RedSky Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 6:49 AM, The Iceman said: yep, my snowfall maps are based on 10:1. higher ratio's certainly look possible but i don't like talking about them until about 36 hours out when it is much more clear. Not to mention this next one has not stabilized yet. Every new ECM run has been a different solution. Some drama for 12z tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 6:40 AM, RedSky said: Eurowx maps show 8-10" SEPA north to south, 6-8" Lehigh Valley. Must be using high ratios Eurowx incorporates higher ratios Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 CRAS is a big hit: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 10:24 AM, Ralph Wiggum said: CRAS is a big hit: Expect the trend to continue north as the trof gets stronger west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 cold storm. tracking the trends will be interesting. i have a good feeling about this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 1:36 PM, Quakertown needs snow said: cold storm. tracking the trends will be interesting. i have a good feeling about this one I'm glad you do, because I don't. I'm really hoping the trends so far this winter continue, but so far I have low confidence on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Im loving the snow map from Mt holly for my area 1" or less lets hope they dont raise it cause that has been the kiss of death. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 NAM starting to sharpen the trough a bit. Coming a little further north this run. About 100 miles closer to coast 12Z Tues compared to 6Z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 1:40 PM, Voyager said: I'm glad you do, because I don't. I'm really hoping the trends so far this winter continue, but so far I have low confidence on this one. I'm in the middle. I have to see it to believe it but if this winter has taught us anything it is to not lock up any solution unless inside of 24 hours. IF the trends continue I do like where we sit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Staying the course on this one...still won't be close to a final solution until at least 0z tonight, but so far so good IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 1:40 PM, Voyager said: I'm glad you do, because I don't. I'm really hoping the trends so far this winter continue, but so far I have low confidence on this one. Steve we need positives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 1:34 PM, blizzardmeiser said: Expect the trend to continue north as the trof gets stronger west. This storm is coming +NAO will allow it to come north no blocking..today's storm is also getting out of the way and +PNA in place 6-12" I usually don't go so bullish but why hold back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 This storm will come down to one major factor, how strong of the shortwave do we get coming out....NAM & RGEM a touch too weak to give Philly 6+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Looking like the GFS is shifting more N....which is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 this current storm hurts this from being a coastal huger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Definite shift north with the precip shield. Solid 2-4 w/o ratios. Gives parts of Arkansas over 20"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 looks like on the gfs the clipper following is not helping either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Steady as she goes. By 0Z tomorrow night, if these small shift north continue, we could have a nice storm.. Glad to see DC getting hit good as shown by the models currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 4:04 PM, Quakertown needs snow said: looks like on the gfs the clipper following is not helping eitherNo clipper and this would be cuttingAnd then congrats New England again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 4:02 PM, Fields27 said: Definite shift north with the precip shield. Solid 2-4 w/o ratios. Gives parts of Arkansas over 20"... North trend will continue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 3:58 PM, Quakertown needs snow said: this current storm hurts this from being a coastal huger Can't win in that regard, without that storms 50/50 influence we likely end up with another groundhog storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Todays runs thus far have been good and bad depending on how you look at it. Good in the sense that yesterday at this time it looked like we wouldnt get a flake. Bad in a sense that after past nights 00z EURO and the 6z RGEM there was a shot it could be a 6-10"er... Not saying thats impossible yet, but werw losing time, id expect EURO to shift S, if it doesnt my interest will peek again though....still searching for the big one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Looks to me like the 12Z ggem went further south than the 0Z. First wave is not as strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Does anyone have the euro in here? Pbp? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 48 hours low is a hair south, i just got home but looks like it is very similar to last nights run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Thru 36 hr. pretty much the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Per another board, a little bit faster, but still a solid hit south of the PA Turnpike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Euro is a bit south but still 4-6 SE PA, 2-4 upper bucks and montco into LV, 6-8 extreme south jersey. this is all based on 10:1 ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 On 2/15/2015 at 6:07 PM, The Iceman said: Euro is a bit south but still 4-6 SE PA, 2-4 upper bucks and montco into LV, 6-8 extreme south jersey. this is all based on 10:1 ratios Overall basically the same...tonights run (Euro) and runs later today/tonight will be crucial one way or another. Always seems to be a jog late in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Per eurowx it looks like the 12Z has slightly less precip but it is essentially the same as the 0Z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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