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Super Snow Sunday 2/15-Party Like it's 1717


40/70 Benchmark

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That NAM depiction is not happening.  Nobody is getting sixty inches of snow from this lol.  During Nemo in 2013, the NAM had a run where it gave parts of Central CT and N.E. Mass and Long Island 70 inches of accumulation.  The NAM is nuts most times, you can't take that depiction seriously. 

 

This is going to be a Beast no doubt for somebody, but not 60 inches...!

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That NAM depiction is not happening.  Nobody is getting sixty inches of snow from this lol.  During Nemo in 2013, the NAM had a run where it gave parts of Central CT and N.E. Mass and Long Island 70 inches of accumulation.  The NAM is nuts most times, you can't take that depiction seriously. 

 

This is going to be a Beast no doubt for somebody, but not 60 inches...!

meh, it was only off by 30 inches....still wowed by that storm.

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That NAM depiction is not happening.  Nobody is getting sixty inches of snow from this lol.  During Nemo in 2013, the NAM had a run where it gave parts of Central CT and N.E. Mass and Long Island 70 inches of accumulation.  The NAM is nuts most times, you can't take that depiction seriously. 

 

This is going to be a Beast no doubt for somebody, but not 60 inches...!

To be fair the NAM isn't giving 60"...the instantwxmaps algorithm is.
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H5 closed off over PHL at 57 hours...QPF queens won't like that frame since it has a sucker hole over SNE at the time...but I really like the way the midlevels are trending.

NAM looks really good for SNE, especially east.  Noticeable improvement from 18z, which wasn't even bad.  If a well defined trowal develops it's going to dump for a few hours, and it won't be modeled at the grid scale of the globals.

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That NAM depiction is not happening. Nobody is getting sixty inches of snow from this lol. During Nemo in 2013, the NAM had a run where it gave parts of Central CT and N.E. Mass and Long Island 70 inches of accumulation. The NAM is nuts most times, you can't take that depiction seriously.

This is going to be a Beast no doubt for somebody, but not 60 inches...!

The NAM doesn't have a ceiling on the atmosphere. It sees the atmosphere as limitlessly convective at times, so it produces exceedingly unrealistic QPF Totals.
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