HoarfrostHubb Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Is the ULL looking elongated at all? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Crushed, snowmobile You have to be careful with that much on the ground though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Ok In the right direction for who? The whole region? ESNE WSNE CNE NNE? My sense is it might be better a bit for everyone. Yeah, I would say that is accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 that's not much of a change for consecutive runs at this stage. It's not like you're going to get an exact carbon copy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2015 Author Share Posted February 12, 2015 We've seen this show before....been a marathon for the past 3 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Ok In the right direction for who? The whole region? ESNE WSNE CNE NNE? My sense is it might be better a bit for everyone. It was actually better for you too, but I was speaking about this area. My bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Ughhh headache inducing: "it's north" "it's south" "it's better" "it's the same" If you think this is bad, just wait for the folks who get emotionally invested while on the fringe of areas realistically expecting certain levels of impact, suddenly hallucinating about the low center looking like it will form several feet south of where it was forecast, watching radar in NJ like a hawk for signs of false hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2015 Author Share Posted February 12, 2015 that's not much of a change for consecutive runs at this stage. It's not like you're going to get an exact carbon copy. The key is it's been in the same direction for the past few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 84 hr total, damn, zoom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 It was actually better for you too, but I was speaking about this area. My bad. Not your bad.... You just have to realize how many of us are hanging on every word. LOL But Will comforted me just in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2015 Author Share Posted February 12, 2015 84 hr total, damn, zoom I'll take 1" qpf Matches Euro just about. 1'+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 That GIF shows you the Rockies s/w trough too. Notice 12z GFS had higher heights there which is what we want. You can see that clearly I really like that GIF perspective, it actually makes small changes easy to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 I'll take 1" qpf Matches Euro just about. 1'+ Congrats Cweat, Scooter, Hullamania, Peter in Gloucester, Eric, Jeffafa , Tamarack, Maine Photog, Eastport. add Razor, lol and notice our ORH bubble, never fails, Congrats Wills old house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 It's called join another hobby and ignore it. What? People were posting multiple different conflicting things tip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 GFS is definitely stronger and further south than previous runs with the upper level low and surface low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Very solid guess from Noyes @MattNoyesNECN 4m4 minutes ago Very early, and therefore not entirely reliable, methods of estimating I have would put much of Maine 1-2ft, eastern MA somewhere 6-12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Very solid guess from Noyes @MattNoyesNECN 4m4 minutes ago Very early, and therefore not entirely reliable, methods of estimating I have would put much of Maine 1-2ft, eastern MA somewhere 6-12" agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Hard to read that map.. Was that .75 to I-91? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Hard to read that map.. Was that .75 to I-91? No. Here's a better map, subtract 0.05-0.10 for today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 I think folks will have better luck finding a fix for their addiction/obsession in the stuff that happens after this weird double event N-stream dominance thing gets out of the way. The EPO stays negative so cold loading as we enter late season style should remain... and operationally, a lot of guidance brings more of a southern stream moisture transport into continental cold at that time. We may still get clipped ...hell, even majorly so for far eastern/NE zones - or not. But what's the price tag in getting there? If you are responsible for forecasting more officially, ur f if you do or don't because one way or the other, the one-eyed-cosmic monster is out to ruin ur rep. And if you are in it for some other reason, it's just not worth it... It sucks for you if you are forecasting for a living, because doing something else is not an option. I don't envy you - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Hard to read that map.. Was that .75 to I-91? Seems like 0.6-0.8 for your hood. 0.3 in the valley. 1.0 right over scott's hood and south shore. 0.9 bos. 0.8 lwm. 0.8 taunton. 0.8 orh. 0.9 plymouth. 0.6 hubbsdave/tippy. berks 0.6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 No. Here's a better map, subtract 0.05-0.10 for today. Porked here on that map... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Hard to read that map.. Was that .75 to I-91? its a foot to you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 GFS blows the Cape off the Map too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Hard to read that map.. Was that .75 to I-91? i don't think it did The first shading of blue which is just inside NW portion of 128 is around .8 (as labeled up in maine clearer) However in this set up i'm not terribly worried about models QPF totals (and not really bc of ratios) but a trend moister is def good to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Porked here on that map...GFS has consistently been putting us in a screwzone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Because the low tucks in, it has a wicked nasty backlash Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 This would be an epic storm if not for it's predecessor today. Today's storm is screwing the pooch. Heights in the western Atlantic can't recover fast enough and the baroclinic zone is shifted too far east. Ironically, with weaker dynamics, I think we'll get more from Tues- Wed with the GOM open for business Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Late to the party, but wouldn't mind the 12z GFS one bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 GFS blows the Cape off the Map too.Does James end up in Bermuda? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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