GaryS Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Halifax is no more - if that verifies. I'll have to ring up my father in law in Halifax... Former head of the Canadian Weather Service Atlantic Division for his take on this one! Of course he's partial to the Canadian..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Hires GFS jackpots SW ME. lol Well I said gfs not hires...compare the 66 vs 72 see the difference? For those hugging the snowiest solution while pounding their pumpkins to the mid levels.... I said beginning as in first step to eventually ending up like a turtle on its back. Maine will be fine, but this will end up being a .4 to .7 or so qpf deal in eastern MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Beats the damn thing going in dry, that's for sure. This,and Ekster's little ditty Model mayhem continues. If the GFS scores a coup... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 NCEP "12z gfs likely too close to the coast" Translated. No forecastso off gfso or failo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 That sounding doesn't look like an unstable 200mb layer though -- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HullMA Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Gonna be an interesting one to watch. I personally expect a plastering from the cape cod canal all the way up thru eastport Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 where is our halifax friend? he might not see grass till next winter.I'm here but a good chunk of that QPF is rain. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Well we wait until 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Why all the negativity? An off run, where have we seen the EURO and other models go sour within 48 hours. We have a Manitoba Mauler H5 low moving through the northern stream flow and amplifying south of the region, we are going to get dumped on and Cape Cod will be the secondary jackpot other than the coast of ME. Hurricane force wind gusts are coming and so is 14-18" for the Outer Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 NCEP "12z gfs likely too close to the coast" Translated. No forecastso off gfso or failo 12gfs is old news Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 That sounding doesn't look like an unstable 200mb layer though -- Put a moist adiabat from your fanny to that sounding, and it's definitely got a little CAPE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Ultimately I think the GFS moves toward other guidance at 0z. I would be shocked it if it held serve again let alone improve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 That sounding doesn't look like an unstable 200mb layer though -- It's like a dry adiabatic lapse rate above 650mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 And the 200mb layer MAULHa. I didn't even look up that high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 One thing I'll say is that with the exception of a tick back at 12z, the GFS has consistently been moving in this direction, unlike others that IIRC seemed to waiver to-and-fro. Disappointed by the RGEM bailing, but I'm heartened to see the GFS holding strong. Or, going down the ship. We'll see. 6.1/-11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Well we wait until 0z. The Boston yetti was just spotted in tears at Doyle's. He saw the 18z rgem. Of course we wait, but this one is trending steadily to a windy pedestrian event. The gfs just made a euro esque move...most would miss the negative tick it made because of some "positives" and then tonight it'll do the magic carpet ride on totals. I bet no stations verify a blizzard in MA. Maybe I'm wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DFRI Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Local tv station thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The Boston yetti was just spotted in tears at Doyle's. He saw the 18z rgem. Of course we wait, but this one is trending steadily to a windy pedestrian event. The gfs just made a euro esque move...most would miss the negative tick it made because of some "positives" and then tonight it'll do the magic carpet ride on totals. I bet no stations verify a blizzard in MA. Maybe I'm wrong I'm still waiting for the explanation on the negative tick, trying to understand what i missed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 If GFS ends up being correct or more correct here, especially after the Blizzard of 2015 mess in NYC, I seriously think the Euro's Kingship needs to be put on probation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The Boston yetti was just spotted in tears at Doyle's. He saw the 18z rgem. Of course we wait, but this one is trending steadily to a windy pedestrian event. The gfs just made a euro esque move...most would miss the negative tick it made because of some "positives" and then tonight it'll do the magic carpet ride on totals. I bet no stations verify a blizzard in MA. Maybe I'm wrong Yeah obviously red flags are thrown when you are on an island by yourself. But, even if the other guidance came west and the gfs east, it does matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthieWX Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 In Boston, for Boston: Channel 4: 12-18" Channel 5: 8-12" Channel 7: 12-18" NECN: Around a foot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 For purposes of reference, below is a list of Boston's snowiest winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 For purposes of reference, below is a list of Boston's snowiest winters. Where was BOS at by this date in 95/96? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The GFS didn't make any east moves. The mid levels actually moved west. It's probably wrong but to say it moved east towards Euro is 100% incorrect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Where was BOS at by this date in 95/96? Not where Boston is right now. There was a major storm in April Alone that accounted for a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Where was BOS at by this date in 95/96? By month: Nothing in October 4.1 in November 24.1 in December 39.8 in January 15.5 in February 16.8 in March 7.3 in April Also, interesting that 94/95 was epically bad - 14 inches total all season, sandwiched between *the* two monster years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 somethings happening here. What it is aint exactly clear. There's a model with a ton over there. Telling me i got to beware. I think it's time we stop weenies, what's that sound, everybody look what's going down.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 If GFS ends up being correct or more correct here, especially after the Blizzard of 2015 mess in NYC, I seriously think the Euro's Kingship needs to be put on probation No $hit. People bash the GFS all the time and I've only seen good results from it lately, in winter.. Look all year long, too. I think EURO only looks good cause it finesses stuff slowly, but never drops balls on a solution out over time. Typical Europeans. The Neville Chamberlain model recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Where was BOS at by this date in 95/96? 73.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 73.0" We're 6.5 ahead of that. Another thing that gives me pause is the fact that how often do you get 4 storms 12+ in a season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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