PB GFI Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Tues AM could be colder . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Tues AM could be colder . I don't know why the GFS has been putting out such ubsurdly cold temperatures lately. The forecasted 850mb temp of -15C and 925mb temp of -14C do not support those those kind of numbers for our area. Heck they're even slightly warmer than what the current temps aloft are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 those #'s almost never verify-severe cold bias in the mid-range at play Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Temp bust on the high end for like the 4th consecutive day, into the 20s in the park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Christopher Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Even all that snow cover in Boston only got down to 8 and central park the same 8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Temp bust on the high end for like the 4th consecutive day, into the 20s in the park. The park is 20 and in the teens everywhere else . BALMY Fair 20°F -7°C Humidity31% Wind SpeedNW 8 G 23 mph Barometer30.12 in (1019.2 mb) Dewpoint-6°F (-21°C) Visibility10.00 mi Wind Chill10°F (-12°C) Last Update on 13 Feb 2:51 pm EST Current conditions at New York City, Central Park (KNYC What was the forecast high ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cjr231 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Forecast high was 22 today for the park I believe. If anything temps have been slightly below my point and click forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Forecast high was 22 today for the park I believe. If anything temps have been slightly below my point and click forecasts. NWS had us at 15 for the high this morning, and raised it to 17 a few hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cjr231 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 NWS had us at 15 for the high this morning, and raised it to 17 a few hours ago. Hmm. I definitely saw a 22 this morning but that might have been on weather.com when I tried to plan taking a client to lunch based on when it was warmest on the hourly forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Whens the last time we had a winter with no thaw? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Whens the last time we had a winter with no thaw? We had one, it was way back at the beginning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 We had one, it was way back at the beginning. Beginning of when? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder7842 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Hmm. I definitely saw a 22 this morning but that might have been on weather.com when I tried to plan taking a client to lunch based on when it was warmest on the hourly forecast. For days the forecast was for mid to upper teens for highs on Friday. I'm not surprised it made it to 20 because the sun gets stronger in mid Feb. 21 at Somerville right now. Hard to stay in the teens this late in winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Beginning of when? Calendar winter. It was pretty warm around Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Calendar winter. It was pretty warm around Christmas. Hmmm... It was only a few days into calendar winter though. Wasn't really a thaw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Hmmm... It was only a few days into calendar winter though. Wasn't really a thaw. Yeah true. Maybe the winter will be bookended by warmth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 18z NAM is brutal on 12z Sun.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 18z NAM is brutal on 12z Sun..The nam actually has sub zero temps around the city by 10 pm already sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Yeah true. Maybe the winter will be bookended by warmth That would be ideal. Let's bang out couple more storms this month and early march then let's torch. Last march sucked and pushed my landscape design business back weeks. Cold wasn't bad at all in manhattan this afternoon. I was expecting much worse. And I agree about the sun this time of year making a high in the teen hard. It's needs to be cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 This is not your average COLD outbreak . Fri @ KNYC - 20 , We should beat that today ( will call it - 20 ) that`s 8 DAYS OF CLOSE TO 18 BELOW . When you include the following 6 days . MT HOLLY TEMPERATURES: COLDEST TEMPERATURES IN THE URBAN CENTERS SINCEPROBABLY JANUARY 1994 ARE EXPECTED MONDAY MORNING AND WIDESPREADNEAR RECORDS EXPECTED IN OUR FORECAST AREA. CALENDAR DAY AVERAGETEMPERATURES SUNDAY CLOSE TO 20 BELOW NORMAL, 25 BELOW NORMAL MONDAY 15 BELOW TUESDAY AND MAYBE 10 BELOW WEDNESDAY BEFORE FALLING OFF AGAIN THURSDAY AND FRIDAY TO BETWEEN 15 AND 20 BELOW NORMAL . When was the last time we were 20 below N in any Feb for 10 straight days ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 This is not your average COLD outbreak . Fri @ KNYC - 20 , We should beat that today ( will call it - 20 ) that`s 8 DAYS OF CLOSE TO 18 BELOW . When you include the following 6 days . MT HOLLY TEMPERATURES: COLDEST TEMPERATURES IN THE URBAN CENTERS SINCE PROBABLY JANUARY 1994 ARE EXPECTED MONDAY MORNING AND WIDESPREAD NEAR RECORDS EXPECTED IN OUR FORECAST AREA. CALENDAR DAY AVERAGE TEMPERATURES SUNDAY CLOSE TO 20 BELOW NORMAL, 25 BELOW NORMAL MONDAY 15 BELOW TUESDAY AND MAYBE 10 BELOW WEDNESDAY BEFORE FALLING OFF AGAIN THURSDAY AND FRIDAY TO BETWEEN 15 AND 20 BELOW NORMAL . When was the last time we were 20 below N in any Feb for 10 straight days ? They