MJO812 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Bout time, right? Yes but these situations can change in a hurry. Hoping for the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 This Euro run did some strange stuff, not just up here but with the system down south in 2 days, it shifted 100 miles north from its 00Z run...I don't buy the INV trof that far south with a lot of short range models showing it still over LIIf the euro is right just for arguments sake and the norlun does setup there, how bad would we get screwed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I can't believe that even at this hour we still have no clue where the norlun trough will set up They are like trying to predict where a severe convective storm will hit like Bluewave stated. They can also dump major amounts of snow so it will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 It'll be exciting and this is what makes it fun.....someone is going to get 6-8" that was expecting more like 2-4" and someone is going to get a couple inches that was expecting several. Everyone right now is in the game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Hrrr has more snow for nyc then Boston....trickey system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Hrrr has more snow for nyc then Boston....trickey system Boston may do better than some models are showing...I would feel really good right now in NYC/LI...the agreement on the trof is very strong on many of the higher res models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I was checking out some obs in the midwest, Columbus, Ohio right now has heavy snow with sustained winds of 32, gusting to 47 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Boston may do better than some models are showing...I would feel really good right now in NYC/LI...the agreement on the trof is very strong on many of the higher res models. Agree...the norlun looks to fall between Sw ct and central nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Hrrr has more snow for nyc then Boston....trickey system That's an exercise in the trend is you're friend. In this case theirs not ours.No way cpk gets more then Boston. Absolutely no way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Hrrr has more snow for nyc then Boston....trickey system That's an exercise in the trend is you're friend. In this case theirs not ours.No way cpk gets more then Boston. Absolutely no way Agree...they will rip at some point tonight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Haven't had a chance to look today, how do things look near MMU? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Hrrr has more snow for nyc then Boston....trickey system That's an exercise in the trend is you're friend. In this case theirs not ours. No way cpk gets more then Boston. Absolutely no way Trough Trough Trough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 An obs from west of the area. In Cleveland, 16 degrees with light snow and winds sustained at 28 gusting to 37. Really dynamic storm. It should be much worse when it gets in our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 An obs from west of the area. In Cleveland, 16 degrees with light snow and winds sustained at 28 gusting to 37. Really dynamic storm. It should be much worse when it gets in our area. The Appalachian mountains should rob some of it's strength. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Newest RAP is far SE and hits Monmouth NJ south and even spares most of LI, brushing ELI. Lol it's gone from terrible, to good, to terrible for the area so I'm not going to look at it for several hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 The Appalachian mountains should rob some of it's strength. Then explode off the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nygmen Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Newest RAP is far SE and hits Monmouth NJ south and even spares most of LI, brushing ELI. Lol it's gone from terrible, to good, to terrible for the area so I'm not going to look at it for several hours lol its so stresful tbh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Huge bust potential either way. I could see this ending up with a lot of snow or a little snow. What looked like a big snowstorm for SNE is not turning out like that anymore. The focus for the trough has been now around NYC.Feast or famine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 18z RAP looks good for the NYC/LI area again. 18z HRRR will follow it. We are in a good spot. Stop worrying and enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 19Z literally just came out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metsfan Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 18z sfc_con_3pres (1).gif That is an encouraging sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsteff Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 19Z literally just came out. Great info, thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 That is an encouraging sign. How does that play put compared to the models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 What do mets think of the location and intensity of these pressure changes ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metsfan Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 How does that play put compared to the models? Time will tell, but it looks like the coastal is taking shape unlike the GFS was depicting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Line of intense squalls about to enter state college Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 18z RAP looks good for the NYC/LI area again. 18z HRRR will follow it. We are in a good spot. Stop worrying and enjoy. Though I said I wouldn't look for several hours, I guess I'm a weather addict lol.....It's actually even less than the previous run(s) west of LI. NNJ 1-2", S/C coastal NJ 3-6", NYC 3-4", LI 5-9"Of course it'll change each run though.....no reason to panic yet here N and W of NYC, but it does seem to be honing in on an area around coastal S/C NJ into much of LI for some solid accumulations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 18z hrrr and it's still snowing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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