SnowGoose69 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I do wonder if the bands set up further to the SW. I remember that one year when Philly received like 8" in a Norlun, which seems unusual considering they tend to setup further N&E. I believe it was forecast to be over SNJ though in the short range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I'm thinking 6-8" where the banding really sets up. Could even be locally more than that. The high wind potential near the back edge of the snow is also very impressive with 55KT down to 950 mb at 12z over NNJ sweeping east across LI during the morning. Date: 24 hour AVN valid 12Z SUN 15 FEB 15Station: 40.41,-74.61Latitude: 40.41Longitude: -74.61-------------------------------------------------------------------------------LEV PRES HGHT TEMP DEWP RH DD WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E W mb m C C % C C deg knt K K K K g/kg------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 0 1000 -31 SFC 986 83 -8.0 -11.1 78 3.1 -8.8 312 31 266.3 266.6 265.2 270.8 1.66 2 950 367 -10.2 -13.5 76 3.4 -11.0 316 55 266.8 267.1 265.1 270.7 1.41 3 900 780 -13.8 -15.0 90 1.3 -14.0 320 65 267.3 267.5 265.3 271.0 1.32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 .5 starts in center Nassau though spotty. That has .50+ for the LHV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Snowmap shows several inches for nyc area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Short term model RAP is really hammering home the idea of a very heavy snow band moving through MD/DE and SNJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 4K NAM looks good for the city and long island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Short term model RAP is really hammering home the idea of a very heavy snow band moving through MD/DE and SNJ looks like it on the radar to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 That has .50+ for the LHV Yea liking what I see, will be able to enjoy this one in Armonk for a change. This area has see quite a bit more snow this year than the NYC area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 looks like it on the radar to. Yes this band will strengthen each frame most likely and could dump a pretty quick 2-4" for those areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nygmen Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 even though where not getting a ton of snow it feel nice to be under a blizzard warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sickman Posted February 14, 2015 Author Share Posted February 14, 2015 even though where not getting a ton of snow it feel nice to be under a blizzard warning Blizzard warning? Edit: n/m Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Steady snow already falling here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Blizzard warning? All of Suffolk is under one. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY1030 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015...BLIZZARD WARNING FOR COASTAL CONNECTICUT AND SUFFOLK COUNTYLONG ISLAND TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... ...SNOW AND STRONGWINDS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...CTZ010>012-NYZ078>081-142330-/O.CON.KOKX.BZ.W.0002.150214T2300Z-150215T1800Z/SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-1030 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO1 PM EST SUNDAY...* LOCATIONS...SUFFOLK COUNTY AND COASTAL NEW HAVEN...MIDDLESEX AND NEW LONDON COUNTIES.* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW...HIGH WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW.* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES.* WINDS...WEST 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.* TEMPERATURES...FALLING TO THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 20S TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.* TIMING...LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST SNOW AND STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS.* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH SNOW AND HIGH WINDS. WINDS MAY DOWN POWER LINES AND TREE LIMBS.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS AREEXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDSAND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUTCONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IFYOU MUST TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GETSTRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.&&$$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stlirish Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I'm in Baltimore right now under that band but nothing making it to the ground here ... Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nygmen Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Blizzard warning? yes, all of suffolk county is under one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nygmen Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Blizzard warning? yes, all of suffolk county is under one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I'm in Baltimore right now under that band but nothing making it to the ground here ... Sent from my iPhone It looks like band is developing 25 miles to the east of Baltimore and heading east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Latest 3 hour pressure change map continues to indicate the low tracking much further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Greatest pressure change centered on Mason Dixon Line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sickman Posted February 14, 2015 Author Share Posted February 14, 2015 yes, all of suffolk county is under one. Yes, I edited when I realized you meant E LI. It may be helpful to put your location in your profile, so people know where you're talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 How about jersey shore? What's potential here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Low over DCA ATM. If thats further south than progged, what will effect will that have? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Low over DCA ATM.was the low ever forecasted to be that far south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Low over DCA ATM. The low isn't in DC yet. That's where it's tracking to at the moment. That map shows change in pressure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 No...my bad. Greatest pressure change is over mason Dixon Line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 was the low ever forecasted to be that far south The RGEM had it very south on some runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Will be really interesting to watch this pan out.....The RAP can be great or it can be horrible, but right now many of us are in or near a good old RAP snow hole with southern DE cashing in nicely lol (as well as ELI) and it seems to match the radar : Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Will be really interesting to watch this pan out.....The RAP can be great or it can be horrible, but right now many of us are in or near a good old RAP snow hole with southern DE cashing in nicely lol (as well as ELI) : been consistent in showing that too.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 UKMET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 UKMET Take it to the bank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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