dryslot Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 12z Ukie, We bang Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Ukie, have to wait until 330 to go beyond here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 It seems to me that we have decent consensus on widespread warnings BDL north and east and back to the berkshires. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 4:53 PM, Damage In Tolland said: We'll see what Ukie and Euro do, but if they follow trends of the first 3 models today.. Blizzard watches at 4:00 You really like jumping the gun, don't you? It's a good thing you're a long-distance runner. You'd be a crappy sprinter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Ukie is GFS like it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2015 Author Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 4:45 PM, Ginxy said: Remember you told me about Halifax last night, GGEM gives them 85 mm, 3.33 inches with hurricane winds, now that is going to be sick Blizz of '78 for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 4:52 PM, SR Airglow said: Yes. Basically(Very simplified here), ULL being south allows the secondary to form at a more southerly latitude, allowing it more time to deepen and mature before it reaches the latitude which would impact our region. Thank you. This is new info to me... understand now the link between the placement of the ULL and the formation of a secondary (surface?) low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 4:54 PM, weathafella said: It seems to me that we have decent consensus on widespread warnings BDL north and east and back to the berkshires. Not with the Ukie in NW Mass. Or, I'm misreading the map that was just posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Just curious, how does Navgem look? It seems that the Navgem and Canadian have been somewhat consistant with the last three storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 4:58 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: What is up with the GFS and especially the UK screwing nw of Boston? I believe it's the main "coastal" that hits ME the hardest and then the "IVT" type thing that hits SEMA/ECT the hardest and NW of BOS is left with the seconds from both that combine for a solid but not spectacular showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Here's what Fox Boston just tweeted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 4:54 PM, dryslot said: 12z Ukie, We bang we bang as in U bang, as in Maine bang Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 4:58 PM, moneypitmike said: Not with the Ukie in NW Mass. Or, I'm misreading the map that was just posted.What? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 4:58 PM, moneypitmike said: Not with the Ukie in NW Mass. Or, I'm misreading the map that was just posted. Storm goes beyond that maps time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 4:53 PM, Damage In Tolland said: We'll see what Ukie and Euro do, but if they follow trends of the first 3 models today.. Blizzard watches at 4:00Bumpity bump we bump up: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 GEFS looks nice too, feeling good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 4:59 PM, rnaude241 said: Here's what Fox Boston just tweeted. 3" too high across the board I think. I like the general zones though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 4:47 PM, ORH_wxman said: The development of the mid-levels is very critical...if the models under-forecast the development, then we'll end up with more mature mid-level centers which increases inflow...i.e. they will be less elongated to the NE. Just so I'm clear on what you typed We WANT Deeper Mid levels , correct? I just saw how GFS bombed mid levels a tad earlier on 12z and tucked our low in tight and crushed E MA sunday early am. Do models do generally well with ML low strength in this sort of set up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 BOS has a legit shot to hit 90 inches by 2/15 end of day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 5:00 PM, Damage In Tolland said: What? Lol On 2/12/2015 at 5:00 PM, weathafella said: Storm goes beyond that maps time frame. Thanks--that explains it. Where are you getting the MEX numbers? I'm only seeing them from the 00z run. I'm trying to get aqw and ORE, my goalposts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 4:19 PM, dendrite said: GFS has consistently been putting us in a screwzone. N or NNE wind downsloping? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 5:00 PM, weathafella said: Storm goes beyond that maps time frame. Still some qpf left off the table on that map as it still snowing past that time frame indeed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 4:50 PM, db306 said: A foot I-91 in CT on east? NE Ct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 5:04 PM, moneypitmike said: Thanks--that explains it. Where are you getting the MEX numbers? I'm only seeing them from the 00z run. I'm trying to get aqw and ORE, my goalposts. MAV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 I think 8-12 in many places based on current guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 4:45 PM, Ginxy said: Remember you told me about Halifax last night, GGEM gives them 85 mm, 3.33 inches with hurricane winds, now that is going to be sick I have relatives that live out there, this would be pushing White Juan status if it verified. That storm crippled the entire region for several days after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2015 Author Share Posted February 12, 2015 We should know whether that stupid inverted trough is real in about an hour....hopefully not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 5:01 PM, BRSno said: GEFS looks nice too, feeling good! Haven't seen; how does its mean compare with the 12z operational? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 5:17 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: We should know whether that stupid inverted trough is real in about an hour....hopefully not. Prertty much the GGEM has been the only one showing it these last few runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 5:16 PM, andyhb said: I have relatives that live out there, this would be pushing White Juan status if it verified. That storm crippled the entire region for several days after. first thing i thought of when I saw that out put, White Juan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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