UnionWeatherWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 18z hrrr and it's still snowing Wow NENJ gets a f u. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 18z hrrr and it's still snowingIt looks like the models are getting some consensus on where the norlun will setup. You can see it clearly on that image Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 18z hrrr and it's still snowing You guys down around Freehold might do really well with this one.....i remember last season you were the snow magnet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I still think NENJ does well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Wow nyc gets skunked on the hrr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Um new nam is a c/n nj and NYC dump....verbatim 4-8"....huge inv trof Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 new nam pretty much shows c/n nj/nyc/li wassup. i know you guys have been waiting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Chances increases c/n nj gets more than most of s ne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Snow flake size is beautiful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Yep! New nam .5+ for nyc area. Continues to skunk sne with .10+ amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Lol its radar and nowcasting...forget the models they've been all over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metro Devils Fan Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Yep! New nam .5+ for nyc area. Continues to skunk sne with .10+ amounts Map? Please Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman86 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Light snow in Clifton NJ 07011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Shore snow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 NYC gets more than Boston on the new NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 What are the chances that NYC actually gets more than Boston? Radar looks promising right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jiksports Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 What are the chances that NYC actually gets more than Boston? Radar looks promising right now. I doubt it. Latest RAP brings heaviest snow to central NJ, keeping NYC at around 0.25 inches of QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I doubt it. Latest RAP brings heaviest snow to central NJ, keeping NYC at around 0.25 inches of QPF. The RAP has been changing every hour....so in my books the RAP is almost worthless until it shows a consistent solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 20z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 20z sfc_con_3pres (2).gif So if I interpret that correct, a coastal will develop further south then progged and if it bombs fast enough.. We could end getting a decent dump?? Please confirm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 20z sfc_con_3pres (2).gif It certainly looks like it is tracking further south than original forecast. Although with every storm it seems someone is saying the same thing. Anyone else thinking it's tracking further south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 The RAP has been changing every hour....so in my books the RAP is almost worthless until it shows a consistent solution.I agree, however it has been consistently pushing the heavy snow band a little bit further south each run and obviously each run should be at least a little more accurate as well. Latest run (19z) of the HRRR actually gives 6-8" to coastal CNJ and 4-6" into PHL! NNJ 2-3" and NYC 3-4". Altogether this trend is what we actually wanted to happen, and although the NYC area might not directly be in that heavy snow band, someone within 25-50 miles of the area may be.....we're all still in the game and it's just the luck of the draw. Better than having no shot at all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Shore snow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 19z HRRR really hammers central 1/3 of NJ. Would be a 40 mile wide swath of 4 to 8 inches if correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 19z HRRR really hammers central 1/3 of NJ. Would be a 40 mile wide swath of 4 to 8 inches if correct the HRRR is a terrible model. it has dramatic changes EVERY hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Radar has really filled in nicely from NJ to Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsteff Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 The models cannot handle the dynamics in this time frame. Watch the radar, see where the Low develops and enjoy The HRRR stinks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 No way central park does better then Boston...why?? Because whoever measures the snow messes it up lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Shore snow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 the HRRR is a terrible model. it has dramatic changes EVERY hour. It has had the inverted trough over central NJ for the last 6 hours....could be wrong but it does not change dramatically every hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 HUDSON-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-338 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 2 PM ESTSUNDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS ISSUED A HIGH WINDWARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 2 PM ESTSUNDAY. THE WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.* LOCATIONS...NEW YORK CITY...PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEWJERSEY...NASSAU COUNTY.* HAZARDS...STRONG WINDS.* WINDS...NORTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAYAFTERNOON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metsfan Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 The models cannot handle the dynamics in this time frame. Watch the radar, see where the Low develops and enjoy The HRRR stinks Yeah it's time to watch the evolution of this storm, and stop looking at models. Focus on the radar and spc mesoscale analysis page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsteff Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 20z sfc_con_3pres (2).gif This is great info. Keep em coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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