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Feb 14-15 Flizzard and Wind Event


Bob Chill

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When has the HRRR beat the model consensus when there's been a disagreement this season? 

The amounts may be too high, but the RGEM looks to be doing a great job nailing the heaviest totals. And with 1" amounts already reported in Howard County ahead of the intensifying line, I don't think it's too far fetched to see many locations north of DC hit 0.1" liquid.

Got me. HRRR is decent but not as good as its given credit for. The front running bands are mostly the wild card though the main one seems to be hitting high end of potential.  I didn't really factor HRRR into any thoughts on this one... I'm usually just more of the opinion we waste a whole lot of time parsing model QPF that is within model error.

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