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Feb 14-15 Flizzard and Wind Event


Bob Chill

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  On 2/14/2015 at 2:52 PM, MN Transplant said:

HRRR is very dry too. Those 0.2" QPF runs were silly. We are going to get 15-30 minutes worth of a snow squall that might put down a half inch.

Probably in general though some hint of multiple bands. If a spot gets hit by two or three 1"+ certainly poss.

Hi res NAM is junk when it comes to precip specifics tho.

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  On 2/14/2015 at 3:40 PM, mapgirl said:

My high is forecast to be 31 today, kind of crazy some of you are talking about highs in the mid to upper 40s

Temps will probably spike a bit out ahead of the front. Tho the hi rea models seem overdone.
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  On 2/14/2015 at 3:42 PM, Warrior Bigfoot said:

I fully expect at least one 60 MPH gust and at least 1" of snow. If I get neither then the weather is dumb and I hate it.

I think NE MD, N DE, SNJ are the mostly likey places locally to see a couple inches. Maybe a few isolated 3" amounts. Anyone looking at the Hi Res NAM or HRRR and expecting them to depict accurately where any localized bands might set up, well dont lol. They aren't that good.

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  On 2/14/2015 at 3:47 PM, C.A.P.E. said:

I think NE MD, N DE, SNJ are the mostly likey places locally to see a couple inches. Maybe a few isolated 3" amounts. Anyone looking at the Hi Res NAM or HRRR and expecting them to depict accurately where any localized bands might set up, well dont lol. They aren't that good.

These are the type of events where you just watch the radar all day and see how the system evolves. Some will get a surprise and some will get shafted but everyone should see something.
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  On 2/14/2015 at 3:56 PM, mapgirl said:

Shouldn't you be enjoyed the sun? ;)

In theory but today is my forecast day so I'm sorta on the hook at least here and there. Glad I didn't try for the full time job to preserve my weekends. ;)
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