usedtobe Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 nice... That's just a guess that there will be lots of blowing snow in addition to whatever falls. Around PWM would be more awesome but is too far to go for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 This NAM frame for Saturday gets me excited! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Euro 10 meter wind gust charts remain bullish. Mid 50's along 95 and the cities between 7am-1pm on sunday. 18 hour wind event. Gusts in the the mid to upper 60's on the bay. Wow. If 850mb winds are really over 70kts as depicted by the 12z Euro, I suspect we'll reach HWW criteria, at least west of the fall line. NAM has gusts around 50mph by 12z with 850 winds in the middle 60s kts. And temps in the single digits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 This NAM frame for Saturday gets me excited! If you got 6+ today, I bet you get double digits on Saturday. Should be great for Pres Day weekend business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 If you got 6+ today, I bet you get double digits on Saturday. Should be great for Pres Day weekend business. Yeah, the snow will be nice and deep, especially on the ridges where there was still close to a foot of snow on the ground before today's event. Much better than what was around for Christmas break. But we did actually get a cancellation for Sunday because, of all things, it is going to be "too" cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Sunday Morning might be unbearable, 18z NAM has windchills -15 to -30. Verbatim wind chills don't get above 0 Sunday North of EZF. (Of course we all know it won't be that bad) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 I'm rooting for the Boston screw still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 LWX bullish on winds: COLD AIR WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG AND PERHAPS EVENING DAMAGING WINDS. BUFKIT SUGGESTS POTENTIAL FOR 40 TO 50 KT WINDS SATURDAY NIGHT AND INTO A PORTION OF SUNDAY. WIND ADVISORY WINDS SEEM LIKELY BUT HIGH WIND WARNING GUSTS MAY BE WITHIN THE REALM OF POSSIBILITIES ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 I'm rooting for the Boston screw still. mixed emotions.....as long as it bombs and saves our azzes for next week, I'm OK with whatever falls on them it's when they get clobbered and we end up missing that is demoralizing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Ouch.. Blizzard WatchURGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME357 PM EST THU FEB 12 2015...ANOTHER MAJOR WINTER STORM EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND....AS AN UPPER LEVEL ROUGH DIGS THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES ONSATURDAY... SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP AND INTENSIFYRAPIDLY NEAR CAPE COD SATURDAY NIGHT. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGINDURING THE DAY SATURDAY FROM WEST TO EAST... INCREASING ININTENSITY SATURDAY NIGHT. BY SUNDAY MORNING HEAVY SNOW IS LIKELYESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST WITH NORTHEAST WINDS STRENGTHENING. THECOMBINATION OF HEAVY SNOW... VERY STRONG WINDS... AND AN ALREADYEXISTING DEEP SNOW PACK WILL LIKELY LEAD TO BLIZZARD CONDITIONS INSOME AREAS ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST AND NEAR THE INTERSTATE 95CORRIDOR IN MAINE. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS ABROADER AREA OF MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE CONSIDERING A DEEP SNOWPACK AND STRONG WINDS EXPECTED. BUT BLIZZARD WATCHES HAVE ONLY BEPOSTED FOR AREAS WITH THE GREATEST LIKELIHOOD OF SEEING BLIZZARDCONDITIONS. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO END DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY BUTSTRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT ANDBLOWING SNOW WILL LIKELY LINGER AS WELL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 mixed emotions.....as long as it bombs and saves our azzes for next week, I'm OK with whatever falls on them it's when they get clobbered and we end up missing that is demoralizing It will bomb regardless I think. Slow it a little and Boston gets screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 This NAM frame for Saturday gets me excited! I'm on the way Saturday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Sunday Morning might be unbearable, 18z NAM has windchills -15 to -30. Verbatim wind chills don't get above 0 Sunday North of EZF. (Of course we all know it won't be that bad) Its the coldest forecasted WC I have seen modeled here in a long time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Its the coldest forecasted WC I have seen modeled here in a long time The coldest wind chill event I can personally identify via being in it was the early morning of the inaguration 1985, 2am, temp at my location -5, winds sustained at 20 with frequent gusts to 30. On the old wind chill chart I think the gusts were like -55. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I got to go to Manassas this morning at 10am, I got to see some heavy snow. Problem was mild boundary layer temps, 37 it did not stick but man did that snow pour! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Euro 10 meter wind gust charts remain bullish. Mid 50's along 95 and the cities between 7am-1pm on sunday. 18 hour wind event. Gusts in the the mid to upper 60's on the bay. Wow. I want to take a long leisurely jebwalk on the Bay Bridge! 70 mph wind gusts would be so fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 NAM following the GGEM now..looks like a nice convective squall comes through the area between 6-9pm. Would be 1-2" in an hr or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 yeehaw NAM http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=048ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F00%2Fnam_namer_048_sim_radar.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=sim_radar&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150213+00+UTC&imageSize=L&ps=model squall line keeps getting better each run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 NAM total qpf.....you go gurl! http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=057ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F00%2Fnam_namer_057_precip_ptot.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=precip_ptot&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150213+00+UTC&imageSize=L&ps=model BWI- .12" IAD- .11" DCA- .10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I'm surprised there isn't more attention on this one..could very well outperform whatever follows next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 NAM total qpf.....you go gurl! http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=057ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F00%2Fnam_namer_057_precip_ptot.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=precip_ptot&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150213+00+UTC&imageSize=L&ps=model BWI- .12" IAD- .11" DCA- .10" Haaaaay! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 NAM total qpf.....you go gurl! http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=057ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F00%2Fnam_namer_057_precip_ptot.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=precip_ptot&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150213+00+UTC&imageSize=L&ps=model BWI- .12" IAD- .11" DCA- .10" Every model gives us more than .05 with most models around .10. Should make for an interesting obs thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 NAM following the GGEM now..looks like a nice convective squall comes through the area between 6-9pm. Would be 1-2" in an hr or so. Cool.Thanks for the update. I've become more interested in this event then the Tuesday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I'm surprised there isn't more attention on this one..could very well outperform whatever follows next week. That's gonna be a hell of a wind driven snow too. Should be fun to watch. Probably won't have to do any shoveling as the wind will do the work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 That's gonna be a hell of a wind driven snow too. Should be fun to watch. Probably won't have to do any shoveling as the wind will do the work.It will be nice to have a little snow on the ground for the cold blast sunday. I'm sick of looking at frozen mud and dead grass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Prob still mainly an 'up to 1" event'. Won't last long and winds destroy ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 That's gonna be a hell of a wind driven snow too. Should be fun to watch. Probably won't have to do any shoveling as the wind will do the work. Was about to say..NAM upped the winds again..closer to the Euro's depiction now. Even if we manage 0.5", it'll probably look like a pseudo-blizzard.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Hi res NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Prob still mainly an 'up to 1" event'. Won't last long and winds destroy ratios. Yes, but what the HiRes NAM shows in this run is pretty spectacular in terms of winter-weather for people leaving their Valentine's dinners. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Hi res NAM looks wind swept lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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