SR Airglow Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Euro is identical to the 0z run at hour 48, light snow up to BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Looks like a scraper on the euro. Maybe a hair SE of 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 They were talking about the 00z Ukie Ahhhh Gotcha Hopefully we have a way to get this closer to warning levels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Yeah Euro is pretty simlar to the 0z run in eastern areas, cut back a bit on the NW edge of the precip shield though. 2-4" for BOS-HFD-DXR and SE, C-2/1-3 northwest of there. Nice little refresher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I like the vortmax track on the Euro...if that holds and doesn't shear too much...expect perhaps a stripe of snow in the sweet spot that is higher than it shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 When I said trending towards a hit that means each run is getting better. I mean really.. After what we've seen the last month.. Do you not see that happening? We're at 2-4 or 3-6 as it stands now. I'd be willing to bet this trends better based on ensembles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 15, 2015 Author Share Posted February 15, 2015 Man you're bitter but yeah... academic or not, still the points are useful... Because should it then come west in the near term and be more likely to impact, those aspects are on the table. Just a little. If there's not a big shift tonight, Will can lock the thread back up and throw away the key. Temps rebounding a bit. 6.6/-2 (had dropped to 5.6 a couple hours ago). breezy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 15, 2015 Author Share Posted February 15, 2015 When I said trending towards a hit that means each run is getting better. I mean really.. After what we've seen the last month.. Do you not see that happening? We're at 2-4 or 3-6 as it stands now. I'd be willing to bet this trends better based on ensembles A scraper is better. To say it's trending toward a hit is like saying it's trending to Buffalo. They're both in the same direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 It's trending better and better . No reason to rule out a bigger hit . Sorry Tip.. Accept it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I'd probably lean in the 2-4 range for BOS-HFD line and SE...perhaps we could get a weenie band near the Cape or south coast of RI...C-2 NW of that. I do think that 2nd bit of energy will induce some additional inverted trough snows on Wednesday...but probably this will mostly accumulate in the NNE mountains, but maybe an inch or so down in our area. This threat look ugly. I was hoping for a plowable refresher, but.....looks like the march into the record books may slow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 It has the look of a weenie band into SE MA like Will said, Broad precip shield owing to the vortmax. Won't take much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Hopefully NYC crew can cash in on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 It has the look of a weenie band into SE MA like Will said, Broad precip shield owing to the vortmax. Won't take much. Why only there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 You can almost envision that band only making it as far west as the RI/CT border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 nothing but bad news today...I was really hoping this one would get us depth wise to 2011.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Why only there? As modeled. If it shifts west, so does the band. The model isn't showing it verbatim, but like Will said..it has that look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Based on our luck over the last 3 weeks, I'm fully expecting this to ride up the coast and stall, giving us blizzard conditions and 2.5 feet of snow in Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 You can almost envision that band only making it as far west as the RI/CT border. Yea, I hope we don't hit a "cold spell", no pun intended....I need 5.5" to catch 2005, and 25.5" for 1996. Can't stop now, man.....13" more would beat out Feb '69 for my snowiest month ever. Still a few records to snatch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Yea, I hope we don't hit a "cold spell", no pun intended....I need 5.5" to catch 2005, and 25.5" for 1996. Can't stop now, man.....13" more would beat out Feb '69 for my snowiest month ever. Still a few records to snatch. I think I'm pushing 40" this month, yet I've had like 2-3 events that have royally pissed me off. Anyways...hopefully you guys tack on a few more. At best it looks like a coating up here to coverthe roadside dirt. Maybe we can pull off some inv trough snows via the trailing vortmax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I've been talking about the hit miss hit miss pattern we have been in. The other in between events (this would qualify as one, remains to be seen if we have another credible threat after but the pattern hasn't changed) seemed to have less potential than this one so at least that's a positive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I hope we see this trend like 3-6" SE of BOS/PVD. That would be a reasonable trend. Maybe a nice 2-4" for the interior. I'd be happy with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Based on our luck over the last 3 weeks, I'm fully expecting this to ride up the coast and stall, giving us blizzard conditions and 2.5 feet of snow in Boston. For sh*ts and giggles (my favorite individual ensemble member p001 and only one showing this) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 What do you think about the IVT look for VT this week? You are better versed in Green Mountain climo than me..I'll be up at KMart. It looks like Wendesday and Wed night could be decent fluff up in the Greens. I know the central Greens aren't the same as the northern Greens...but they can act somewhat similar at times. Seems like several inches of fluff is a decent possibility. I don't trust inverted troughs at all, but I do think there'll be an orographic response once the IVT gets far enough north that our winds from SFC to H85 go NW. Hopefully the IVT can pump some moisture pretty far inland, and then let the NW winds do their thing. To me it looks like 2-4" of powder is possible from like Wednesday evening through Thursday pretty much from Killington on northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I don't trust inverted troughs at all, but I do think there'll be an orographic response once the IVT gets far enough north that our winds from SFC to H85 go NW. Hopefully the IVT can pump some moisture pretty far inland, and then let the NW winds do their thing. To me it looks like 2-4" of powder is possible from like Wednesday evening through Thursday pretty much from Killington on northward. Thanks...that's kind of what I figured...once on the west side of the IVT, then it goes currier and ives for a good period to get some fluff. The moisture is pretty deep layer right now at least as modeled, so hopefully that will give a good base state to tap from once the upslope flow commences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I'd guess this will be a 2-4...3-6 event in this area.... March to 100" continues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Fwiw SREF mean with low around BM @ 51 Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 not bad http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20150215&RT=15&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=CEF&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=8&mLAT=41.59465148187523&mLON=-72.88277304992675&mTYP=roadmap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 nam has almost nothing for here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I know the troop is exhausted after the most recent storm, but any met who isn't delivering detailed information on what the Euro ensemble suite shows for the approaching system right now clearly doesn't love America. I can only assume that you are busy punting three legged dogs while I sit here, comforting Jessica -- my bald eagle -- as she weeps during this neglect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 good news? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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