wkd Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 GGEM also came west of it's 0Z path. Can't tell with the Ukie because of the 24hr. time intervals past 72hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 GGEM also came west of it's 0Z path. Can't tell with the Ukie because of the 24hr. time intervals past 72hrs. 0z Ukie came north, kind of a "scrape plus", definitely participating in the trend is our friend process. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 0z Ukie came north, kind of a "scrape plus", definitely participating in the trend is our friend process. Slowly but surely is the way to go since there are several days left... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Slowly but surely is the way to go since there are several days left... Steady as she goes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I'd rather it sotuh of us at this range than right on top at this range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I'd rather it sotuh of us at this range than right on top at this range yup, with a +AO and +NAO, i'd be ****ting bricks right now if we were in the jackpot at this range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 And a huge jump NW again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 18Z GFS came west some more. A few more days it may be over the lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 It's the 18Z GFS, but I like the trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Sorry PSU, didn't see your post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Another huge 100 mile shift though like the last two runs, and mixing becomes an issue. 850's already go above 0 in s jersey on this run. EDIT: This is actually snow to rain for south jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 This threat has legs. I have a hunch this one gets us with a moderate snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Sent from my iPhone I think these are the 18z GFS for 00z and 06z Sunday for this weekend's event. Not that I mind looking at them at all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 0z GFS is a nice hit for everyone. DC to Boston gets a SECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 0.50+ QPF for most everyone here, Poconos pretty close. Not a sharp cutoff at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 GEM still a scraper and mostly ots. i'll have the Euro pbp for our area tonight if anyone's interested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 GEM still a scraper and mostly ots. i'll have the Euro pbp for our area tonight if anyone's interested.Yes...please do! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 through 66, definitely more moisture involved, low roughly the same position as 12z but a bit stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 through 78, again more qpf in the system but low position is roughly the same as 12z in GA, maybe a hair north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 through 90, low in same position as 12z, this one is most likely for the fishes again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 102 hours is practically identical to 12z at 108 hours, except the low is 1 mb stronger, precip shield is along the SE coast as opposed to upstate carolina at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Hour 96 1006 mb low east of Myrtle Beach, looks like it will be OTS but not a bad run overall. The trough axis is pretty far west and the western ridge is pretty amplified from what I can tell, so this certainly has room to head up the coast. I like the potential here. GGEM also looks similar to the EURO, it tries to hook it back west but just scrapes the area. Pretty similar to 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 114, track is almost identical to 12z with the low but all precip stays offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Hour 96 1006 mb low east of Myrtle Beach, looks like it will be OTS but not a bad run overall. The trough axis is pretty far west and the western ridge is pretty amplified from what I can tell, so this certainly has room to head up the coast. I like the potential here. GGEM also looks similar to the EURO, it tries to hook it back west but just scrapes the area. Pretty similar to 12z. don't like how much the Euro cut the precip shield. the low tracked pretty much the same exact path as 12z but the precip field shrank a good 75 miles at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 don't like how much the Euro cut the precip shield. the low tracked pretty much the same exact path as 12z but the precip field shrank a good 75 miles at least. Given as how we probably wouldn't want to have the ideal track from too many models at this lead, I think it's good that it's in the ballpark and close enough for adjustments over the next 3 days. ETA: Thanks for the pbp! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Given as how we probably wouldn't want to have the ideal track from too many models at this lead, I think it's good that it's in the ballpark and close enough for adjustments over the next 3 days. ETA: Thanks for the pbp! ditto!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Given as how we probably wouldn't want to have the ideal track from too many models at this lead, I think it's good that it's in the ballpark and close enough for adjustments over the next 3 days. ETA: Thanks for the pbp! ditto!! No problem guys! i'll work on improving my descriptions as i've realized not everyone has seen the 12z run.. but as long as I'm awake, I don't mind sharing a description of the pay maps for the good of the board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 don't like how much the Euro cut the precip shield. the low tracked pretty much the same exact path as 12z but the precip field shrank a good 75 miles at least. I wouldn't sweat it too much at this point, it looks like the GGEM did the opposite. We just need to get the MSLP track further west, which I think will happen over the next few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 GEFS are actually west of the OP, which is very encouraging. I would expect the Euro ensembles to be west of its OP as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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