was surprised and pleased to see them say flags may be necessary for tomorrow nights LES. They are focussing from Eastern Niagara to Western Wayne- so most of the South Shore. I still think lots of water open for business. Especially after the moderate temps today and the winds Thursday. We shall see. Any comments on the virility of this possible event? Also, I've seen comments about an inland runner in the next couple weeks, other than a couple 200 hr teases I don't see much reason for optimism. Am I missing something in the overall pattern that would suggest such a storm? Or is just climatology? WE ALWAYS get a Low to go inland in Early to mid March? And for the last few, we've had an ohio low for early April. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 I didn't mean Western Wayne. NWS is focussing fcst for LES from e. Niagara to W. Oswego county. ALL of Wayne county is included- obviously. Was there ever a south shore event where Eastern Wayn was excluded? doubt it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Amazing trip so far fellas. About 4-5 inches here today. Going to ebc tomorrow for u dave. Had to be 40-50" depth at the top of the hill today. 2200' elevation Have one for me! What a great powder day it must've been! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 As of midnight, Syracuse has passed Buffalo for the lead in the Golden Snowball Award. The 4.4 inches of snow measured at KSYR puts the seasonal total at 101.3 inches. Buffalo's total stands at 101.1. Also, this February is now the second snowiest ever at Syracuse with 54.5 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 I'm nearly convinced BUF will best Feb 1934. FWIW the mean temp for KBUF as of today is 11.5! I wonder if we can beat the consecutive 45 days below zero(32F) streak? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Well we didn't even scare freezing today, 23 currently, but it feels mild with little wind after the cold we've had recently. Managed to get most of the driveway scraped down to blacktop. The feb sun, even behind clouds, noticeably stronger than a few weeks ago and helping soften up packed snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coh Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Managed 29 here, and I worked up a pretty good sweat while removing about a ton of snow and ice from the roof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 from the shore, the lake appears to be: OPEN for Business! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 from the shore, the lake appears to be: OPEN for Business! I am actually skeptical as to whether Lake Ontario actually froze over in 1934. We look set to equal 1934 in the cold department and the lake is not frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 I am actually skeptical as to whether Lake Ontario actually froze over in 1934. We look set to equal 1934 in the cold department and the lake is not frozen. I'm wondering if the summer before was cooler than normal... I'm sure that would've helped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Sometime in the late 1800's, according to the Rochester News Paper, a group of folks set out to go from Rochester to Toronto on foot, over a frozen Lake Ontario. They didn't say if they were succesful. Some say the lake froze over in 1978-79 winter. However, I too am skeptical if it has truly frozen over in at least the 'recent' history. The ice percentages are greatly exagerated this winter to be sure. So I'm wondering if this LES event might be better or more robust than the couple of inches they are calling for. NWS BUF said in their disco that this normally would be a significant event except for the 'ice coverage' and some dry air moving in later in the event. Snowing hard in Irondequoit as I write! a combination of front and enhancement I blv. Expect better true lake effect sometime after midnite. I'll let ya all know if it fires up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 I'm wondering if the summer before was cooler than normal... I'm sure that would've helped. The summer of 1933 was apparently quite hot. December 1933 was very cold, however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 im seeing a darn good, and early response from both lake erie (surprisingly) and Ontario following the passage of the front. Now, we often get a burst of back filled snow from these fronts because alot of the fronts departing moisture is still available. We shall see if the lakes alone are capable of generating snow. I'm definitely liking what I'm seeing. 1" plus since 7pm. More than fcst for the entire nite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Pounding snow. Beautiful giant dendrites. Picked up a quick inch in under an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Have to imagine ice cover is less than 20-30%. Could be a sneaky few inches tonight through tomorrow am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Just got back from shovelling a quick 2" off of the driveway (rapidly dissapearing). Still coming down but the squall has temorarily (I hope) died down to 1/4-1/2" hr rates. visibility to 1/2 mile vs the 1/10-1/8 it was last 2 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Have to imagine ice cover is less than 20-30%. Could be a sneaky few inches tonight through tomorrow amNWS BUF said in their disco this would be a significant event if there was less ice. my premise is that there IS MUCH less ice on Ontario than has been advertised- which is what the models use in their qpf outputs. I wouldn't be surprised at all to see several more inches along the south shore from Orleans to SW Oswego county. Let the fluff commence! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 NWS BUF said in their disco this would be a significant event if there was less ice. my premise is that there IS MUCH less ice on Ontario than has been advertised- which is what the models use in their qpf outputs. I wouldn't be surprised at all to see several more inches along the south shore from Orleans to SW Oswego county. Let the fluff commence! Noticed that also. The concern appears to be significant dry air I would think. Inversion goes up to 10k feet for a while, which is pretty good and wind direction similar to the last event, not sure about shear. Also the duration will be less. I wonder whether there not a certain amount of forecast fatigue setting in also. I mean, if it snows all the time....meh... The good news is that with basically zero expectations for this episode, won't be hard to over achieve. SN+ here now all of a sudden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 KBGM thinking lake snow on 280-300 should get going closer to dawn. Expecting 1-3" "at worst"...no mention of ice coverage concern, probably just dry air, smaller flake sizes, etc. we'll see how this shakes out. KBUF not hoisting any flags at this point either. Somebody will probably score 4 or 5" overall and with ROC area already with an inch or two, might not be too hard to get there over next 24 hours...it would seem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Looks like stuff is drying up pretty good. Kinda expected that for a while. If it recharges it will be with inversion after midnite. Hope we can get a few more outta this one! kroc on the ground totals dropped to 19" today- we need a few more to get back up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Few pictures from our trip this weekend. Perfect conditions! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 For you Dave: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Is that a brewery per chance?Awesome pics! Very scenic place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Is that a brewery per chance?Awesome pics! Very scenic place. Yeah Ellicottville Brewing Company. They just remodeled and it's the best one I've ever been to. Check out their website, it is amazing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Speaking of awesome...check this guy out in Maine. And he's down from 78.5" on 2/16, LOL. Maybe he's recording seasonal snowfall? Or he spent a career reporting snow depths at ski resorts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Speaking of awesome...check this guy out in Maine. And he's down from 78.5" on 2/16, LOL. Maybe he's recording seasonal snowfall? Or he spent a career reporting snow depths at ski resorts? Either that or he's measuring in a drift. They definitely got more than 78.5" on the year in that location though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Check out this forecast on Mt. Washington on Monday. Monday:Mostly in the clouds w/ a slight chance of snow showers. High: Falling into the mid-30s below Wind: W shifting NW 50-70 mph increasing to 70-90 mph w/ gusts up to 100 mph Wind Chill: Falling to 85-95 below Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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