Rainman Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 I didn't see one already, and I think we had a thread for the cold in January. This one is looking like it will be just as cold as anything we saw in the Great Lakes at any point last winter. There is potential for overnight lows in the negative teens over a wide area and Detroit may not climb above 0 degrees on Sunday. If that happens, it will be only the 7th time in its history. I can certainly envision wind chills hitting -30 Saturday night or Sunday morning. It won't exactly be warm tonight or Friday night either, so feel free to discuss that here as well. We might add some good ice cover to the lakes too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 You want a good laugh. This is from the GRR's morning AFD Hydrology report: LOW TEMPERATURESTHURSDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE BELOW ZERO AWAY FROM LAKEMICHIGAN. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS COULD AID IN ICE DEVELOPMENT ASWELL...ALTHOUGH AN INCREASINGLY STEEPER SUN ANGLE COULD MITIGATESOME OF THAT ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT. ICE SHOULD LARGELY REMAINSTATUS QUO UNTIL A SIGNIFICANT WARM UP HELPS BREAK IT UP. It's February 11 and not late March/April!!! I am sooooooooooo tired of the sun angle card. They are seriously telling me that the sun in February is so strong that it will overcome near single digit highs and several hours of subzero temps. Ummmm didn't the GLs ice cover PEAK in March last year!!! Now if they want to tell me it is going to be very windy during the arctic blast which can make ice development more difficult compared to calm conditions well I do understand that. The winds helped break up some of the mid-February ice cover peak last winter about this time (before the March final peak that occurred). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Maybe not in the 'burbs, but here in the city I could definitely see the sun angle helping us torch above 10F on Sunday. Very hard to keep temps below that mark once we start into mid-February, although it absolutely can happen, I'll be shocked if we don't even make it above 5. That takes some seriously, seriously brutal arctic airmass.Overnight though, yeah, we're going to bottom out near record territory for the day most likely. In fact, if we only make it to the high DTX has forecasted for DTW, it would be a record low-maximum as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Maybe not in the 'burbs, but here in the city I could definitely see the sun angle helping us torch above 10F on Sunday. Very hard to keep temps below that mark once we start into mid-February, although it absolutely can happen, I'll be shocked if we don't even make it above 5. That takes some seriously, seriously brutal arctic airmass. Overnight though, yeah, we're going to bottom out near record territory for the day most likely. In fact, if we only make it to the high DTX has forecasted for DTW, it would be a record low-maximum as well. Agreed as far as the bolded, especially with the aid of downsloping from the NW wind... Even so, this extreme cold crap does nothing for me. It can't depart soon enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Coldest high and low temperatures at LAF so far this winter are 12 and -7, on January 7 and January 8, respectively. Not sure we will beat either of those but I'd guess that the high has a better chance of being threatened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Agreed as far as the bolded, especially with the aid of downsloping from the NW wind... Even so, this extreme cold crap does nothing for me. It can't depart soon enough. Yeah, extreme cold like is no fun for pretty much anyone. A truly extreme event once in a while from a meteorological standpoint is fun, but we've had enough of it the past couple of years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 I'm not a big fan of extreme cold, but I don't mind going for a record if it's going to be that cold anyways, (what's another few degrees if you're already sitting below zero). In that vein, kinda sucks that we don't have a snowcover to make the extreme even more extreme. I guess if we're lucky and everything lines up perfectly on Saturday, we might cover the grass with snow, but that's iffy at best and I believe there's a big difference between having an inch or two vs a deep snow pack anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 I'm not a big fan of extreme cold, but I don't mind going for a record if it's going to be that cold anyways, (what's another few degrees if you're already sitting below zero). In that vein, kinda sucks that we don't have a snowcover to make the extreme even more extreme. I guess if we're lucky and everything lines up perfectly on Saturday, we might cover the grass with snow, but that's iffy at best and I believe there's a big difference between having an inch or two vs a deep snow pack anyways. I'm actually extremely glad we do have a thick snowcover here, but for a different reason. Subzero temps + no snowcover is very bad for plants and shrubs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
outflow Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 I'm actually extremely glad we do have a thick snowcover here, but for a different reason. Subzero temps + no snowcover is very bad for plants and shrubs. and pipes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 and pipes Last winter we had streets being dug up all over because of broken (frozen) pipes many feet under the ground. I know Minneapolis also had a lot of damage too. Frost depths were very deep last winter around here. PRobably not too bad this year so far. La Crosse showing -13F this weekend for a low... that is around our coldest for the year so far (not bad for here). