dendrite Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Brian - why are you Debbying this? It's unbelievable! This is the most remarkable synoptic setup we've ever seen. Unprecedented. It's as if the laws of physics change or something once you cross into the 499dm threshold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Guess what. It's not modeled to be sub-500dm over SNE anymore. 498dm...504dm...516dm...whoopdeedoo. It's not a huge difference.it's ? not GFS has a closed 498 contour 35 miles due south of ACK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Unprecedented ULL bringing 3-6"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spoons56 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 A bit off topic, but would make tracking these systems and these convos more interesting. Any books or other resources you guys suggest to improve my understanding (was a meteo major for 2 years, so I grasp basics). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 SREF 12hr mean snowfall with a weenie max over TOL: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 SREF 12hr mean snowfall with a weenie max over TOL: Mt Tolland and Mt Washington orographic enhancement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 it's ? not GFS has a closed 498 contour 35 miles due south of ACK Oh yeah...I can see it at 42hr with my magnifying glass. Are those historical H5 stats based off of NARR data or just 00z & 12z sounding data? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Pretty sure the GFS depicted 5h 8 h 7h heights are at the very high end of standard deviation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 nam trying to pull a gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 A bit off topic, but would make tracking these systems and these convos more interesting. Any books or other resources you guys suggest to improve my understanding (was a meteo major for 2 years, so I grasp basics).online is loaded University of Illinois Dupage Weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 The SREF plumes have risen the "average" on each successive run. BOS is right around 15" Not worth squat yet but is a trend in the useless range. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41048 240 west of Bermuda, east of the Gulf Stream NW at 20 with a 44 degree dewpoint at 8pm. Not exactly a potent source region of low level moisture tonight. Meh, good thing it's not forming tonight or that far south. Low comes off Jersey shore at 38 N? Tomm evening, I just don't see initial conditions as dry as I thought . Maybe i'm off? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Unprecedented ULL bringing 3-6"? Maybe there's a reason there's only been 1 KU with an ULL track/strength like this lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 NAM is wetter @29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Oh yeah...I can see it at 42hr with my magnifying glass. Are those historical H5 stats based off of NARR data or just 00z & 12z sounding data? I think someone just flipped through the KU book and only found one example of a sub 5000 meter closed low south of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Oh yeah...I can see it at 42hr with my magnifying glass. Are those historical H5 stats based off of NARR data or just 00z & 12z sounding data? you'll do fine Brian. Blizzard conditions at times for all, verified from Cape to Eastport coast. West Of the CT river is not in a great spot but certainly like everywhere the wind,cold are the issue. Even 3-5 will be havoc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Meh, good thing it's not forming tonight or that far south. Low comes off Jersey shore at 38 N? Tomm evening, I just don't see initial conditions as dry as I thought . Maybe i'm off? NAM has it at 39N Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spoons56 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 online is loaded University of Illinois Dupage Weather Thank you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 -2/-10 w/ 52% RH currently. Should I be worried about meager qpf/precip rates not saturating the column too quickly out here...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 A bit off topic, but would make tracking these systems and these convos more interesting. Any books or other resources you guys suggest to improve my understanding (was a meteo major for 2 years, so I grasp basics). A great site. One time set-up. Has everything, even tests....hint, hint for those amongst us. https://www.meted.ucar.edu/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 SREF 12hr mean snowfall with a weenie max over TOL: image.jpg What's that , 100" at wildcat, NH. Man I would be driving up deep into a nice little B&B at 1500' in white mtns (Deep into Jackson,NH) tomorrow at noon , if that had a chance in hell of verifying. I have been thinking that INV TROUGH is quite the Wildcat For CT/RI tomm night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I think someone just flipped through the KU book and only found one example of a sub 5000 meter closed low south of SNE. Yeah lower heights don't equate to strong ULL. Just tell the lovely folks in Norilsk Siberia. (iCAO UOOO). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 still has that hole over SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I think someone just flipped through the KU book and only found one example of a sub 5000 meter closed low south of SNE.I figured somebody whose job description is Meteorology would know. Haven't seen anyone give examples,right up Sammy Lillo s area of expertise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Yeah lower heights don't equate to strong ULL. Just tell the lovely folks in Nor'ilsk Siberia. (iCAO UOOO).they have a pond? Lousy comparison Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 nice improvement over NE MA and SE NH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Maybe there's a reason there's only been 1 KU with an ULL track/strength like this lol I don't think Brian could find 1 example of a 5H closed ULL with 500DM heights just S of KBID I haven't seen one posted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 975mb 42/68.5 @36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Nam is a giant stick in the eye. Moisture is confined to the east side of the boundary wtf out east. Like I said that be our problemo. This one is toast for huge qpf side of coastal Maine and nh and maybe under the inverted dingaling 3-6 here with good ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Nam looked better to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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