rsteff Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Upton updated maps I do believe the 6-8 live was extended west more Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robPAwx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Obviously going to be big in SNJ into CNJ : Union county is in CNJ right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Plowsman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Union county is in CNJ right?No. Even I know that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Union county is in CNJ right? Sorry, most likely the band will be from north of AC, to coastal northern Monmouth back south to Trenton. Every single one of the HRRR's runs (almost 10 now?) has the band over this area. It now gives NYC N and W around an inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robPAwx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Lol, I was just making sure. I'm not as worried as some of my other buds in nenj. I like my location atm despite the negativity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robPAwx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Sorry, most likely the band will be from north of AC, to coastal northern Monmouth back south to Trenton. Every single one of the HRRR's runs (almost 10 now?) has the band over this area. It now gives NYC N and W around an inch Dude stop worrying so much. Just watch radar, it's wish cast time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Dude stop worrying so much. Just watch radar, it's wish cast time. Lol time to pull out the classics : "the band of snow seems much further north on radar than the HRRR is calling for!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Dude stop worrying so much. Just watch radar, it's wish cast time. 24/7 http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/satellite/2km/index.php?type=VA_WV-rad-24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Lol time to pull out the classics : "the band of snow seems much further north on radar than the HRRR is calling for!" Forecasting is not just hugging some model! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stlirish Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Wow. I'm in DC this weekend and it want from 41 to snowing sideways in minutes. These bands are ridiculous. If this is a harbinger for what's to come for NYC...enjoy. Sad I'm missing it! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Forecasting is not just hugging some model! Correct. Nowcasting to me is using the radar and seeing how that model's output output compares to it...check the HRRR and compare (denying obvious model trends is often what leads us to the most disappointment anyway. A few times during the approach of our "snowstorms" I've stated this regarding the short term models especially, and have been met with criticism. All we can do is to see how it verifies. Hopefully I'm very wrong) : Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantBlizzard2003 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I would rather follow the forecast from the NWS versus someone in their grandmother's basement issuing forecast in their underwear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 The State College PA guys reported 2" in a half hour with that band. Unbelievable. You guys should have a fun night with this, enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 The State College PA guys reported 2" in a half hour with that band. Unbelievable. You guys should have a fun night with this, enjoy. Wow that is insane! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robPAwx Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Band is probably going to weaken as it passes parts of Pennsylvania. I expect it to,regenerate though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Curious to see where we go from here 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Curious to see where we go from here 0z pmsl (2).gif Well it exited well south...we just need it to strengthen and consolidate quickly... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Well it exited well south...we just need it to strengthen and consolidate quickly... Yea seriously did any of the models have the low this far south?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Yea seriously did any of the models have the low this far south??Ggem did I believe.Edit: perhaps a touch north but similar nonetheless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 The State College PA guys reported 2" in a half hour with that band. Unbelievable. You guys should have a fun night with this, enjoy. It has already weakened quite a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Yea seriously did any of the models have the low this far south?? I recall that the RGM had a low placement this far south at one point. It was called an outlier and not given much credence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Ggem did I believe. Edit: perhaps a touch north but similar nonetheless Oh ok so if it can bomb quickly we can be in for quite the surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 that squall line has gone to s*** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I don't know of many (really any) eastbound 998 lows moving off the Delmarva with passable upper air support that did not quickly generate a broad shield of precipitation up and over Long Island & New Jersey. I guess it could happen; though it would likely violate most laws regarding hydrostatics & thermodynamics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 It does appear that the HRR And rap are spot on with placement. GFS was way off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Any mets have a feeling for how things progress from here now that we have a 998 mb surface low considerably further south than originally forecasted? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcad1 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 The line is almost completely gone!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Any mets have a feeling for how things progress from here now that we have a 998 mb surface low considerably further south than originally forecasted?it all depends on how fast it intensifies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robPAwx Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 The line is almost completely gone!!!!!! It's passing Pennsvlyania lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 The line is almost completely gone!!!!!! The rap and HRR showed the collapse perfectly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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