JMPhysicsTeacher Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 If the low was that far south, wouldn't it shift farther east as well??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Will..where do you think the inv trough sets up tonight? And mesobands? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kmcfarland99 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Can someone look at the 22Z RAP and explain what it's doing between hour 16 and 18. It appears to me the low deepens and reforms closer to the cape, after being further north. Is this a reliable model. Thanks Take a look at the GYX AFD, maybe it is related? http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=GYX&issuedby=GYX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 ONE WILDCARD LATE TONIGHT AND SUN MORNING IS POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTIVE BANDS OF VERYHEAVY SNOW TO DEVELOP IN THE COMMA HEAD AS MID LEVEL LAPSE RATESDECREASE TO 8-9 C/KM. THIS IS REALLY IMPRESSIVE CONVECTIVEINSTABILITY. THERE IS NO WAY OF KNOWING WHERE THESE BANDS MAYDEVELOP SIMILAR TO FORECASTING LOCATION OF SUMMERTIME CONVECTIONBUT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE LOCALIZED 3-4"/HOUR SNOWFALLRATES AND THUNDERSNOW UNDER ONE OF THESE BANDS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 This system is verifying stronger than the GFS had it at 18z, and further southwest. At 00z, pressure at the buoy 23 mi southeast of Cape May, NJ was already 997 mb. The 18z GFS had 998 mb at 06z with the low east of central NJ. Pressures are still falling as far south as VA Beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherWilly Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I don't know about the 2nd wave later, but this first punch was stronger than expected here. Some forecasts were only calling for 4-6 inches through sunday night. We have already realized that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Couldn't drive any farther than Cape Ann. So exhausted that I actually ran off the road. Was trying to make it to Machias, but had already driven a full 24 hours. Thanks so much to each one of you who so thoughtfully shared their advice as to where I should ultimately go. Going to try to get a quick nap before the blizzard conditions arrive in the early AM. Thanks Again! Here's a screen shot of a close-up radar image highlighting my specific location. Edit: Mods...please move this post to the banter thread. I posted it in the wrong thread. So sorry! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Snowfall totals are going to verify, and perhaps be higher in some places, if radar, what has fallen, and where the low seems to be ready to explode are any indication, particularly north of BOS. A few people will get extremely lucky. The couple people clogging this thread with the nonstop overly annoying gloom and doom will say they were correct because of where the low or convective bands or *anything* actually set up, but forecast wise, it's going to be a nice storm and the BOX map from earlier this morning is going to verify. Have fun y'all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 It's all about the norlun tonight and where in SNE it sets up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spoons56 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 ONE WILDCARD LATE TONIGHT AND SUN MORNING IS POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTIVE BANDS OF VERY HEAVY SNOW TO DEVELOP IN THE COMMA HEAD AS MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES DECREASE TO 8-9 C/KM. THIS IS REALLY IMPRESSIVE CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY. THERE IS NO WAY OF KNOWING WHERE THESE BANDS MAY DEVELOP SIMILAR TO FORECASTING LOCATION OF SUMMERTIME CONVECTION BUT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE LOCALIZED 3-4"/HOUR SNOWFALL RATES AND THUNDERSNOW UNDER ONE OF THESE BANDS. Where is this from? Sounds like fun times ahead for someone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Where is this from? Sounds like fun times ahead for someone.BOX update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 BOX update Could be a random lolli of 16"+ and some crazy stories if that verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Could be a random lolli of 16"+ and some crazy stories if that verifies.Gonna be all kinds of funky crazy meso bands setting up later tonight. I was hoping Will would comment on my question about that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I think I bust on my 8" call for mby tonight let alone total storm. Wildly exceeding expectations here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 For those interested... I've moved my floater HRRR grid back over to Boston. Should be fun to watch as the storm cranks up in a hurry tonight! http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/ppapin/hrrr.php#flt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Set your alarms for 8am if you live in Boston or adj according to the 00z RPM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Set your alarms for 8am if you live in Boston or adj according to the 00z RPM Post please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Doing better than expected... snow is still steady.. must be close to 5".....maybe a tad above. -9C/16F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 9AM tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ashesj Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I'm thinking the Local Mets in RI should have kept there ft plus numbers for RI up, seeing I am approaching 6 inches of snow in Coventry RI, and this band is not moving. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 For those interested... I've moved my floater HRRR grid back over to Boston. Should be fun to watch as the storm cranks up in a hurry tonight! http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/ppapin/hrrr.php#flt nice, thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 It's all about the norlun tonight and where in SNE it sets up I'm still looking forward to tracking this, even though I'm in a tough zone. First round ended here; stars are brilliant, and temps dropped 7 degrees in 30 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonkis Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I'm thinking the Local Mets in RI should have kept there ft plus numbers for RI up, seeing I am approaching 6 inches of snow in Coventry RI, and this band is not moving. lol Looks like it's winding down rapidly. The back edge is through Westerly. Other than tomorrow's wind and bitter cold, some models are suggesting that this is the main event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 You can see the Norlun developing near BGM. The last thin reed of hope for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Set your alarms for 8am if you live in Boston or adj according to the 00z RPM Who the hell is planning on going to sleep...other than Clinch Leatherhead? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Surface low is developing over DE right now down to 998mb. This will explode later on tonight and tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Who the hell is planning on going to sleep...other than Clinch Leatherhead? Hahah and he's getting more than most on this board. It's actually perfect... Shut off overnight, get some sleep, get lucky with the CCB in Am. Perfect Vday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Perverted troft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Who the hell is planning on going to sleep...other than Clinch Leatherhead? Me. I don't lose sleep for nothin....lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ashesj Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Never trust the models, Im betting we get another six inches In Coventry with th next round later tonite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.