bluewave Posted February 18, 2015 Author Share Posted February 18, 2015 it will be interesting what the coldest 30 days will be...1979 was 26.2 for 30 days...January 31st and March 1st 1979 were mild bring up the average...2004 had a 30 day period averaging 22.5...I think we could see a period averging less than 25 if it stays cold the rest of the month... Yeah, I agree with you. A cold enough last week of the month would allow February to finish below 25.0 in NYC. A 25.3 or lower would also let us to catch that elusive -10 monthly temperature departure. I believe the only two -10 months in NYC since the 1970's were January 1977 and December 1989. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Yeah, I agree with you. A cold enough last week of the month would allow February to finish below 25.0 in NYC. A 25.3 or lower would also let us to catch that elusive -10 monthly temperature departure. I believe the only two -10 months in NYC since the 1970's were January 1977 and December 1989. Next two days should bring that average down about one degree...Saturday will drop it further, then after Monday it could drop further with continued cold...CP could easily finish below 24 degrees...BTW UHI this morning with 8 degrees here and 19 at CP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 18, 2015 Author Share Posted February 18, 2015 Next two days should bring that average down about one degree...Saturday will drop it further, then after Monday it could drop further with continued cold...CP could easily finish below 24 degrees...BTW UHI this morning with 8 degrees here and 19 at CP. Yeah, the cold really stands out compared to how mild Februaries have been here since 1979. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Yeah, the cold really stands out compared to how mild Februaries have been here since 1979. Screen shot 2015-02-18 at 5.31.24 PM.png Wow, look at 1934, stands out like a sore thumb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I think there might be some ocean effect snow currently over central Suffolk. Any reports? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Chesapeake Bay, been a while since it's been like this: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 19, 2015 Author Share Posted February 19, 2015 24.8 and -9.6 in NYC through the 2/18. You know it has been cold when there are no above normal temperature days for the month yet in NYC. The last above normal daily departure in NYC was back on 1/25. STATION: CENTRAL PARK NY MONTH: FEBRUARY YEAR: 2015 LATITUDE: 40 46 N LONGITUDE: 73 58 W TEMPERATURE IN F: :PCPN: SNOW: WIND :SUNSHINE: SKY :PK WND================================================================================1 2 3 4 5 6A 6B 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 12Z AVG MX 2MINDY MAX MIN AVG DEP HDD CDD WTR SNW DPTH SPD SPD DIR MIN PSBL S-S WX SPD DR================================================================================ 1 36 20 28 -5 37 0 0.03 0.3 6 3.7 12 250 M M 7 18 17 260 2 34 14 24 -9 41 0 1.02 3.3 7 9.8 22 70 M M 9 1268 32 310 3 26 13 20 -13 45 0 0.00 0.0 8 7.2 17 310 M M 0 27 310 4 43 24 34 0 31 0 0.00 0.0 8 4.2 13 260 M M 6 19 250 5 42 14 28 -6 37 0 0.00 0.0 8 8.4 20 360 M M 5 30 310 6 27 12 20 -14 45 0 0.00 0.0 8 7.2 17 270 M M 1 26 240 7 40 25 33 -1 32 0 0.02 T 8 3.9 12 260 M M 8 8 18 250 8 37 29 33 -1 32 0 0.00 0.0 8 8.6 18 70 M M 9 18 26 60 9 29 25 27 -7 38 0 0.09 T 8 11.0 20 60 M M 10 8 29 5010 40 26 33 -1 32 0 0.01 0.1 8 10.4 18 30 M M 7 8 27 2011 34 22 28 -6 37 0 0.00 0.0 8 6.5 18 50 M M 0 26 6012 40 16 28 -7 37 0 T T 8 7.3 22 310 M M 9 8 39 32013 21 8 15 -20 50 0 0.00 0.0 8 9.1 22 310 M M 0 37 30014 32 16 24 -11 41 0 0.02 0.9 8 5.3 14 10 M M 8 8 23 25015 25 4 15 -20 50 0 T T 9 14.6 23 300 M M 5 8 42 31016 21 3 12 -23 53 0 0.00 0.0 9 6.9 21 310 M M 1 36 32017 27 14 21 -15 44 0 0.14 3.3 12 4.7 12 50 M M 6 8 16 3018 33 19 26 -10 39 0 T T 9 4.2 15 250 M M 3 8 21 260================================================================================ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 I think we will have another 3 weeks before we even hit 40 degrees. This weekend system is not cutting west of us, models are wrong with this. Pattern is too progressive, and Arctic high from Central US will press in here Sunday like strongly. I think we stay below freezing the entire weekend by the way. I think now through 3/12/15 fail to hit freezing. Maybe the pattern changes slightly warmer after that. Folks the +PNA / -EPO are not going anywhere, looking at the EURO runs. Based on recent trends, possibly a good call regarding the weekend storm from you (along with PB). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 We should pull off some impressive departures today and tomorrow though the midnight high might make today a bit less impressive than it would have been otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 19, 2015 Author Share Posted February 19, 2015 Temperatures are going to plunge after dark and the current dewpoints are coming in below guidance with very strong CAA underway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 how did the park hit 33 yesterday? lga, ewr, and jfk all maxed at 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Appears that Sunday may be the only above freezing day over the next week, which would make it the only one in two weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 so far every day in Feb. had a minimum 32 or lower...I think its 25 straight now...February could have all 28 days with a minimum below freezing....that would tie the record... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 so far every day in Feb. had a minimum 32 or lower...I think its 25 straight now...February could have all 28 days with a minimum below freezing....that would tie the record...Have had 16 days here with a minimum under 20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 how did the park hit 33 yesterday? lga, ewr, and jfk all maxed at 31 zoo keeper was blowing cigarette smoke to close to the thermometer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Not much ice on the Hudson today. It's all collected on the east bank so it's getting blown across. Once winds calm it's should start to fill again. I haven't been down to the great South Bay yet this week. I wonder how that's doing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 I can't recall the last time I've seen the Peconic Bay as frozen as it is now. There's some openings, but not many. Just really noticed today since I had the opportunity to see it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Wife reporting a snow squall back at home in Marlboro, NJ Monmouth County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 16 degrees at 6. KNYC looks like it's gonna hit 0 tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeWeatherGeek Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 16 degrees at 6. KNYC looks like it's gonna hit 0 tonight.although not as windy as the last brutal arctic outbreak it feels colder outside. To be honest I don't ever remember nyc being this cold. Amazing 7 is the record tonight so that will be shattered tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 so far every day in Feb. had a minimum 32 or lower...I think its 25 straight now...February could have all 28 days with a minimum below freezing....that would tie the record... Maybe we can break it next year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 NYC will probably hit 4 or 5, I'm not optimistic of much lower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 another chance for a record monday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 another chance for a record monday night...everywhere except the park. -1 will be extremely difficult to beat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Part of me thinks they aren't going below 0 again til we get out of this positive AMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 I give the park 6 tonight. CAA was bonkers on Sunday night and already 4 at 10 pm. Only dropped on more degree! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 I give the park 6 tonight. CAA was bonkers on Sunday night and already 4 at 10 pm. Only dropped on more degree! The 850s are colder tonight and stay cold all night but I think the wind direction is more downslope tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Not much ice on the Hudson today. It's all collected on the east bank so it's getting blown across. Once winds calm it's should start to fill again. I haven't been down to the great South Bay yet this week. I wonder how that's doing East River in midtown looked a lot clearer as well. Will be interesting to see it tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 16 degrees at 6. KNYC looks like it's gonna hit 0 tonight. It was 11 at 6 on Sunday, and we only got to 3. Granted the 850s started warming around 10pm that evening so we bottomed out around that time, but we aren't dropping nearly as fast as on Sunday. 15F now, after a high around 22. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 20, 2015 Author Share Posted February 20, 2015 15 at 7pm in NYC. Central Park just needs to drop under 10 before midnight so it can get 2 more single digit low days in February. That would bring NYC to 5 on the month and 5th place with more single digit potential before the month ends. Top February single digit days in NYC: 12...1875 10...1934 8.....1979 6.....1917, 1914, 1881 3......2015...so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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