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Last winter we had streets being dug up all over because of broken (frozen) pipes many feet under the ground. I know Minneapolis also had a lot of damage too. Frost depths were very deep last winter around here. PRobably not too bad this year so far. La Crosse showing -13F this weekend for a low... that is around our coldest for the year so far (not bad for here). The cold air has been more focused east compared to last year. So that has been a 'benefit' for you area in regard to frost depth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 The high/low for Toledo is predicted to be 2/-7 on Sunday. The record low max for Toledo on February 15th is 8, record low min is -8. In 2007 (after the Valentine's Day storm) Toledo was 19/-8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Think we break record low and record low max Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Wind chills could be around -40 (F or C) for Ottawa ONT, with -15F with a 16mph wind. Environment Canada: "Wind chill minus 35C in the morning" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Wind chills could be around -40 (F or C) for Ottawa ONT, with -15F with a 16mph wind. Environment Canada: "Wind chill minus 35C in the morning" Sunday morning wind chill's could realistically dip below -40f here in Toronto including much of S On. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 The winds are going to have to die down and the skies stay clear if we're going to break the 1979 record at Pearson tomorrow. Temperature is dropping very slowly at my place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The winds are going to have to die down and the skies stay clear if we're going to break the 1979 record at Pearson tomorrow. Temperature is dropping very slowly at my place. Winds will calm down after 9pm. Temperatures in the suburbs could be around -25 to -28C ( -13F to -18F) tomorrow morning. Thanks to the Urban heat island effect, YYZ will likely bottom out closer to 13F (-25C). Lets see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Winds will calm down after 9pm. Temperatures in the suburbs could be around -25 to -28C ( -13F to -18F) tomorrow morning. Thanks to the Urban heat island effect, YYZ will likely bottom out closer to 13F (-25C). Lets see. Let's just hope the skies stay clear. I figure if we're going to get this cold, we may as well go for a record. Thing is that the area around Pearson is much more urbanized than it was in February 1979. I actually saw a picture of Pearson taken in 1964 in which horses were grazing in the foreground! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Let's just hope the skies stay clear. I figure if we're going to get this cold, we may as well go for a record. Thing is that the area around Pearson is much more urbanized than it was in February 1979. I actually saw a picture of Pearson taken in 1964 in which horses were grazing in the foreground! Really? Wow. Times have really changed. 1964 isn't even that long ago, atleast on the Earth's timescale, haha! I think YYZ has a 80% chance of breaking the record, lets see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Any idea of the all time record lows for DTX ?? Impressive winchills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 DTX will be cancelling the Wind Chill Advisory for a portion of the area, mainly from the I-75 corridor and SW... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Any idea of the all time record lows for DTX ?? Impressive winchills Record low temps for Detroit area are 6 as a record low max and -10 as a record low min on February 15th 9 and 5 for February 13th and 14th record low maxes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Temperatures have cooled 1C ( 1.8F) since 7pm, lol. Moderate winds continue at YYZ. Starting to doubt the predicted Low temperatures. Lowering my chances of breaking the record to 60-65%. Hope I'm wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Temperatures have cooled 1C ( 1.8F) since 7pm, lol. Moderate winds continue at YYZ. Starting to doubt the predicted Low temperatures. Lowering my chances of breaking the record to 60-65%. Hope I'm wrong. We may have tied or broken the record. Pearson dropped to minus 23 Celsius. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Brutal this morning. -8 with a breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Brutal this morning. -8 with a breeze. Pretty much the same here. Amazing thing is that Sunday and potentially next Thursday may be even colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Pretty much the same here. Amazing thing is that Sunday and potentially next Thursday may be even colder. Tomorrow night will be epic cold. -10 to -15 with WC as low as -40. Happy valentines day. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Brutal URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI249 PM EST FRI FEB 13 2015...DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS EXPECTED SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...MIZ075-076-082-083-140400-/O.NEW.KDTX.WC.A.0001.150214T2200Z-150215T1700Z/WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANN ARBOR...DETROIT...ADRIAN...MONROE249 PM EST FRI FEB 13 2015...WIND CHILL WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGHSUNDAY MORNING...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A WINDCHILL WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGHSUNDAY MORNING.HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BELOW ZERO SATURDAY EVENING WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS PRODUCING WIND CHILLS OF 20 TO 25 BELOW ZERO BY EVENING. * TEMPERATURES WILL THEN BOTTOM OUT AT 5 TO 10 BELOW ZERO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT WITH WIND CHILLS OF 20 TO 30 BELOW ZERO BY DAYBREAK.IMPACTS... * BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS COULD LEAD TO FROST BITE IN 15 MINUTES OR LESS. * PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO THIS EXTREME COLD COULD LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WIND CHILL WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR ACOMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS TO CREATEDANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTSAND WARNINGS FOR UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Was -10.8F (-23.8C) on my thermometer this morning when I left my house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Was -10.8F (-23.8C) on my thermometer this morning when I left my house. That matches my thermometer pretty much. Mine read -23.5C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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