RikC Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 been lurking here forever... ... hats off to the brilliant analysis found here... I last particapated actively on the ne.weather USENET group from the late 90s; some of the same peeps here; some of the kids from then are great mets today... keep up the great work guys!!! WHAT A WINTER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Euro is basically dead nuts with 12z through 42 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 been lurking here forever... ... hats off to the brilliant analysis found here... I last particapated actively on the ne.weather USENET group from the late 90s; some of the same peeps here; some of the kids from then are great mets today... keep up the great work guys!!! WHAT A WINTER That is Awesome! Do tell the stories!! Glad to have you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Looks similar to 12z, maybe a hair NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2015 Author Share Posted February 13, 2015 Looks similar to 12z, maybe a hair NE.Ugh. Trend over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Not really much of a difference from 12z unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Yeah I'd say slightly NE of 12z...tho almost dead nuts. Was hoping the Euro made another move south...but not this run. Verbatim solution is very similar to 12z for QPF and such. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2015 Author Share Posted February 13, 2015 Not really much of a difference from 12z unfortunatelyIt always gets too amped, then corrects. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 EURO once Again hates SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Euro depiction almost the same as 00z RGEM at 48hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 0.7 for much of eastern mass while BOS is tickled with 0.8. 0.9 tickles pvc. 0.5 to orh and pvd. 0.4 pretty much covers the rest of SNE. 1.5 downeast maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Euro depiction almost the same as 00z RGEM at 48hr. RGEM was definitely a bit deeper with the trough. But it's not like the Euro is ugly...it has the closed H5 low comfortably south of LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Is the euro ne or sw of the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Is the euro ne or sw of the GFS? I'd say pretty darn similar...GFS does a better job at wrapping in the CCB though versus the Euro...but we're not talking big differences here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 RGEM was definitely a bit deeper with the trough. But it's not like the Euro is ugly...it has the closed H5 low comfortably south of LI Right. I was just referring to the placement of the H5 low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I'll gladly take the 0.8" the EURO gives me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 GGEM with the elongated low that dodges around SNE leaving an inverted trough look in its wake... Euro kinda similar, bothersome 0z Euro maybe even a tick northeast at H5 compared to 12z NAM, GFS consistently trended deeper with digging, giving developing surface low more latitude to consolidate than as depicted on the Euro... and as we know 0z RGEM had a low brewing well south off of Delaware / SNJ 0z NAVGEM looking better, slows east of eMA similar to GFS Ukie hitting the bottle 6z RGEM enters the stage, big run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Breezy along coastal locals. Gusts to 80!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RikC Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 eta for 6Z RGEM??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 6z Nam at H5 about the same, maybe a tick east, but tucks surface low a little better than 0z hours 54-60 commahead a good hit on eMA step in the right direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I like the look of the NAM and GFS right now, QPF is paltry on this side of the low, but it deepens down into the 970s and winds to hurricane force. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 6z RGEM continues too many chefs in the kitchen look resulting in disjointed inflow... even though it starts further south, consolidated low probably would form just a little too far east the GGEM has a similar depiction, and then fujiwaras the southwest low out before it can impact SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 for all of SNE kev will be happy Just fantastic trends overnight as we were thinking. I hear Euro ens are better than op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 6z GFS ticked south, even better hit than 0z for SNE huge hit by commahead as system exits right Sunday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 BOX expanded the watches back here which was surprising they didn't do last night. Still fully expecting Blizzard warning for all of SNE at 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 GFS not backing off damaging wind potential..That is sick..Sick, sick, sick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 6z NAM / GFS actually pretty similar and both better than 0z runs, both have ideal track of H5 low and midlevel features south of LI/Cape, both tuck surface low closer to MA coastline, big impact with commahead 6z GFS so far depicts best hit for SNE still concerned that 0z Euro / GGEM and now 6z RGEM depict 2 surface lows that fujiwara away from SNE and have disjointed inflow until they consolidate too far east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 You guys ready for 60 inches on a level by Sunday night PLUS high winds? Par-tay like it's 1717 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 GFS not backing off damaging wind potential..That is sick..Sick, sick, sick. I think you'll only pick up 4-7" of snow but the associated conditions will probably be impressive - perhaps moreso after the snow ends actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I think you'll only pick up 4-7" of snow but the associated conditions will probably be impressive - perhaps moreso after the snow ends actually. My guess is 8-12 at least as I think there's going to be a nice deformation band over most of CT..If the GFS is right..and of course that's a big if..the track of the mid level lows is ideal for massive dump here...but yeah the wind aspect of this has me super excited. Ripping gusts to 65mph with 3 feet of snow OTG..Well that's something you just dream about but never expect to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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