F5TornadoF5 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 HI-reso NAM has the Norlun setup between the reg nam and rgem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 The latest 3 hour pressure change is quite interesting. To the mostly untrained eye, it looks like the low might exit the coast further south than thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Map of 3 hour pressure change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 3:21 PM, snowman19 said: Any changes on the RAP and HRRR? HRRR says 1-2" for most around nyc metro by 12am, including LHV, 2-4 northwest of nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 3:33 PM, OrangeCountySnowZ said: HRRR says 1-2" for most around nyc metro by 12am, including LHV, 2-4 northwest of nyc talk to me in the NW zone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 3:37 PM, Animal said: talk to me in the NW zone! Is it snowing decently up there now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 3:37 PM, Zelocita Weather said: Is it snowing decently up there now? steady light snow falling. had a decent burst the past 15 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 SNJ jackpot on the RGEM (now that'd be a surprise huh? Good job noticing this SnowGoose) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 For the first time the GFS now sees the dual low structure, shows the inverted trof but generates all precip with it way up in SNe but its coming around for sure to the NAM/RGEM idea here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Goose where do you think that inv trof ends up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 It's obvious here where it sets up on the hi-res NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 3:41 PM, SnowGoose69 said: For the first time the GFS now sees the dual low structure, shows the inverted trof but generates all precip with it way up in SNe but its coming around for sure to the NAM/RGEM idea hereSo the IVT presence technically qualifies as a "low' rather than a kink, a convergence or a weaknees in the atmosphere? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 12 z gfs totals for ya Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 3:15 PM, SnowGoose69 said: Its slight SW of the NAM, a few Mets last night said they thought the NAM was placing it too far NE based on the convergence But it was that particular run. Pull up ewall to see where the convergence was this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 3:46 PM, Animal said: 12 z gfs totals for ya .50 plus for the city east it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 3:53 PM, dmillz25 said: .50 plus for the city east it looks like. Not quite, nyc is .25-.50, .5 begins around suffolk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 3:53 PM, dmillz25 said: .50 plus for the city east it looks like. Not even close. .5 starts ELI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 .5 starts in center Nassau though spotty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Per hi res maps nyc is just about 0.35-0.45 from Manhattan east. SI looks like 0.25ish-0.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Liking the radar atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 3 hour pressure change map shows a low in northern Virginia ATM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 4:05 PM, Kaner587 said: Per hi res maps nyc is just about 0.35-0.45 from Manhattan east. SI looks like 0.25ish-0.3 I'll take . 45 at JFK with ratios near 20 thank u v much. Only 24 hrs ago same model said 1-3 take it n like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 GFS moved to the more tucked in secondary low idea of the Euro near the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Oh sorry must have read that wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 All of long island will be under a blizzard warning . Wind and Vis requirements will b met. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Anyone else see that precip in VA. It is even reaching NC/VA border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 4:14 PM, PB GFI said: All of long island will be under a blizzard warning . Wind and Vis requirements will b met. GFS has L57 to 8.1 and TT's to 60 in the best banding. Going to be some nice thundersnow potential in the strongest band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 4:17 PM, bluewave said: GFS has L57 to 8.1 and TT's to 60 in the best banding. Going to be some nice thundersnow potential in the strongest band. I'm thinking 6-8" where the banding really sets up. Could even be locally more than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 On 2/14/2015 at 4:17 PM, bluewave said: GFS has L57 to 8.1 and TT's to 60 in the best banding. Going to be some nice thundersnow potential in the strongest band. Long Island is going to be under full fledged blizzard conditions later tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I do wonder if the bands set up further to the SW. I remember that one year when Philly received like 8" in a Norlun, which seems unusual considering they tend to setup further N&E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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