40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Hopefully the Thursday dud can be remembered as a martyr when we look back upon the Great Snow of 2015. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 12z GFS nukes this, But just a tad east of 06z, But it looks good and we have time to trend this more favorably Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 GFS tries...close but no cigar. Not enough downstream ridging in this is a problem that will have to be overcome somehow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 So close to a huge solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10, 2015 Author Share Posted February 10, 2015 On 2/10/2015 at 4:08 PM, dryslot said: 12z GFS nukes this, But just a tad east of 06z, But it looks good and we have time to trend this more favorably Hmm Scooter said it looked better... I think the EURO crushes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Yeah was digging hard at first, but need a bit more ridging downstream in between systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Can't see how this one hits either. Unless there's a change they both will undercut us. This winter blows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 On 2/10/2015 at 4:09 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Hmm Scooter said it looked better... I think the EURO crushes. It was digging better, but sometimes early returns don't tell the story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Trough not as sharp as the 06z run, If we can keep the higher heights out west and dig the trough further se in the next several runs this is a powder keg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10, 2015 Author Share Posted February 10, 2015 On 2/10/2015 at 4:09 PM, ORH_wxman said: GFS tries...close but no cigar. Not enough downstream ridging in this is a problem that will have to be overcome somehow. Damn it. We need to bankrupt a few more western ski resorts. Pickles was all over this last night, and no one agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 On 2/10/2015 at 4:09 PM, ORH_wxman said: GFS tries...close but no cigar. Not enough downstream ridging in this is a problem that will have to be overcome somehow. The near-misses have been pretty consistent between GFS and Euro for a couple runs now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 That s/w ahead of it screws it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10, 2015 Author Share Posted February 10, 2015 Ugh. If this holds, I'll be sublimated to a foot by the time the next threat materializes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 On 2/10/2015 at 4:11 PM, CoastalWx said: That s/w ahead of it screws it up. Kind of tugged it further east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Lets see where the other models go, Certainly have time on this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Back to back jacks?...hmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 On 2/10/2015 at 4:13 PM, dryslot said: Kind of tugged it further east Yeah earlier I was just comparing the SLP/thickness progs and it looked better, but looking at 500 vorticity, you can see that s/w messes it up. Not really worried at this stage anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Our friend in Nova Scotia should be chucking them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 On 2/10/2015 at 4:10 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Damn it. We need to bankrupt a few more western ski resorts. Pickles was all over this last night, and no one agreed. The issue is the front SW though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 On 2/10/2015 at 4:15 PM, ruNNaWayIcEberG said: Our friend in Nova Scotia should be chucking them. 948mb NE of New Founland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10, 2015 Author Share Posted February 10, 2015 On 2/10/2015 at 4:16 PM, Ginxy said: The issue is the front SW though Why did Will just say we need more western ridging, too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10, 2015 Author Share Posted February 10, 2015 On 2/10/2015 at 4:09 PM, ORH_wxman said: GFS tries...close but no cigar. Not enough downstream ridging in this is a problem that will have to be overcome somehow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 On 2/10/2015 at 4:14 PM, CoastalWx said: Yeah earlier I was just comparing the SLP/thickness progs and it looked better, but looking at 500 vorticity, you can see that s/w messes it up. Not really worried at this stage anyways. We somehow get that out of the way or to consolidate with more ridging ahead of this and its another blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 On 2/10/2015 at 4:17 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Why did Will just say we need more western ridging, too? Downstream meaning ridging in between systems. That's how you get them to curl in towards the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 On 2/10/2015 at 4:17 PM, dryslot said: 948mb NE of New Founland My wife wants to go on a quick vacation this weekend. Maybe I can convince her Nova Scotia is lovely this time of the year and not tell her exactly where it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10, 2015 Author Share Posted February 10, 2015 On 2/10/2015 at 4:18 PM, CoastalWx said: Downstream meaning ridging in between systems. That's how you get them to curl in towards the coast. Oh ok. Sorry...can't really look at the models here at work. I think lead SW is correctable at this juncture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Yeah western ridging would be "upstream ridging"...downstream ridging is the heights increasing out in front of the shortwave...that is how you tuck it in closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 But holy sh*t is that an explosive looking s/w. Good God. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 On 2/10/2015 at 4:21 PM, CoastalWx said: But holy sh*t is that an explosive looking s/w. Good God. Doesn't matter if it don't git us. If he dies, he dies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 On 2/10/2015 at 4:21 PM, CoastalWx said: But holy sh*t is that an explosive looking s/w. Good God. Its a powder keg that just goes off over the atlantic, That is why i was in much more favor for this then thursdays, So much more upside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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