TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 How does SE mass and the Cape fare I'm guessing very well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 It's not as slow. Let's hope it goes bonkers before it gets too far east or eastport maine will be celebrating while BOS has some moderate snow thrown back at it and the interior is sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 Duration is the only thing keeping this storm from reaching the Blizzard of 2015 standards, however dynamics might be able to overcome that in 6"/hour rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 Not a met, but based on watching this stuff for 15+ years, I'd wait for Thursday to get out of here before sounding too many alarms here. Credited? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 Euro has 900 hPa winds of nearly 85 kts at 96 hrs feeding right into the bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 Duration is the only thing keeping this storm from reaching the Blizzard of 2015 standards, however dynamics might be able to overcome that in 6"/hour rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 Euro has 900 hPa winds of nearly 85 kts at 96 hrs feeding right into the bay. That's 100mph winds at 5000 feet, epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 This thing is so massive in that solution it's really clocking NJ and down to PHL too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 Duration is the only thing keeping this storm from reaching the Blizzard of 2015 standards, however dynamics might be able to overcome that in 6"/hour rates.Maybe even a foot/hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 Amazes me the way minor events have led into major week after week. It's the pattern we have gotten stuck in. Major storm every Sun-Tues, minor storm every Thur-Fri. Been like that for 3 weeks now. I have seen this type of pattern happen before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 Ok king james, take it easy With the full court shots at day 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 Not a met, but based on watching this stuff for 15+ years, I'd wait for Thursday to get out of here before sounding too many alarms here. Credited? Plenty of wiggle room left between now and showtime. That said, seeing this from the Euro certainly increases confidence of significant impact to eastern New England from the Sunday system. If the guidance shows some run-to-run consistency hereafter -- through 00z Friday at least -- you can begin dallying with panic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 It's the pattern we have gotten stuck in. Major storm every Sun-Tues, minor storm every Thur-Fri. Been like that for 3 weeks now. I have seen this type of pattern happen before. ..you were around in 1717? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 I love the fact that this is trending into a Sat PM/SUN event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 The faster Thursday gets out of the way, the better. This has been said for awhile now. The downstream ridging across the Atlantic looked a lot better this run as it sped Thursday up a bunch. Hopefully by tomorrow it's going the speed of light so we can get this thing to get captured around ACK/CC at sub 975mb. I agree. I know others have said that That Thurs. storm doesnt affect this storm, but you need not look any further than raising the heights out front of this bad boy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 PVC out on the Cape is actually the winner on the Euro...about 1.5" of qpf all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 Maybe even a foot/hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 ..you were around in 1717? I mean not at the magnitude of snow we are getting, but in other winters a similar pattern of larger storms and minor storms, like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 Gentlemen, please keep the hyperbole/sarcasm factor down if you can. Some of us have trouble differentiating realistic from fantasy. I am pretty sure a foot an hour is impossible and that 6" an hour is unlikely. If this storm can slam Philadelphia while we are in the brunt of it, it seems pretty amazing. It sounds like a real true to life blizzard is developing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 I agree. I know others have said that That Thurs. storm doesnt affect this storm, but you need not look any further than raising the heights out front of this bad boy Thats what was needed to get this to turn up NNW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 Hopefully things stay that way at least until tomorrow's 0z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 It's not as slow.No, but that was modeled to be a fast mover initially as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 ..you were around in 1717? I was. Only three years old, then, though. Can't remember much about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 That's a 1978 like pressure gradient on the back side. It maybe comparable wind wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 No, but that was modeled to be a fast mover initially as well Not this fast...it was always at least a 24h storm. It lingered for 30-36. This one has a chance to be very good, but I wouldn't expect a 36 hour storm right now. The flow is moving along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 How are the astronomical tides looking for this as currently modeled? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 Before anyway allows this to blow up their mood to equal proportions... You may want to play it conservative until there is more consistency both native to the Euro, but including other guidance. This is just another in a myriad of solutions we've seen over the past couple of days; it just so happens this one catches lightning in a bottle. You throw enough darts at a dart board blind-folded or not and you'll poke a bull's eye at some point or another. Granted 'as is' this is heavily trended toward a major impact. We did mentioned in the earlier coastal threat thread when that one appeared still on the table, 'ideally, to get the Sun-Mon done we didn't/don't want the Thur deal to stick around.' Seems with the subtle acceleration of the lead event ... perhaps this is crossing back over a threshold in physical plausibility - if you will - in that we're getting the wave spacing back enough to pull this off. Two days ago the late Thur system was dominant and Sun was stretch given to the complexity of wave-spacing arguments. What we've managed to do after certain brow rubbing and consertnation is switch positions for all intense and purpose -- tho I would argue the Sun would be comparatively a greater impact. ... I just know that the flow is very active after that... A lot of guidance want to bring some kind of large event continental style, from the MV-lower Lakes-OV/MA/NE regions already at D6/7!! If so, now we are in a situation where Sun starts getting challenged if we are not careful. I think keeping your minds as cool customers is probably warranted here more so than normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 Not this fast...it was always at least a 24h storm. It lingered for 30-36. This one has a chance to be very good, but I wouldn't expect a 36 hour storm right now. The flow is moving along. We just need it to hang around long enough to tug things down in advance of the Tuesday threat so that we stay all snow for that one, obvi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 Holy crap, I just pulled up the model output for TAN. 20" LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 11, 2015 Share Posted February 11, 2015 Randy, would you be interested in splitting a room with me? PM me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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