superjames1992 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 The surface low is tracking through central GA. No wonder. The snow/ice line is just NW of GSO at hr 93. Good run here, despite the mixing. Great run for WNC... I don't know why Big Frosty always acts like he's going to be too far NW. He's always going to get crushed. Great run for him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 This run looks crappy..hahaha Stronger with the SFC LOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Track was a little west causing temp issues for the RDU area. For this area we need a track further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 NW trend , FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 another snow to mix to rain to snow solution. need that sfc low 150 miles or so further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 This run looks crappy..hahaha Stronger with the SFC LOWMaybe crappy for you but certainly not for others, personally I'm loving the trends for the western half of NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 When I see Buddy getting excited, I start getting nervous.Hahaha yea it's looking good man I hate to see other people get screwed honestly. I lived in CT man so this is killer for me not to have a single inch thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 When I see Buddy getting excited, I start getting nervous. The other one is Frosty - he acts like he never gets snow, but he cleans house in every event we have in the forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Temps are always a concern for RDU region. Our geography causes us to be right on the line usually... Wake county is usually the diving line... half the county can see totally different weather than the other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 This is exactly what we don't want to start seeing. No way it holds all frozen from here on in for Raleigh east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bango Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 25-50 miles north of 18z isn't it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 This is a great run for the northern foothills. The 850 line barely makes it to INT during the storm, and it appears to be all-snow N/W of there. For GSO, it's heavy snow to sleet and/or ice back to snow at the end. Wilkesborodude would like this run! Wilkes County looks to be the sweet spot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 another snow to mix to rain to snow solution. need that sfc low 150 miles or so further south. Still looks good, but like Lookout said earlier, I think the GFS is coming in too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Coldest rain ever in N. GA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Maybe crappy for you but certainly not for others, personally I'm loving the trends for the western half of NC well duh you do....LMBO I don't care at this point...I don't/didn't expect anything here expect maybe when the low is pulling away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Yet again, ATL still isn't quite cold enough. This is still 2+ days out, so no need to fret. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 The other one is Frosty - he acts like he never gets snow, but he cleans house in every event we have in the forum Frosty is worse than a kid. He loves snow more than most Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Still looks good, but like Lookout said earlier, I think the GFS is coming in too warm. This is a track issue causing the temps to rise. Totally different than what Lookout was talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 The other one is Frosty - he acts like he never gets snow, but he cleans house in every event we have in the forum Yeah Big Frosty is going to get a couple good events every winter. Why did I stay up for this? I'm sure the ensembles will show a better solution, which will inevitably cave to the more amped and warmer solution of the op. Or there will be plenty of people saying why the GFS is out to lunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 0z GFS snow totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Yeah Big Frosty is going to get a couple good events every winter. Why did I stay up for this? I'm sure the ensembles will show a better solution, which will inevitably cave to the more amped and warmer solution of the op. Or there will be plenty of people saying why the GFS is out to lunch. Honestly, isn't it coming close to time to stop paying as much attention to the ensembles and putting more emphasis on the operational models? I usually hear 72 hours as the magic number. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Yeah Big Frosty is going to get a couple good events every winter. Why did I stay up for this? I'm sure the ensembles will show a better solution, which will inevitably cave to the more amped and warmer solution of the op. Or there will be plenty of people saying why the GFS is out to lunch. In Euro Op we trust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxjunkie Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 NIce run for the Mid-Atlantic. DC/NOVA/MD look like widespread 4-8 all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Will this be a 1973 Atlanta disaster ice storm?? I posted this in the Ice Storm thread as well. It was not fun at all. http://www.cnn.com/2014/02/13/us/atlanta-1973-ice-storm/ It was much much worse than this article portrays it, and he makes it look bad, lol. I hate that stuff with a passion since I had to live thru that. Hope I never see any zrain again, but climo says I will, over, and over, and over, lol. We had that little piddling storm last year, and I'm still having trees go over, or limbs falling from it, even today.... lost some good trees during that, and it was nothing compared to what Augusta got last year, and 73 was worse that that. But this isn't that storm, unless the storm gets wound up a lot and over 2 inches of rain falls at the airport Thank goodness they just don't happen like that very often. I saw another down here in the early 80's that was really bad, but probably only 1 1/2 inches of ice so it was maybe half of 73, but we had bonfires for weeks cleaning up the limbs. I lost power for 10 days with that, but only 7 or 8 in 73. Those two are all I ever want to see...I'll take cold rain over zr every time. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Warm and fuzzy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 well duh you do....LMBO I don't care at this point...I don't/didn't expect anything here expect maybe when the low is pulling away.I would love to see everyone on the board get some action...with that said, WNC is overdue for a big one. If it's not a big one I'd rather see everyone else get something because we have had several dustings this season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 This run looks like the upstate is all snow most of overnight monday night changing to a mix of sleet and possibly ZR tues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 This is a track issue causing the temps to rise. Totally different than what Lookout was talking about. 0z GFS snow totals I would gladly take that, and it is only through noon. Still think it is too warm and things will end up going a tick south. We will end up somewhere in the middle of the south trend we had before and the north trend we have now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Honestly, isn't it coming close to time to stop paying as much attention to the ensembles and putting more emphasis on the operational models? I usually hear 72 hours as the magic number. I don't think 72hrs is safe this year so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 NIce run for the Mid-Atlantic. DC/NOVA/MD look like widespread 4-8 all snow. And folks were laughing at JB for pimping the 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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