Zeus Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 These types of mid-level center depictions are where myths and tales of unforecasted 3" per hour rotting deformation bands are born...you always keep your guard up on this setup: For those who do not partake in heavy circle science, know but this: the green doughnut, though perhaps visually unappetizing, is delicious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Figured this run would do that. I also expect this to eventually start ticking back ne very late in the game, so we really want to build some margin for error. Sounds like you have been here before.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 These types of mid-level center depictions are where myths and tales of unforecasted 3" per hour rotting deformation bands are born...you always keep your guard up on this setup: Will you getting pumped? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 You probably also want to keep an eye out for 925 and 850 lows too since it's so dam cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 These types of mid-level center depictions are where myths and tales of unforecasted 3" per hour rotting deformation bands are born...you always keep your guard up on this setup: That's a textbook definition of perfect 700mb low track/placement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Yes! Warn the fish immediately! Dude, you are an absolute Comedian...I'm dying over here reding your posts!! He obviously meant Westward. But the fish, hey they need to know too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Just saw the GFS. Great improvement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 These types of mid-level center depictions are where myths and tales of unforecasted 3" per hour rotting deformation bands are born...you always keep your guard up on this setup: Goosebump worthy. The euro tonight might be a sight to behold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2015 Author Share Posted February 13, 2015 harv going 12+ for EMA He has had that. I have a feeling he'll need a bigger boat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 It's going to be interesting to see how Boston even begins to recoup from this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 yup im feeling this one have been for a few days now That's a textbook definition of perfect 700mb low track/placement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Goosebump worthy. The euro tonight might be a sight to behold. Euro tends to make smaller steps...I'd expect nothing different tonight. It will porbably look slightly better than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 He has had that. I have a feeling he'll need a bigger boat. Lol, agreed. A few more ticks like that and this is a massive storm for a lot of folks... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2015 Author Share Posted February 13, 2015 Sounds like you have been here before.......... Well, just watch and wait.....nooses will start flying out on the western periphery, as Messeger finds some obscure meso model to torment us with every hour with each ne tic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Don't focus at 700 since it's like -25C lol. The lower levels are probably more Important. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 He was referring to France. Which is not in Connecticut This infraction drips with intent. I cast you out with the following random hex: may your nudes leak at a time that is inopportune for your political aspirations. They're not always that great. But yeah, he's on the right track. Provided that the Euro also keeps the happy shift party going in its 00z run, watches should ooze westward in the 4 AM product update. I still don't feel comfortable with these amounts being tossed around. 10"? 15"? 15:1 ratios? You can't just huck numbers around and expect me to shovel them all up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2015 Author Share Posted February 13, 2015 What a fascinating back. And Will is starting to feel this deep inside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 yup im feeling this one have been for a few days now That's pretty great to see for our areas. The CCB would start to get going and organized perhaps just west of our locals and quickly being to intensify. I would be a little worried though that we are just a bit too far west for the good fun...the situation would have to unfold exactly as modeled for us to get a solid hit. Regardless though the biggest issue is the potential impacts for eastern MA...you have to be thinking potentially upwards of 18-20'' or so for some of these areas and that would be an enormous deal. Not to mention the cold/wind potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Don't focus at 700 since it's like -25C lol. The lower levels are probably more Important. and more impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Man this is pretty incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Well, just watch and wait.....nooses will start flying out on the western periphery, as Messeger finds some obscure meso model to torment us with every hour with each ne tic. Lol where's he been? What started as noise is now unquestionably very positive trends since 12z. I want to see 0z GGEM follow and have a less disjointed surface depiction. Watch RGEM lead the pack with deepest digging from 54 hours out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Great depiction on the GFS. And thanks to Ginx for posting that link. Interesting read. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Well, just watch and wait.....nooses will start flying out on the western periphery, as Messeger finds some obscure meso model to torment us with every hour with each ne tic. He sniffs those out like Wiz sniffs out goldfish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Don't focus at 700 since it's like -25C lol. The lower levels are probably more Important. The timestamp I posted has 700mb in the -16 to -18 range...that's still pretty primo for snowgrowth...later at 66h and beyond, it really cools though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Lol where's he been? What started as noise is now unquestionably very positive trends since 12z. I want to see 0z GGEM follow and have a less disjointed surface depiction. Watch RGEM lead the pack with deepest digging from 54 hours out... He is flying somewhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 That's pretty great to see for our areas. The CCB would start to get going and organized perhaps just west of our locals and quickly being to intensify. I would be a little worried though that we are just a bit too far west for the good fun...the situation would have to unfold exactly as modeled for us to get a solid hit. Regardless though the biggest issue is the potential impacts for eastern MA...you have to be thinking potentially upwards of 18-20'' or so for some of these areas and that would be an enormous deal. Not to mention the cold/wind potential TSSN? where would it be possible/likely on this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Wow fantastic run. Just hope it holds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The timestamp I posted has 700mb in the -16 to -18 range...that's still pretty primo for snowgrowth...later at 66h and beyond, it really cools though. Yeah I meant more later on after hr 60 and also...the fact that snow growth is pretty good down low too. Very rare indeed. If we can get good low level inflow, that's a real sweet look in terms of snow growth. Such a cold a system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Christ, what kind of depth is Bangor gonna have after this? Aren't they already in the mid fifties? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The bosomy gal on ch 7 going pretty far westward with the higher amounts, has 12" all the way to Springfield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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