KeithB Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Weather channel snow map has NYC in the 3-5. ( barely getting into it though) Now....I know everyone loves to poo poo the weather channel,...and there is no question that for many years they were behind and were not very good. However, they have not only undoubtedly improved, but their snow maps inside 24-36 hours have been better than anyone elses this winter season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 16, 2015 Author Share Posted February 16, 2015 My numbers: Sussex: 1" Morristown: 1.8" Newark: 2.5" NYC: 2.8" New Brunswick: 2.8" Red Bank: 3.8" Trenton: 3.8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 More potentially encouraging obs from the DC crew Snow is flying in down town RIC and with in minutes we have a dusting on the ground. Going to be a long and snowing night. Good luck to ALL. 16/6 in CHO now. DP up almost 10 degrees in 30 mins. Temp down 2. Saturation well underway as that beautiful SN continues to fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
killabud Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Weather channel snow map has NYC in the 3-5. ( barely getting into it though) Now....I know everyone loves to poo poo the weather channel,...and there is no question that for many years they were behind and were not very good. However, they have not only undoubtedly improved, but their snow maps inside 24-36 hours have been better than anyone elses this winter season. yea,they were even explaining soundings this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robPAwx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Heard low was in northeastern Mississippi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Off topic but the Euro cuts the next system to Ohio as it squeezes between the highs. Light snow possible this weekend, then eventually over to ice and then rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Weather channel snow map has NYC in the 3-5. ( barely getting into it though) Now....I know everyone loves to poo poo the weather channel,...and there is no question that for many years they were behind and were not very good. However, they have not only undoubtedly improved, but their snow maps inside 24-36 hours have been better than anyone elses this winter season. now all they have to do is stop acting like their audience is grandma, people with dementia and 3 year olds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Temps on Sunday surge to the mid-upper 40's all the way into Southern Maine with rain, bad news for Boston, although they would narrowly avoid disaster with the heaviest rains over Upstate NY and Western New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Cape Cod makes a run at 60F on Sunday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Time to make my final call... 2-4" for the 195 corridor. 1-3" for NYC, LI and the I-80 corridor in NJ 0.50-1.00" for extreme NNJ, Southern Orange, Rockland and Westchester Counties. Under 0.50" North of Rt. 94 in Orange County and the Tapan Zee Bridge. How could all of rockland and southern orange be .50-1, but the tz bridge north under .50? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robPAwx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Would that lead to a pattern change? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Cape Cod makes a run at 60F on Sunday afternoon. Rediculous not going to happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mranger48 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Temps on Sunday surge to the mid-upper 40's all the way into Southern Maine with rain, bad news for Boston, although they would narrowly avoid disaster with the heaviest rains over Upstate NY and Western New England.Which circumstance do u think is more plausible: this cut scenario the euroIs showing or more suppressed like the CMC or even more suppressed like the gfs? Sent from my iPhone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 How could all of rockland and southern orange be .50-1, but the tz bridge north under .50? Southern Orange, Southern Rockland and Southern Westchester. Didn't know I needed to put Southern in front of all those Counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Rediculous not going to happen You have a low cutting to the Eastern lakes in late February, makes perfect sense if that's the low track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Cape Cod makes a run at 60F on Sunday afternoon. This is one time I'm glad the euro has been awful for the last month! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter201415 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Rediculous not going to happeni agree this pattern is not changing so quick. There's massive amounts of snow and cold and it's not going to take only one storm to push it out. I like the ggem look for that weekend makes total sense! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Temps on Sunday surge to the mid-upper 40's all the way into Southern Maine with rain, bad news for Boston, although they would narrowly avoid disaster with the heaviest rains over Upstate NY and Western New England. Not going to happen . There is to much NEG EPO induced confluence for this stuff to cut . The Euro continues to neg tilt SWs out of the Panhandle in the mid range only to correct as we get closer . This will be the 3rd one including the Blizzard it will have to correct to the GFS . 6 days ago it cut tonight`s SW and as you can see this pattern means business . Here is the GFS for the same time period . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 You have zero blocking so if the system is able to squeeze between the highs it will cut, and it will surge temps out ahead of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 You have a low cutting to the Eastern lakes in late February, makes perfect sense if that's the low track.Before people attack Isentropic, he's just saying what the model shows, not his opinion and if the euro is correct, that's exactly what would happen with temps over the weekend. Cyclone into the lakes, waa, late February, very easy to believe you would see temps like that IF that scenario plays out.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Not going to happen . There is to much NEG EPO induced confluence for this stuff to cut . The Euro continues to neg tilt SWs out of the Panhandle in the mid range only to correct as we get closer . This will be the 3rd one including the Blizzard it will have to correct to the GFS . 6 days ago it cut tonight`s SW and as you can see this pattern means business . Here is the GFS for the same time period . Nonsense, you can't compare the GFS run to the Euro, it was a completely different setup. The Euro squeezed the system between the highs. It's a progressive pattern and that has been the case all Winter. Think progressive and you will be right most times this Winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Nonsense, you can't compare the GFS run to the Euro, it was a completely different setup. The Euro squeezed the system between the highs. It's a progressive pattern and that has been the case all Winter. Think progressive and you will be right most times this Winter.Can't happen buddy, completely and totally impossible. Only the scenarios that have cold and snow will verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 You have zero blocking so if the system is able to squeeze between the highs it will cut, and it will surge temps out ahead of it. You don`t need blocking for this not to cut . CONFLUENCE is what bellies it under . WHY did today`s not cut out of the S branch ? There is to much HP slipping through the lakes . It has a habit NEG tilting troughs out of the panhandle . Dude , I have beaten you on the last 3 go arounds now , this getting to easy . From the clipper on LI to the 85 % rain storm where 6 to 9 fell . The SREFs coming South 2 days ago . Why don`t you just wait for me to opine then just follow what I say . It will save you a lot of trouble here . CONFLUENCE DUE TO HP HAVE BEEN SHUNTING THESE . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulen Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Remember the red river floods in 96 catastrophic, new england would be screwed in ways we couldn't imagine with a warm front like the one that erased the 96 blizzard in one day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Lets not forget that this storm was ice to rain on the Euro last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Clouds starting to move in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 NYC got up to 22F as of last obs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 We will know soon if the operational euro is out to lunch when the ensembles come in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Obs thread started for the upcoming snowfall. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45758-february-16-17-2015-snowfall-observations/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 You don`t need blocking for this not to cut . CONFLUENCE is what bellies it under . WHY did today`s not cut out of the S branch ? There is to much HP slipping through the lakes . It has a habit NEG tilting troughs out of the panhandle . Dude , I have beaten you on the last 3 go arounds now , this getting to easy . From the clipper on LI to the 85 % rain storm where 6 to 9 fell . The SREFs coming South 2 days ago . Why don`t you just wait for me to opine then just follow what I say . It will save you a lot of trouble here . CONFLUENCE DUE TO HP HAVE BEEN SHUNTING THESE . Simple, if the phase had occured over the deep South this system would have come much further West. The Northern jet is left over the lakes and doesn't come through here until Wednesday while the southern jet is out East of the benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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