ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Pretty sure Scott looks at Mid level features more closely Yeah we are more speaking about how the 500 low digs...it makes it further SW this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Pickles I was just looking at 500mb. It was a further SSW. A bit. You could see it in the QPF fields too..it tries to wrap the TROWAL further SW. It was not significant, but again..a tick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2015 Author Share Posted February 12, 2015 Denial is a river in Africa People should have tanken notice when our outlooks, as much as we bicker, were lock-and-step. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Every single run gets better and better but I'm still not sold on the mega snowfall... I never really thought of this as a 20" potential thing... maybe a foot, but the volatility is the calling card... wind, explosiveness. Stuff the sciency folk enjoy ooing and aahing at. Me? I like filling up a big cup with snow, pouring whiskey into it, and eating a whilst Mid-Atlantic frozen precip voyeurs enjoy me via webcam. For a certain amount of bitcoins, I lick an icicle. Everybody goes home happy. I will admit things have nudged gently but nonetheless meaningfully into a better looking direction so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Denial is a river in Africa You're really gun ho on high amounts for CT or are you just Gung ho on the meterological aspect of this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 In case you missed Euro Ens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2015 Author Share Posted February 12, 2015 I never really thought of this as a 20" potential thing... maybe a foot, but the volatility is the calling card... wind, explosiveness. Stuff the sciency folk enjoy ooing and aahing at. Me? I like filling up a big cup with snow, pouring whiskey into it, and eating a whilst Mid-Atlantic frozen precip voyeurs enjoy me via webcam. For a certain amount of bitcoins, I lick an icicle. Everybody goes home happy. I will admit things have nudged gently but nonetheless meaningfully into a better looking direction so far today. I think this has 20" potential in far ne MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 You're really gun ho on high amounts for CT or are you just Gung ho on the meterological aspect of this? NE Ct should approach a foot I would say, but overall i am intrigued by these processes. Jay in Boston might see 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 I think this has 20" potential in far ne MA. I was just staring at a few of the models and thinking the same thing. SE NH and NE MA look great now, obviously york county maine too. If we keep ticking sw.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2015 Author Share Posted February 12, 2015 I never really thought of this as a 20" potential thing... maybe a foot, but the volatility is the calling card... wind, explosiveness. Stuff the sciency folk enjoy ooing and aahing at. Me? I like filling up a big cup with snow, pouring whiskey into it, and eating a whilst Mid-Atlantic frozen precip voyeurs enjoy me via webcam. For a certain amount of bitcoins, I lick an icicle. Everybody goes home happy. I will admit things have nudged gently but nonetheless meaningfully into a better looking direction so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 NE Ct should approach a foot I would say, but overall i am intrigued by these processes. Jay in Boston might see 18 I wonder if Andover sees more than Southie. As modeled now that might be the case. But we all know how those jackpots several days out tend to work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2015 Author Share Posted February 12, 2015 I was just staring at a few of the models and thinking the same thing. SE NH and NE MA look great now, obviously york county maine too. If we keep ticking sw.... Always have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2015 Author Share Posted February 12, 2015 I wonder if Andover sees more than Southie. As modeled now that might be the case. But we all know how those jackpots several days out tend to work. The cut off would have to position quintessentially perfectly to allow for that given the set up....otherwise, I would have to give the nod to southie, as they are well suited to avail of oes contributions... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Pretty sure Scott looks at Mid level features more closely I knew I would get a response from the "snow lobby" I was talking about 7H low at 12z Sunday Looking at 5H, hr 48 you can see the height contours clearly a touch SW at 5H, then as the hours progress it is a touch S, SSE and finally 5H is a tick ESE hr 66 at 5H compared to hr 72 at 12z. I just figured you would agree with whatever was snowier But Yes as WIll and Scott, alluded to it is a touch SW as it traverses lakes. I've been excited since I heard Euro ENS were SW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Tuesday might be the straw that breaks Bostons back, can't even comprehend 2-3 feet again in a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 The cut off would have to position quintessentially perfectly to allow for that given the set up....otherwise, I would have to give the nod to southie, as they are well suited to avail of oes contributions... Not exactly our traditional setup.. I wonder where OES would setup.. Too early to try and nail that. Hell it's tough to nail it six hours before a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 I'm supposed to be driving home from E CT on Saturday. Just wondering what the timing is on this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Not exactly our traditional setup.. I wonder where OES would setup.. Too early to try and nail that. Hell it's tough to nail it six hours before a storm. No OES unless this was further south. Winds goes N-NW rather quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Flow is more northerly in this storm so OES will be less of a factor...if we can get enough easterly flow early in the event, then there could be some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2015 Author Share Posted February 12, 2015 Not exactly our traditional setup.. I wonder where OES would setup.. Too early to try and nail that. Hell it's tough to nail it six hours before a storm. You can pretty much bank on at least some oes from KBOS points sse in in a very cold set up like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 I knew I would get a response from the "snow lobby" I was talking about 7H low at 12z Sunday Looking at 5H, hr 48 you can see the height contours clearly a touch SW at 5H, then as the hours progress it is a touch S, SSE and finally 5H is a tick ESE hr 66 at 5H compared to hr 72 at 12z. I just figured you would agree with whatever was snowier yea ok pickles, not being emotional about this response but you couldn't be further from the truth. Hows that flat ridge making out? I just responded to your post because Scott was saying further SW and obviously looking above the surface reflection. In fact if you remember I started out this threat saying those looking for big snows this is not your storm but have since come to realize, Pete Repete. I would closely watch the rGEM because if it is starting to taste a further SW trend then this gets taken to another level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2015 Author Share Posted February 12, 2015 Flow is more northerly in this storm so OES will be less of a factor...if we can get enough easterly flow early in the event, then there could be some. No OES unless this was further south. Winds goes N-NW rather quickly. Oh, ok. I stand corrected. I'd stay in Andover, then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Getting lots of folks at work e-mailing me requests for forecasts. My answer is "probably alot" which in my view is 6+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2015 Author Share Posted February 12, 2015 Tuesday might be the straw that breaks Bostons back, can't even comprehend 2-3 feet again in a week. That one seems to have the potential to lay a 10-spot. OT, just stole an inch of like 50:1 FLUFF Overperformer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Oh, ok. I stand corrected. I'd stay in Andover, then. I remember somebody going home from Storrs Blizz 13 because many here told him to go to NWCT, oops. Love the evolution today, tic, toc, tic toc ticking sw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 I'd stay in Boston just for the winds and of course the anarchy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 I'd stay in Boston just for the winds and of course the anarchy I work the club Saturday night... Something tells me they will be open.... I sure hope not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 I think this has 20" potential in far ne MA. agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 . In fact if you remember I started out this threat saying those looking for big snows this is not your storm but have since come to realize, Pete Repete. I would closely watch the rGEM because if it is starting to taste a further SW trend then this gets taken to another level. Ya, that run of the RGEM honestly seemed out of left field. Is there another model even within 200 miles of it. I'm all for a bowling ball digging but I wonder how much room this has to correct SW. Another 75 miles would make a lot of folks on this board even happier. Euro Ens may lead way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 agreed. Ozone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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