dmillz25 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 WWA in effect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 How little does the NAM have for the city? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Winter Weather adv., for NYC 3-7 ( higher amounts east). Ill take that t oth ebank http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NYZ072&warncounty=NYC061&firewxzone=NYZ072&local_place1=New%20York%20NY&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory&lat=40.7198&lon=-73.993#.VN5kPObF_ng Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 WWA for NE NJ, LHV, SW CT, NYC and Nassau County. Winter Storm Watch for Western Suffolk County and Winter Storm Warning for Eastern Suffolk County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Great job by upton! 3-7 highlighting the wind aspect hard.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Does that include Sandy? I suspect that those are the highest forecast winds since Sandy (which impacted Long Island in 2012). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Upton using the b-word for Suffolk and eastern CT for "near blizzard" conditions... RGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY343 PM EST FRI FEB 13 2015...SNOW AND STRONG WINDS FROM LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...CTZ007-008-011-012-NYZ079-081-140445-/O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0005.150214T1800Z-150215T1800Z//O.NEW.KOKX.WS.W.0004.150214T1800Z-150215T1800Z/NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-343 PM EST FRI FEB 13 2015...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM ESTSUNDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A WINTERSTORM WARNING FOR STRONG WINDS...HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWINGSNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY.THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.* LOCATIONS...SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT AND EASTERN SUFFOLK COUNTY.* HAZARD TYPES...STRONG WINDS...HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWINGSNOW...WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS.* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES.* WINDS...NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 20S.* TIMING...LIGHT SNOW DEVELOPS SATURDAY AFTERNOON...BECOMINGHEAVY AT TIMES SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...BEFORE TAPERING OFF SUNDAY AFTERNOON. CONSIDERABLE BLOWING ANDDRIFTING SNOW...WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS...IS POSSIBLELATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING AS WINDS INCREASE.* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL DUE TO SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WITHNEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. STRONG WINDS MAY DOWN POWERLINES AND TREE LIMBS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seth.P Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 So Upton is raising the snow amounts slightly, but lowering the winds as well. Makes sense from the recent trends, especially on the winds (most models I think were showing more so 50MPG as opposed to 60+ I believe?). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Uptons Updated Map.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I suspect that those are the highest forecast winds since Sandy (which impacted Long Island in 2012).Ok thanks Don. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 My point and click for NE Morris County has 3-7" with an 80% chance of heavy snow on Saturday and a 90% chance of heavy snow on Saturday night. Sustained winds on Saturday night and Sunday of 25 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Non-Updated map from Mt. Holly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Non-Updated map from Mt. Holly Even with not being updated... matches up pretty good to UPTON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter201415 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Upton increase snowfall a bit, especially in NE NJ (from 2-3" to 3-4")... totally agree with Upton 4-6 for nyc this will be a moderate snow and very windy and cold simple as that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I see no reason for this to be a WSW in NYC. A WWA, and the HWW is sufficent and the most accurate forecast thus far.winter storm warning Suffolk county, didn't pull trigger with a blizzard watching I meant to say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 So Upton is raising the snow amounts slightly, but lowering the winds as well. Makes sense from the recent trends, especially on the winds (most models I think were showing more so 50MPG as opposed to 60+ I believe?). dam I wish I had a truck that did 50 miles per gallon lol haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seth.P Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 So why doesn't the WWA, and the HWW winds match one another? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seth.P Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 dam I wish I had a truck that did 50 miles per gallon lol haha As do I. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 This is one of those cases where the winds will be stronger over NJ because the H5 low will be South of LI and the winds will be screaming out of the northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 RGEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter201415 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 This is one of those cases where the winds will be stronger over NJ because the H5 low will be South of LI and the winds will be screaming out of the northeast.any word on the rgem? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 totally agree with Upton 4-6 for nyc this will be a moderate snow and very windy and cold simple as that! Think LI forecast is good. I think NYC, NJ and Southern NYS, look high. I like widespread 2"- 4" for those areas... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 any word on the rgem? It looks dry, hard to tell with black and white maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Think LI forecast is good. I think NYC, NJ and Southern NYS, look high. I like widespread 2"- 4" for those areas...Thats what I was thinking. 4-6 for my area (Rockland)? No way, based on all the model runs that is way too high. I'd love to say otherwise but I'm being realistic here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Thats what I was thinking. 4-6 for my area (Rockland)? No way, based on all the model runs that is way too high. I'd love to say otherwise but I'm being realistic here Can you just wait for the storm to come and stop being a debbie-downer... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Winter Weather Advisory issued for my area for 3-5" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Can you just wait for the storm to come and stop being a debbie-downer...I'm being realistic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 4 to 7 point and click for Easton although models only have.25 qpf. Mayne they are accounting for a potential stronger norlun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I'd say 3-5" for most areas, obviously dependent on where the inverted trough sets up. Under that could be 6-8". Other than that, very windy and lots of drifting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I'm being realistic No your not being realistic. You keep stating I think my area will get 1-2". Ok you can think that, but you don't need to complain about what Upton thinks for your location. They have expert meteorologist, if you did not know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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