jm1220 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On second thought, the snow shield seems to be making an east push somewhat, maybe it can be good for at least Staten Island... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Stop with TWC FTW crap. The 1" for NYC call was likely a mistake, since Carl Parker in the afternoon had NYC in their 1-3" swath and then upped them to 3-5" and said he thought NYC might get 5". They also had Central Jersey in 1-3" and Philly/South Jersey in <1" swaths, most of which failed badly, as I'm almost at 4" now in the Edison area and same is true for most of Middlesex/Monmouth/Mercer and Philly/South Jersey is mostly in the 2-4" range. Also, snow has buiilt back NW-ward so that we're now in light to moderate snow again and it looks like this NW to SE oriented band is moving NE towards SI/NYC - hope it makes it there.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Who's ready for Spring? ME!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Coney Island looks to get slammed within the next half hour if it keeps moving NE . Would love to be there especially with winds picking up now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcad1 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Upton cancelled the blizzard warning and put up a winter weather advisory for 3-5"!!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robPAwx Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Ground blizzard wish I could post some videos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
viking70 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I think the Mid Atlantic Forum aptly named this the Valentine's day Flizzard! At least it works for here so far. Flurries starting after a beautiful starry night so far. Wind picking up. Down to 19.3 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FreeRain Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Not the most impressive NORLUN trough by any stretch, but apparently we have one snowing itself out in parts of our area tonight. Congratulations to anybody here who stood by the possibility of it happening while most of the other people folded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Notice the HRRR runs I posted a couple hours ago above... Perfectly depicted the squall line going through nyc right now, HRRR has done really well with this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 NWS playing catch up yet again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter201415 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Notice the HRRR runs I posted a couple hours ago above... Perfectly depicted the squall line going through nyc right now, HRRR has done really well with this stormcan u check the latest one and post about it see what it depicts for that band sitting right over ant's crib? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 can u check the latest one and post about it see what it depicts for that band sitting right over ant's crib? All of NYC and points north and west are dry by 3am... Long Island is under decent snows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter201415 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 All of NYC and points north and west are dry by 3am... Long Island is under decent snowsthanks bud I guess it's time to go to sleep maybe Mother Nature suprirses me in the morning but doubt it. I'll talk to u g's tomorrow! Night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Light to mod snow right now. Winds just really picked up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 thanks bud I guess it's time to go to sleep maybe Mother Nature suprirses me in the morning but doubt it. I'll talk to u g's tomorrow! Night I don't think HRRR even had the NYC band a few hours ago. Didn't do great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Looks like its snowing itself out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I don't think HRRR even had the NYC band a few hours ago. Didn't do great. It did.. I posted 5 hrs of the HRRR around midnight, showed it perfectly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Upton's explanation of what went wrong: "A MESO HIGH PRES SYSTEM RIDGED SW BETWEEN 2 WAVES OF LOW PRES PRODUCINGLOW LVL SUBSIDENCE EARLIER THIS EVENING...WHICH COVERED MOST OF THELOCAL AREA. THIS COUNTERACTED THE FAVORABLE UPPER LVL PATTERN THATSYNOPTICALLY SHOWED MID AND UPPER LVL LIFT AS EVIDENCE OF THE IRSAT IMAGERY. " Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter201415 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Though not the snowiest event, winds are picking up that slack. There's got to be some 40mph gusts out there at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsteff Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Upton's explanation of what went wrong: "A MESO HIGH PRES SYSTEM RIDGED SW BETWEEN 2 WAVES OF LOW PRES PRODUCING LOW LVL SUBSIDENCE EARLIER THIS EVENING...WHICH COVERED MOST OF THE LOCAL AREA. THIS COUNTERACTED THE FAVORABLE UPPER LVL PATTERN THAT SYNOPTICALLY SHOWED MID AND UPPER LVL LIFT AS EVIDENCE OF THE IR SAT IMAGERY. " That's a new one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsteff Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 My Blizzard was not so bad . Half inch of snow in over 16 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Not even an inch here....didn't think it would be that bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeS Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 We might not even have an inch here either. Bust after bust around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Remarkable for boston, radar showing extremely heavy snow there and to the south! On to the potential midweek storm - I would like to say we are "due" but been burned I have thought that this year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 We didn't get the bowling ball H5 either that some models had Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Odd storm. Got 2 inches here, but mainly from the over-running WAA yesterday. Models really struggled. RGEM had the best idea yesterday though. Seems like it screwed most of Maine too after days of models showing big hits there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowblind Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 4" and still lt snow. Laurence harbor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nightknights Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 4" and still lt snow. Laurence harbor Less than an Inch here in Nutley. Bust after Bust after Bust. Frustrated I'm getting to think Putting on a blindfold and throwing darts at snow amounts on a dart board would be more accurate than what's been happening this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Well I managed to get over 4" with this but it was close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 More evidence the NAM has been VERY poor this season, even inside 24 hrs, and it's probably better to ignore it altogether. The NAM consistently showed a "snow-hole" over SNE where they are currently receiving heavy snow and 12"+ amounts. It also missed the location of the IVT up to the start of the actual event... Model performance in general was poor with this, but the NAM once again takes the cake. It was AWFUL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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