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Feb 14-15 Flizzard and Wind Event


Bob Chill

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LWX going with 7 degrees for the low in DC tonight with WC near 20 below zero  :shiver: :shiver:

 

 

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
630 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

DCZ001-VAZ054-150300-
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...ALEXANDRIA...FALLS CHURCH
630 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST SUNDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST
SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING. LITTLE OR NO SNOW ACCUMULATION. VERY
WINDY AND COLD WITH LOWS AROUND 7 ABOVE. NORTHWEST WINDS 25 TO
35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 90 PERCENT. WIND
CHILL VALUES AS LOW AS 19 BELOW AFTER MIDNIGHT.

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Hi res nam did seem to get the idea of multiple bands right. HRRR was more single band focused.

When has the HRRR beat the model consensus when there's been a disagreement this season? 

The amounts may be too high, but the RGEM looks to be doing a great job nailing the heaviest totals. And with 1" amounts already reported in Howard County ahead of the intensifying line, I don't think it's too far fetched to see many locations north of DC hit 0.1" liquid.

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Went out for what I though would be a short xc ski just as the front was approaching (I'm staying near timberline in canaan valley, wv). I planned to do a 3.5 mile loop around this little lake, started off awesome but then got in some total whiteouts when the trail went out in fields. Had to retreat to the road where I found all sorts of stuck cars and traffic, fun!

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FAIRFAX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIRFAX
630 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST SUNDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST
SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING. LITTLE OR NO SNOW ACCUMULATION. VERY
WINDY AND COLD WITH LOWS AROUND 4 ABOVE. NORTHWEST WINDS 25 TO
30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH...INCREASING TO 30 TO 40 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SNOW 90 PERCENT. WIND
CHILL VALUES AS LOW AS 23 BELOW.

.SUNDAY...SUNNY AND VERY WINDY. COOLER WITH HIGHS AROUND 16.
NORTHWEST WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH...DIMINISHING
TO 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND CHILL
VALUES AS LOW AS 24 BELOW.

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Really coming down hard now. The HRR nailed that little hot spot over center AA county. Temp down to 32 from 41 a hour ago.

Still sitting in the car. Neighbor still looking out lol.

how much do you have....I'm close to an inch

it's on the wet side and with little wind, everything is covered...trees, etc.

shame it will all be blown to hell shortly, but I'll take what I can get

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Thanks be to God that Yoda is here to not only cut and paste the zone forecast, but to bold parts we should definitely read. If not for the bold, I would have never ascertained the importance of those words. Hell, I may not have even read it.

I wouldn't read those things. With the CAPS, they're practically illegible.

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