deltadog03 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 uh oh...The doc is going NORTH!! EVERYONE but TN is above freezing at all levels...hmmmm...Don't really know how to take this, its not the greatest in this range, but still a big interesting possibility? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Euro much farther north through 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Yeah Euro definitely further north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 uh oh...The doc is going NORTH!! EVERYONE but TN is above freezing at all levels...hmmmm...Don't really know how to take this, its not the greatest in this range, but still a big interesting possibility? TN and NC... at least for now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Through HR60 the lead shortwave looks Stronger, pulls the SFC low a bit north. TN And Extreme NGA Maybe the Upstate and NC looks like they will do well. ZR and some SN for extreme NGA and upstate. Snow for NC an TN so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Wow at 66.. big snow for NC... looks like the NAVGEM. 850 0 line just east of I-85 from CLT to RDU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Wow at 66.. huge snow for NC... looks like the NAVGEMBeat me to it Jon! Looks great Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 The precip shield is a good 100 miles north at hr 54 compared to last night (give or take). Looks like the Euro might join the party. Better late than never, eh? Wow at 66.. big snow for NC... looks like the NAVGEM. 850 0 line just east of I-85 from CLT to RDU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Again, its the DOC, and shorter range its NOT the best model, but this is a shift and actually closer to the NAM, but warmer. DOC does have a warm bias at 2m, but IMHO I don't like that sign. This is why I said last night and this morning if you are south of TN and NC you do NOT want a stronger lead wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 The precip shield is a good 100 miles north at hr 54 compared to last night (give or take). Looks like the Euro might join the party. Better late than never, eh? It's basically an east-west swath from TN to NC and into VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 The Euro still has snow for the evening commute on Monday for Greensboro, Charlotte, etc. I usually don't get home until close to 8 PM on Mondays, so maybe I'll get out early. It's basically an east-west swath from TN to NC and into VA. Sounds UKMETish? I'm only out to hr 60 on WB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Euro is juiced! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Wow at 66.. big snow for NC... looks like the NAVGEM. 850 0 line just east of I-85 from CLT to RDU Now that is believable. That's pretty much where it sets up about 80% of the time in this type scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Snow map show 6-8 for nc mountains, 4-6 foothills into. Jackpot is central Tenn with 8-10 .. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 is the euro showing the same ice/mixing issues for nc in the 72hr-84hr timeframe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 euro is a disaster for a lot of folks in MS, alabama, ga and sc. . pretty incredible that we had a lot of the other models trend more favorable overall only to have the euro go the other way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I had a feeling Euro would catch on and move NW today...it's bias with either holding back energy or having it weaker seems to be catching up to what will happen. The euro may be the overall King but it sure does struggle beyond day 3 with these type scenarios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NGA WINTER Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 euro is a disaster for a lot of folks in MS, alabama, ga and sc. . pretty incredible that we had a lot of the other models trend more favorable overall only to have the euro go the other way. Disaster as in cold rain? Or ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 bufkit snow mean just ticked up to just over 5" for rdu, was 3" earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5statewx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Euro Stays all snow for anyone north of 40.... mostly snow but mixes to sleet/ice south of Charlotte, and turns to rain in Upstate SC into Georgia. As Dylan mentioned, wet bulb temperatures could help out temperatures initially if this solution did turn out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 euro is a disaster for a lot of folks in MS, alabama, ga and sc. . pretty incredible that we had a lot of the other models trend more favorable overall only to have the euro go the other way. Yeah, if the Euro is the right solution, it's over for the Atlanta area. Another disappointing storm. I'll have to live vicariously through out N. Carolina folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DixieBlizzard Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 euro is a disaster for a lot of folks in MS, alabama, ga and sc. . pretty incredible that we had a lot of the other models trend more favorable overall only to have the euro go the other way. Not hard for me to believe. Typical frustration living in this part of the world. I thought someone said this was the EURO's "wheelhouse". If so, it's going to be miserable and cold with rain here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Disaster as in cold rain? Or ice? cold rain. Front end snow is gone and surface temps much warmer. only north of a rome to toccoa line roughly is below freezing. it's also much drier than last nights run. Sigh just when it looked like we were finally getting a handle on things, the euro completely throws everything back in dissarray for folks south of tn and nc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 There was a notch of about 2-3" of snow just north of GSO on the 0z Euro. That same feature is present on the 12z, it's just over DC. That's how much the Euro moved. I don't even know what to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 The clown indicates probably 5-6" for GSO. I'd argue a little higher with ratios and surface temps of 21-22 degrees. Just north of GSO actually does a little better for you guys in Reidsville, etc. It is all-snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 cold rain. Front end snow is gone and surface temps much warmer. only north of a rome to toccoa line roughly is below freezing. it's also much drier than last nights run. Sigh just when it looked like we were finally getting a handle on things, the euro completely throws everything back in dissarray for folks south of tn and nc. IDK...It IS The shorter range, and the DOC doesn't do the best in this range. However, if we see the NAM stay up there, and a GFS coming close...WE have a problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Euro is all in on the front wave and nada on the back wave. Sheeze. WIll be interesting to see if eps members back it up. Right now Euro seems on an island by itself with the lack of a 2nd wave, doesnt necessarily mean it is wrong though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Not hard for me to believe. Typical frustration living in this part of the world. I thought someone said this was the EURO's "wheelhouse". If so, it's going to be miserable and cold with rain here. well I'm not ready to bite on it yet though since it's just one run. No sense in jumping off of cliffs because one run of one model doesn't look good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 12z Euro: Total QPF thru 72 hrs. Ithe 0.5" mark is running over I-40. It's all from the first wave. No 2nd wave. If this becomes a 1 wave storm, curious to see if the precip rates will bump up from here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Euro is all in on the front wave and nada on the back wave. Sheeze. WIll be interesting to see if eps members back it up. Right now Euro seems on an island by itself with the lack of a 2nd wave, doesnt necessarily mean it is wrong though. I thought we were getting close to a consensus with the GFS/GEFS/CMC/CMC-ENS and the 0z run of the Euro/EPS. But now we are back to not knowing anything. Usually the EPS at this range doesn't differ that much from it's Op. Changes were evident around 48 hours, maybe sooner. Long way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.