UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 I do not think that many models (NAM especialy) correctly accounted for the sizable band of snow streaming toward NYC and NNJ through Pennsylvania.Philly is gonna get hit with that band, they're under some heavy snow right now from the Eastern extent of itEdit: see below post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Kinda interesting, just went over to creep on Philly forum and most everyone there is either reporting virga or light snow, thread seems tense there too lol, radar soundings look good for them so I'm not sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 I doubt anyone sees 2. Fixed for you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Kinda interesting, just went over to creep on Philly forum and most everyone there is either reporting virga or light snow, thread seems tense there too lol, radar soundings look good for them so I'm not sure Lots of dry air, but I'd expect it to saturate within the next hour. Places like Harrisburg are up around 90% humidity now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Kinda interesting, just went over to creep on Philly forum and most everyone there is either reporting virga or light snow, thread seems tense there too lol, radar soundings look good for them so I'm not sure Storm looks done in NVA, massive dry slot and fast moving precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 It will definitely take a few hours to saturate the atmosphere but I think I'm good for 2 inches or so here in Brooklyn, the stakes are very low anyways but a little sbowcocer can go a long way Thursday night... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Lots of dry air, but I'd expect it to saturate within the next hour. Places like Harrisburg are up around 90% humidity now. RH here is only about 42% very dry air mass to compete with, not sure about down in nyc area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 RH here is only about 42% very dry air mass to compete with, not sure about down in nyc area EWR fell from around 70% a couple of hours ago or so to around 40% DP around -3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 EWR fell from around 70% a couple of hours ago or so to around 40% DP around -3 That's not good, it was up to 70%? Then dropped 30%?My dp up here is -4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Gfs has .25 from phl to Sandy hook to south shore. .1 for nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Gosh man if this dry wasn't in place with this storm it could've been 6+. So sad...just the story of this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Yea central and southern Jersey look really good about now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 That's not good, it was up to 70%? Then dropped 30%? My dp up here is -4 I suspect its drier air working in from the H up north Not sure what time it was but it def was around 70% 2-3 hours ago so the air did indeed become drier around our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0076.html http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0076.html Too bad the storms not moving north, dry air is clearly winning over up here, look at the drop in Relative humidity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 32% RH here in southern Brooklyn. Have a way to go yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Based on radar and current trends 1" still possible up to and along Route 78 corridor in NJ. North of that a coating to less than 1". Visibilities under the "band" seem to be in the 2 or 3 mile range and it looks to me like it has reached its northern extent. Northern edge looks to be eroding and band overall seems to be slowly sagging e.s.e. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Gfs sv maps 2-4 nyc south... South Jersey gets 6-8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 32% RH here in southern Brooklyn. Have a way to go yet.Wow your lower than me all the way up here...? my gauge is broke or something cause there's no way ur RH is lower than me up here in the mountains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Wow your lower than me all the way up here...? my gauge is broke or something cause there's no way ur RH is lower than me up here in the mountainsYep 35% here in NENJ. NW NJ and the northern suburbs are higher and have had some virga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 I think I could pull off 2" here in central middlesex. Those heavier bands are due west from here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 EWR fell from around 70% a couple of hours ago or so to around 40% DP around -3 Not correct. EWR lowest RH was 32% at 2p and has risen to 37 % now. dry and dry & no 70% http://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KEWR.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Wow your lower than me all the way up here...? my gauge is broke or something cause there's no way ur RH is lower than me up here in the mountains 10pm obs at JFK has them at 26%. They are about 10 miles due east of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 10pm obs at JFK has them at 26%. They are about 10 miles due east of me. WOW!! I'm up to 42% up here, that's really strange, anyone with a little deeper knowledge care to interject on what's happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 WOW!! I'm up to 42% up here, that's really strange, anyone with a little deeper knowledge care to interject on what's happening Virga overhead? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Virga overhead? Nyc is under virga currently, I'm dry as can be lol that's why I'm confused Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robPAwx Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 We're relatively close. Snow hole so far lol. In the mean time,,it is actually starting to moisten up here. -1 dp. Up from -5 in last Ob report. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Stations nearby me showing RH @ ~21% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Central Jersey has some nice soundings rolling in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 10pm obs at JFK has them at 26%. They are about 10 miles due east of me.If they are at 26% relative humidity, good luck saturating that column anytime soon. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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