use words I have not seen noted ever in the entire AFD. I plan to call them later, little nervous. They mention losing power, have heat, trees coming down and possible death. Time period Later today into Monday. Don't get caught outside or you will likely freeze to death. Nervous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 This is not your average COLD outbreak . Fri @ KNYC - 20 , We should beat that today ( will call it - 20 ) that`s 8 DAYS OF CLOSE TO 18 BELOW . When you include the following 6 days . MT HOLLY TEMPERATURES: COLDEST TEMPERATURES IN THE URBAN CENTERS SINCE PROBABLY JANUARY 1994 ARE EXPECTED MONDAY MORNING AND WIDESPREAD NEAR RECORDS EXPECTED IN OUR FORECAST AREA. CALENDAR DAY AVERAGE TEMPERATURES SUNDAY CLOSE TO 20 BELOW NORMAL, 25 BELOW NORMAL MONDAY 15 BELOW TUESDAY AND MAYBE 10 BELOW WEDNESDAY BEFORE FALLING OFF AGAIN THURSDAY AND FRIDAY TO BETWEEN 15 AND 20 BELOW NORMAL . When was the last time we were 20 below N in any Feb for 10 straight days ? It's all good. Feb 1934 workers building jones beach were stuck on ice flows for a week. Epic yes but worse has happened Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Nervous to drive now with high winds and a tree hitting my automobile. Going to call mt holly nws at 9 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I don't go down to the water much; but I would figure all the LI Sound harbors are frozen solid and there is quite a bit of ice floating in the Sound. I also would figure the Great South Bay has frozen over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 They use words I have not seen noted ever in the entire AFD. I plan to call them later, little nervous. They mention losing power, have heat, trees coming down and possible death. Time period Later today into Monday. Don't get caught outside or you will likely freeze to death. Nervous That`s insane . You usually see this stuff during Hurricane prep . SUNDAY...LIFE THREATENING DAY IF YOU`RE IN THE WRONG SPOT (UNDER TREES, OR STALLED ON A RURAL ROAD AT NIGHT) AT THE WRONG TIME AND PROPER PRECAUTIONS HAVE NOT BEEN TAKEN. SOME PREPARATION CONCERNS ARE NOTED IN THE FOLLOWING PGHS. HAVE WORKING FLASHLIGHTS HANDY, CELL PHONES FULLY CHARGED BY 7 PM THIS EVENING AND CANDLES ARE NOT RECOMMENDED IF POWER GOES OUT (CANDLES ARE A FIRE HAZARD. STRONG WIND, SLIPPERY FOOTING AND THE INCOMING VERY COLD AIRMASS WILL COMPOUND SAFE QUICK CONTAINMENT). BEING PRESIDENT`S DAY WEEKEND, AN EXTENDED WEEKEND WHEN SCHOOLS OR PLACES OF BUSINESS MAY NOT BE STAFFED ON MONDAY, VACANT BUILDINGS SHOULD HAVE THEIR FUEL SOURCES CHECKED AND HEAT TURNED UP THIS WEEK TO MITIGATE AGAINST THE POTENTIALLY PROBLEM OF FROZEN WATER PIPES/ DRAINAGES. MUCH EXTRA CARE SHOULD BE CONSIDERED FOR CHILDREN, THE ELDERLY AND PETS. CHECK THE TIRE PRESSURE AND ANTIFREEZE LEVELS IN YOUR VEHICLE. CHECK YOUR BATTERY SO YOU DON`T GET STRANDED. INSULATE THOSE PIPES, AT YOUR RESIDENCE, SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE COLD AND FREEZING. LEARN OR REFRESH YOUR MEMORY ON HOW TO SHUT OFF WATER VALVES IN CASE PIPES DO BURST. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS CAREFULLY WHEN IT COMES TO SECONDARY HEAT SOURCES TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 It's all good. Feb 1934 workers building jones beach were stuck on ice flows for a week. Epic yes but worse has happened When your cold outbreak may compare to the one 81 years ago , I think that`s pretty EPIC . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 14, 2015 Author Share Posted February 14, 2015 I don't go down to the water much; but I would figure all the LI Sound harbors are frozen solid and there is quite a bit of ice floating in the Sound. I also would figure the Great South Bay has frozen over. Yeah, we should see a steady increase in the ice coverage coming up. 2/13/15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 When your cold outbreak may compare to the one 81 years ago , I think that`s pretty EPIC .Personally i am excited for it. We haven't seen the western bays frozen completely since 1994. I vividly remember my dad taking me to see it. The great South Bay freezes more frequently. 2004 saw that happen but it's bigger and shallower with less water movement. The western bays are deeper with more water movement under bridges and what not. So it does take epic cold to freeze that. I remember reading somewhere that during the 1700s little ice age that the ocean froze south of Long Island. Now that's epic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Some nice radiational cooling overnight. Select low temperatures: Bridgeport: 3° Danbury: -8° Islip: 7° Poughkeepsie: -7° Westhampton: -8° White Plains: 3° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Personally i am excited for it. We haven't seen the western bays frozen completely since 1994. I vividly remember my dad taking me to see it. The great South Bay freezes more frequently. 2004 saw that happen but it's bigger and shallower with less water movement. The western bays are deeper with more water movement under bridges and what not. So it does take epic cold to freeze that. I remember reading somewhere that during the 1700s little ice age that the ocean froze south of Long Island. Now that's epic Cape May, February 1899: "The edge of the ocean is a mass of ice as far as the eye can see"...was the quote from the State Gazette after the Great Blizzard of 1899...which put down a record 34 inches at Cape May, NJ and featured possibly the greatest arctic outbreak ever seen in the eastern US. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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