40/70 Benchmark Posted February 15, 2015 Author Share Posted February 15, 2015 Well I'm not convinced they miss yet...but some runs are keying on almost a westward redevelopment of the ML centers that tucks SE of the Cape...so we're in a decent spot for it for a few hours as it deepens while ME is too far north in a sucker hole between the ML centers to our SE and the other area of forcing over by Nova Scotia... At any rate, it's not an easy forecast, but I still think there's surprises with this one. My forecast has been 8-12" for ORH-east...so we'll see how it works out in the end. What a nightmare this one has been. Is this one of the worst for you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 15, 2015 Author Share Posted February 15, 2015 Does it not look like the snow in ne mass, nh and s me is starting to pivot or rotate back a bit? I've been secretly watching and hoping for that...I think the back edge slips through here, but not too far ne, I think it halts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I've been secretly watching and hoping for that...I think the back edge slips through here, but not too far ne, I think it halts.i think it stalls over rockingham county for a brief time and comes back south. Huge spike in TT as it does to on the nam (at least the 18z version had high instability) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 This storm has been a pain, but it never had the true blockbuster look, at least for Boston. I still think 8-12 is reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 i think it stalls over rockingham county for a brief time and comes back south. Huge spike in TT as it does to on the nam (at least the 18z version had high instability) The pattern says you will get more snow. Enjoy. any word on the RGEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 What a nightmare this one has been. Is this one of the worst for you? I'm not sure I'd call it the "Worst"...the forecast has been kind of a disaster on the modeling. Most of them totally gagged on the WAA stuff until maybe the last second this morning when it was obvious that eastern areas were in a good spot for it. The development of the ML centers and ULL has been a big issue too obviously. But if we get that tuck SE of the Cape...there's gonna be some pretty impressive bands tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I've been secretly watching and hoping for that...I think the back edge slips through here, but not too far ne, I think it halts. I'm glad I'm not the only one seeing it. Thought it was my weenie glasses, but I think it could help me a lot. Drove up 93 today from Logan. Awesome around you man! Talk about a deep deep epic drive today. New England IS winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 This storm has been a pain, but it never had the true blockbuster look, at least for Boston. I still think 8-12 is reasonable. Looking at radar and using my map reading non-skills, I have pretty strong doubts we'll verify warning amounts out here (3.5 so far). As such, the snow is an underperformer. I hope the wind's not one. Off to bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 The pattern says you will get more snow. Enjoy. any word on the RGEM? Our Kennebunkport friend gets crushed. Not bad here too through sunrise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Our Kennebunkport friend gets crushed. Not bad here too through sunrise. Enjoy that. Does it drop anything out west? I know we're not supposed to ask mby questions in this thread, but I've taken the cliff dive onto the rocks at this point in the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Enjoy that. Does it drop anything out west? I know we're not supposed to ask mby questions in this thread, but I've taken the cliff dive onto the rocks at this point in the winter. A little bit...not much.It croaks E MA around sunrise. 0.50" QPF in 3hrs for Cape Ann. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 A little bit...not much. It croaks E MA around sunrise. 0.50" QPF in 3hrs for Cape Ann. Yowza! Have a good night all--enjoy the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 The pattern says you will get more snow. Enjoy. any word on the RGEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Not expecting that much with the wrap around this far west. Maybe 1-1.5. Total will probably be 4- 4.5 A nice refresher if nothing else. Congrats again Eastern New England you guys have been the stars of the show this winter. Edit: RGEM says I get a dusting on the backside lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Euro already busted here for snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 A little bit...not much. It croaks E MA around sunrise. 0.50" QPF in 3hrs for Cape Ann. is that a norlun over us on the rgem? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Glad no one was riding it.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Interesting infrared sat loops, can"t see how that is not good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 A little bit...not much. It croaks E MA around sunrise. 0.50" QPF in 3hrs for Cape Ann. Hopefully our friend from NC won't sleep through it there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Our Kennebunkport friend gets crushed. Not bad here too through sunrise. Coastal York county will get 18+ out of this. Just up the road here, maybe 4 or 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Looking at radar and using my map reading non-skills, I have pretty strong doubts we'll verify warning amounts out here (3.5 so far). As such, the snow is an underperformer. I hope the wind's not one. Off to bed. I think 3.5" might be conservative up there. I measured 3.5"-4" around 9:30pm. Just flurries now. We'll see how things build through E NY tonight. Hoping for 2-3" more tomorrow. Wind is usually not a big factor here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 wonder if that WAA snows juices up that insane band that has been sitting over Cape Elizabeth for about 5 hours and dumping S+ the whole time. What a cut off from Cape Elizabeth area to N Portland. Have been watching the radar all evening there. There is Your "JP" folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 4km NAM and 00z RGEM looked real nice for eastern MA tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Coastal York county will get 18+ out of this. Just up the road here, maybe 4 or 5.Crazy cutoff north of PWM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RikC Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 is that a norlun over us on the rgem? Tim Kelley covers this NORLUN in depth... http://surfskiweather.us/a-little-help-from-a-friend-boston-blizzard-feb-14-2015/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Up to 17 in kittery now...over 12 in saco Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Rpm is still a hellacious death band into bos tomorrow am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Up to 17 in kittery now...over 12 in sacoJesus. Tomorrow would be a good day for me to suffer through outlet shopping... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 RGEM really likes eastern ma 4-10am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Jesus. Tomorrow would be a good day for me to suffer through outlet shopping... Stuff is like 30-40:1. Guy says he's never seen anything like it (the rates). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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