ILoveWinter Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 It's simple. The optimists are rooting for the GEM (which has far more support) and the negativos are rooting for the GFS. It's pretty simple. I'm admittedly a snow lover, so I hope the GEM wins. But I remain dumbfounded as to where people get this GFS is awesome feeling from. It was right (sort of) for the blizzard bust, but was otherwise terrible this season. It's selective memory. It was right for nyc metro NOT points further east where totals were higher than gfs had indicated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 GEFS are a good hit. Tracks the H5 low down to philly. I would toss the 12z GFS OP in the garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 EURO in 5... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 GEFS are a good hit. Tracks the H5 low down to philly. I would toss the 12z GFS OP in the garbage.What was the qpf output? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 FWIW, the 12z and 6z runs of the GFS were almost identical in terms of qpf across the region. There were no big changes on that variable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 FWIW, the 12z and 6z runs of the GFS were almost identical in terms of qpf across the region. There were no big changes on that variable. Amazingly consistent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 EURO is out to 36 already... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 What was the qpf output? The .50'' line just about makes it to NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The .50'' line just about makes it to NYC.That seems like an improvement no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Per NE thread, digs a little further south and the ULL moves off of ACY, but weaker/less organized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robPAwx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Euro is .6" for Bos, I don't know the specifics for NYC yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Looks drier than 0z if someone wants to confirm across LI.Its slow as hell on my computer but according to the red taggers in the NE forum, it's weaker and drier than 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 NYC and the coast do very well on the Euro. About .35"-.40" of precip for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The Euro dug a lot further southwest with the H5 low. I thought it was going to be a much better solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 You know you're spoiled when you've had over 70" in 3 weeks and are disappointed in getting only 6" out in SNE. I would kill for a 6" snowfall. Still say go with 2-4" and start using short term models soon they'll provide greater insight than models like the Euro or Gfs especially if an inverted trough is involved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The .50'' line just about makes it to NYC. That is very interesting... especially for the N and NE areas as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 High res total on WBX KNYC .2 and points W .3 coastal NJ and LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 NYC and the coast does very well on the Euro. About .35"-.40" of precip for NYC. WBX wrong ? KNYC showing up as .2 ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Looks like EVERY Model spits out about 0.2" - 0.4" for the NYC metro/NE NJ. 2-4" (maybe more if a local band/trof sets up)still looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 NYC and the coast do very well on the Euro. About .35"-.40" of precip for NYC. Actually decent moving in northern NJ and orange county ny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The Euro dug a lot further southwest with the H5 low. I thought it was going to be a much better solution. It's almost think the surface is not responding well the upper levels... but the INV trough is VERY well depicted on all the models for our area except GFS. If that overperforms we could do quite well.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 WBX wrong ? KNYC showing up as .2 ? SV has NYC right in the middle of the .25"-.50" shade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter201415 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I think I'm done model looking for the rest of this storm. Looks like a good 3-6 inch snow with record cold and windy af. I'll be happy with it. Nowcast inch tomorrow... see u guys than! I think this will overperform though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 High res total on WBX KNYC .2 and points W .3 coastal NJ and LIYea PBI, I just saw that too, is it .2 or .4+? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robPAwx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Kind of suprised Euro spits .35-.40 for coast and even sections of nenj, and Nnj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 2-4 inch storm in nyc metro. Take what we can get. Now onto the midweek storm and hope that hits us big Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The MDA Earthstat maps have the .25 line barely to NYC. Why the different outputs from different vendors? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 SV has NYC right in the middle of the .25"-.50" shade. ok . That was a great track . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The MDA Earthstat maps have the .25 line barely to NYC. Why the different outputs from different vendors?This just got very confusing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The Euro has 30-50kt surface wind gusts areawide on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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