WidreMann Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 28 here. Gained 2 degrees in the last hour. Winds ESE.You live in the armpit of Wake County, so I expect as much there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Latest HRRR on Snowfall Accumulation (This is for Snow only, not ice accretion) Cross Country Skiing on Roan Mountain ! Image courtesy of Weatherbell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 You live in the armpit of Wake County, so I expect as much there. Ain't that the truth. I'll send some SE winds to you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 far ne ga we have freezing rain/sleet temp 29* windshield iced up on the way home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Ain't that the truth. I'll send some SE winds to you.I live in the snow armpit of Durham, so I'll get screwed in my own way. I still blame Jordan Lake and Southpoint mall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Latest HRRR on Snowfall Accumulation (This is for Snow only, not ice accretion) Image courtesy of Weatherbell Very odd for Ashe county...also Blacksburg and GSP maps do not line up whatsoever with the Mtn counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 28 here. Gained 2 degrees in the last hour. Winds ESE. 27 at PGV the DP has slid back to -8 which is just friggen ridiculous......on my porch I got 25 though, we did have a hr or so where the cloud deck thinned out a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Could you post those soundings for southeast Va/Ne NC as well. Really appreciate it. Here you go for a couple additional HRRR soundings: KRIC - Richmond, VA KRWI - Wilson, NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Not that it really matters at this point, but FWIW the UKMET looks a little further south than last night. Maybe a hair faster, as well. Compare: 12z: http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/P1_GZ_D5_PN_012_0000.gif 00z: http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/P1_GZ_D5_PN_024_0000.gif It matters because UK is juicy..almost 1" in the triangle with a solid .8" across most of area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 12z GFS is about 3.5" of snow/sleet for GSO, nice... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 12z GFS is about 3.5" of snow/sleet for GSO, nice...RDU? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 It's 24 at noon. Unless the sun comes up, we won't hit 30 for sure. Hell, GSO ticked down a degree in both air temperatures and DP from 11 AM for the noon observation. We're back down to 22/-6. Real good job, HRRR and RAP. I think I was supposed to be well above freezing by now if you go by their runs last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 RDU? 1.5" of snow/sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 RAH mid-day update... AS OF 1145 AM MONDAY...MORNING UPDATE: LITTLE CHANGE WILL BE MADE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE MAIN DIFFERENCE WILL BE AN INCREASE IN ICE ACCUMULATION AREA-WIDE...PARTICULARLY IN THE TRIANGLE. SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY PERSISTS WITH REGARD TO THE EVOLUTION OF PRECIPITATION THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT...IN PARTICULAR THE TRANSITION FROM SLEET TO FREEZING RAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN AND NW PIEDMONT BETWEEN 00-06Z TUE...LENDING BELOW AVERAGE CONFIDENCE TO FORECAST PTYPE AND ACCUMULATIONS. WITH THE ABOVE IN MIND...FURTHER CHANGES TO THE ONGOING FORECAST APPEAR UNNECESSARY AT THIS TIME. A MORE DETAILED DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGE PENDING A MORE DETAILED ANALYSIS OF ONGOING OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS. -VINCENT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Holy hell. 1-1.5" of snow... 3" of pingers? As has been mentioned, the GFS is very juicy, as well. Good agreement among the American modeling of around 1" of QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 This cold snap coming up is one we'll tell our kids about. Arctic front snow looks like it'll break out across the southern piedmont on wednesday, the NAM even gave us up to a tenth of QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 RAH mid-day update... AS OF 1145 AM MONDAY...MORNING UPDATE: LITTLE CHANGE WILL BE MADE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE MAIN DIFFERENCE WILL BE AN INCREASE IN ICE ACCUMULATION AREA-WIDE...PARTICULARLY IN THE TRIANGLE. SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY PERSISTS WITH REGARD TO THE EVOLUTION OF PRECIPITATION THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT...IN PARTICULAR THE TRANSITION FROM SLEET TO FREEZING RAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN AND NW PIEDMONT BETWEEN 00-06Z TUE...LENDING BELOW AVERAGE CONFIDENCE TO FORECAST PTYPE AND ACCUMULATIONS. WITH THE ABOVE IN MIND...FURTHER CHANGES TO THE ONGOING FORECAST APPEAR UNNECESSARY AT THIS TIME. A MORE DETAILED DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGE PENDING A MORE DETAILED ANALYSIS OF ONGOING OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS. -VINCENT Sounds like anything could happen in regards to how much snow or ice we get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Dew points are fairly impressive, going to take some time though to get precip with it so dry.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Generator time for Charlotte Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 This cold snap coming up is one we'll tell our kids about. Arctic front snow looks like it'll break out across the southern piedmont on wednesday, the NAM even gave us up to a tenth of QPF. Maybe some snow streamers off of Kerr/Gaston if the wind can get right..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Radar looks like it's starting to pop over the northern foothills and Piedmont. Seems a bit earlier than expected, albeit virga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Radar looks like it's starting to pop over the northern foothills and Piedmont. Seems a bit earlier than expected, albeit virga. Yes I'm in Elkin just started few flurries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Radar looks like it's starting to pop over the northern foothills and Piedmont. Seems a bit earlier than expected, albeit virga. Yepp moving into GSP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Radar looks like it's starting to pop over the northern foothills and Piedmont. Seems a bit earlier than expected, albeit virga. roxboro reporting flurries 20 mins ago, now looks to be under a nice snow band as precip pushes south. does seem to be popping earlier than modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raysum Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Mesoscale discussion http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/mcd0071.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Gulf is about to open up on CAD areas. someone will be without power for several days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Hell, GSO ticked down a degree in both air temperatures and DP from 11 AM for the noon observation. We're back down to 22/-6. Real good job, HRRR and RAP. I think I was supposed to be well above freezing by now if you go by their runs last night.Apparently, they don't model clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 This cold snap coming up is one we'll tell our kids about. Arctic front snow looks like it'll break out across the southern piedmont on wednesday, the NAM even gave us up to a tenth of QPF. Agreed. Single digits two nights in a row is impressive. With highs not getting above freezing two days in a row. Good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 1010 slp along the Louisiana/Mississippi border. Weak surface pressures with this overrunning event, Can we even call it a MIller B type with the organization of the slp that weak? Maybe the coastal will be 998 or so, we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Radar looks like it's starting to pop over the northern foothills and Piedmont. Seems a bit earlier than expected, albeit virga. Allan has a great radar with surface temps shown too. Has some light stuff heading your way... This is valid as of 12:40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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