kmcfarland99 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 GYX discussing multiple LP points apart from the primary that might pull the primary north (if I am reading the AFD correctly). http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=GYX&issuedby=GYX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nwbostonwx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 18z RGEM rgem02141518qpf2424.gif Why can't we get that nuke, that they have over in Halifax, NS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 what? you can tell by the 0hr panel? lol Of course....just look at the differences at 18z 0h vs 6h 12z or better yet 12h 6z. Flatter up here as it's not convectively inducing a system that in turn helps to raise heights in front of it. Right away you could see it was finally going to fold em' Note the change in isobars - with the tuck NW now becoming a slide SE. The problem all along imo was convective - and that's being borne out by it vanishing after it's realizing the convective processes were a lark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 18z RGEM rgem02141518qpf2424.gif Seems like that model wants to consistently keep the backside stuff just east and offshore.. tickles eastern mass eastern most communities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 18z RGEM rgem02141518qpf2424.gif Yeesh. Better hope for ratios. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Of course....just look at the differences at 18z 0h vs 6h 12z or better yet 12h 6z. Flatter up here as it's not convectively inducing a system that in turn helps to raise heights in front of it. Right away you could see it was finally going to fold em' looks good to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 GFS may be caving... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 New RGEM has a big lull but fun from about 4am to 10 tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 GFS still with the CCB...gets it cranking pretty good still for E MA and the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 4mb stronger on the GFS 972 vs. 976 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 You must be close to my age. It was a Sunday after a quick burst of 4-6 Friday. I was 9 and out with my friends sledding. In those days, we just sledded down paved hilly roads with packed snow...miracle we survived... Anyway, I remember mothers coming out tot drag us home and when I noticed it was snowing heavily I perked up. The next morning an all out blizzard was ongoing. It was still moderate snow when my dad measured 23.5" in our yard - not much drifting in our wooded NNJ area. Nearby coops recorded 22-28". Neighbor across the street (same age as me) had just moved in a week before, shoveled off the rail-less concrete front porch resulting in snow level with the porch, stepped off the wrong side and disappeared. QPF from gfs now less than half what it had been 24 hr ago - only 0.31" for RUM, less than 1/2" at AUG. GYX suggesting 20:1 ratios inland where the wind isn't as powerful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 GFS still with the CBB...gets it cranking pretty good still for E MA and the Cape. I was gonna say.. I deleted my post saying it looked fine... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 GFS slices and dices west of ORH though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 GFS still with the CCB...gets it cranking pretty good still for E MA and the Cape. Look at how much it shifted panel for panel vs the last run. This is now 2 in a row. I'll hold my breath on the crushing blow it gives me, will wait for that to go bye bye on the 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I was gonna say.. I deleted my post saying it looked fine... Caving didn't imply a complete cave...yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 New gfs is still strong in the morning. RGEM now agrees. Qpf total for queens like me is 0.75 along the immediate east coast of massachusetts as the jack. Very disappointing for our Maine posters but strong in old Eastport....matches Boston..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Caving didn't imply a complete cave...yet. New gfs is still strong in the morning. RGEM now agrees. Qpf total for queens like me is 0.75 along the immediate east coast of massachusetts as the jack. Very disappointing for our Maine posters but strong in old Eastport....matches Boston..lol. It seems to be trending toward the general 6-12"/8-14" snowfall inside 495 we thought it would be..... Seems to be a nice consensus for tomorrow morning to be banging too in the far east on the hires. West of ORH always looked futile I thought..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 18z RGEM rgem02141518qpf2424.gif Lots of bust potential for GYX? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Look at how much it shifted panel for panel vs the last run. This is now 2 in a row. I'll hold my breath on the crushing blow it gives me, will wait for that to go bye bye on the 0z. Man..don't do that....you can't hold your breath till 10:45 tonight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Do we still get wind? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Caving didn't imply a complete cave...yet. From .8+ to .3 or .4 in six hours out in western MA and CT. It's still got one more corrective shift needed for the final solution but not terrible now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Do we still get wind? 498 dm worth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 NWS 10-14 to 6-8. That's what I went from. Basically cut in Half. Yet it's been Snowing like a Bandit since 2:30! 1.5" at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HullMA Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Lots of bust potential for GYX? huge bust potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 From .8+ to .3 or .4 in six hours out in western MA and CT. It's still got one more corrective shift needed for the final solution but not terrible now. Just to clarify, it did not have .8" in western Mass. Unless you consider anything past ORH as western Mass as many people do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 18z GFS QPF: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14, 2015 Author Share Posted February 14, 2015 Man, maybe it's just me, but almost seems like too much info these days.....once we get in close to an event, there are about 323 meso models updating every 12 minutes, so something is always going to conflict with something else. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 New BOX warning for Boston area has 8-12 inches as the total. No change to timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 It's been from the get go not about epic snow totals,don't know if some expected 14-18 in Plymouth Mass but they sure as hell are going to know they are in the teeth of a beast. 2 New so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 New BOX warning for Boston area has 8-12 inches as the total. No change to timing. The new warning for GC has not changed; still sticking with 4-8". Off to try the generator again. 13.0/10 (off a high of 13.8) SN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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