ravensrule Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 7:44 PM, The Iceman said: no i'm talking about the euro snow map posted in the nyc thread that's from wx bell. and i've seen others from wx bell in that thread. i don't care either way but i feel it'd be easier to just post the maps in here than do a pbp, just thought it was a big no-no. You can post the QPF and snowfall maps but none of the other maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Watches are up for PHL metro, SJ coast and DE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 8:50 PM, Voyager said: I do too, but I wish you guys would use actual cities instead of airport codes. I don't know half of them and it's hard to figure out where you're indicationg. Same here...totally clueless at times. Better than nothing though I guess... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 4km (hi-res) NAM is noticeably north of the 12km NAM, probably at least by 50 miles. .25" QPF line is north of RDG and ABE, probably around .35-.45" for PHL metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 8:53 PM, EasternLI said: From what I understand, from reading through the threads, is that if it's posted on social media first it's ok. Otherwise, it's a no no. Hope that helps, although you may want to confirm anyway just to be safe. On 2/15/2015 at 8:55 PM, ravensrule said: You can post the QPF and snowfall maps but none of the other maps. thank you guys for the info. On 2/15/2015 at 8:50 PM, Voyager said: I do too, but I wish you guys would use actual cities instead of airport codes. I don't know half of them and it's hard to figure out where you're indicationg. On 2/15/2015 at 8:56 PM, Birds~69 said: Same here...totally clueless at times. Better than nothing though I guess... Noted, will not use airport codes on the euro pbp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 8:50 PM, Voyager said: I do too, but I wish you guys would use actual cities instead of airport codes. I don't know half of them and it's hard to figure out where you're indicationg. I try to stick to the big ones that mostly everyone knows or are phonetically obvious (PHL, TTN, ABE, ACY, RDG, ILG), but yeah I agree that people should otherwise use town names or highways Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 new snow map out from mt holly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 4k precip: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 9:01 PM, H.E. Pennypacker said: 4km (hi-res) NAM is noticeably north of the 12km NAM, probably at least by 50 miles. .25" QPF line is north of RDG and ABE, probably around .35-.45" for PHL metro. Euro was .48 for phl so while it went up it's in the ball park of other models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 As we get closer to the event, is there still room for a northwest trend, or do you guys think this is pretty much it? I'd love to AT LEAST be able to get into the 4-6 inch range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 9:09 PM, The Iceman said: new snow map out from mt holly For now I think that's about correct which is fine considering we were measuring events in tenths not too long ago... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 GFS did not change much, still 2-4" in SE PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 All of the models have been fairly consistent the last bunch of runs. As of now it doesn't seem there will be any substantial change in the path of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 10:56 PM, wkd said: All of the models have been fairly consistent the last bunch of runs. As of now it doesn't seem there will be any substantial change in the path of the storm. Of course. When they were over us and trending north, they didn't stop right up to the onset of the storm. Now that one is south, it'll stay there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 9:23 PM, Voyager said: As we get closer to the event, is there still room for a northwest trend, or do you guys think this is pretty much it? I'd love to AT LEAST be able to get into the 4-6 inch range. Your location would be AT MOST 4-6" I would think and that;s stretching. I would go w/2-4" right now and see what happens...no one knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 11:18 PM, Voyager said: Of course. When they were over us and trending north, they didn't stop right up to the onset of the storm. Now that one is south, it'll stay there. Funny isn't it. Everything north all winter and we get one that should favor us and nope stays south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Ch6 (Accu Weather) at 6:25pm. I would make the 4-8" around Philly to 3-6" as of now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtripper Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I see the title of this thread Tues/Wed but did this speed up and is now a Monday Night/Tues AM event? Thanks in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 11:43 PM, jtripper said: I see the title of this thread Tues/Wed but did this speed up and is now a Monday Night/Tues AM event? Thanks in advance. Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 15, 2015 Author Share Posted February 15, 2015 fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 11:49 PM, famartin said: fixed Quick thoughts since we have time before the next run(s)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 11:52 PM, Birds~69 said: Quick thoughts since we have time before the next run(s)? let's get the 4-8" further north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wederwarrior Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 12:12 AM, Quakertown needs snow said: let's get the 4-8" further north I selficially concurWhy wouldn't seasonal trends apply here??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 12:41 AM, wederwarrior said: I selficially concur Why wouldn't seasonal trends apply here??? Because it would actually benefit us this go around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 16, 2015 Author Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 11:52 PM, Birds~69 said: Quick thoughts since we have time before the next run(s)? I was thinking 2-5 for the Trenton area earlier today, with the caveat that its still very open to adjustment. I won't adjust that further until tomorrow, probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 New briefing package from Mt. Holly. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/briefing/packages/current_briefing.pdf They express their uncertainty with the track. Allowing for a shift in either direction and that reflects in their "minimum" 'most likely" and "maximum" snow maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 12:52 AM, famartin said: I was thinking 2-5 for the Trenton area earlier today, with the caveat that its still very open to adjustment. I won't adjust that further until tomorrow, probably. Fair enough. Hopefully tonight's runs come to "some sort" of agreement....all N trend would be good. DTs "First Call" for those who didn't see it...aggressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 12:52 AM, famartin said: I was thinking 2-5 for the Trenton area earlier today, with the caveat that its still very open to adjustment. I won't adjust that further until tomorrow, probably. Do you think in this type of setup there is much chance of banding? That always makes it difficult to forcast amounts for more specific areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 0Z nam thru 15 hr. there are slight height rises on the coast. May not mean anything but can't hurt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 24 hours, slp in the same spot as 18z. precip is a bit further north than 18z so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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