weatherfreeeeak Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 5:01 PM, PB GFI said: UKMET KEEPS HOPE ALIVE . Let's see how it verifies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 5:02 PM, PB GFI said: AG u rat . 30 seconds . Can`t teach quickness lol I deleted mine to let you have the honor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 16, 2015 Author Share Posted February 16, 2015 UKIE, SREFS, NAM = 3-6" GFS = 2-3" GGEM/RGEM= C-1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Why are the SREFs consistently so high? What are they seeing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 16, 2015 Author Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 4:59 PM, UnionWeatherGuy12 said: Stuck at 19.3" for the season. If I can't even reach the 20" mark spring can come ASAP, I don't want rain either until June or something. I'm way below my season average. (29"). Well, at least we know our measurements are accurate...couple miles apart and within 0.2" for the year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 GFS really pounds the mid Atlantic over the next 10 days days ,almost all of Virginia, Kentucky area see 12+, we can't catch a break Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 5:04 PM, Zelocita Weather said: UKIE, SREFS, NAM = 3-6" GFS = 2-3" GGEM/RGEM= C-1" For NYC verbatim, the RGEM is .14" of precip. Which is 1"-2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 5:01 PM, PB GFI said: UKMET KEEPS HOPE ALIVE . Always one clinger to a sinking ship. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 5:01 PM, PB GFI said: UKMET KEEPS HOPE ALIVE . Not gonna happen, sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 5:02 PM, SACRUS said: 12z Summary (2/16) NYC Area QPF (NW - SE Gradient) SREF : 0.25 - 0.50 NAM : 0.25 - 0.40 RGEM: 0.10 - 0.20 GFS : 0.10 - 0.20 GGEM : 0.05 - 0.15 UKMET : 0.25 - 0.40 I'd like to learn for myself without asking the board how I find QPF for my area KMSV. The Ukmet is showing .25 to .50 NW to SE I', trying to find the numerical for KMSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 This storm is reminding me of the series of March storms last year (3/3, 17, and 25) that were modeled to give NYC metro at least a few to several inches 2-3 days out and all of them essentiall vaporized for anyone north of about 276/195 in PA/NJ, due to suppression by the "polar vortex" (lot more use of that phrase last winter, lol)? Abnormally cold/dry air is tough to overcome... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 5:06 PM, ag3 said: For NYC verbatim, the RGEM is .14" of precip. Which is 1"-2". How about down south...cnj? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 5:07 PM, H.E. Pennypacker said: Not gonna happen, sorry @#$%^&* DUH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Ggem is snowy for Sunday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 5:06 PM, danstorm said: Always one clinger to a sinking ship. I like 2 -3 @ KNYC 4 CNJ . Posted that earlier . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 This is the snowiest panel on the RGEM for the area. Goes well with my thinking of next to nothing North of I-78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 5:09 PM, Allsnow said: How about down south...cnj? Thanks About .20"-.25". There aren't meteograms for any other locations but KNYC, KPHL and KBOS. The KNYC meteograms are exactly 3.5mm which is .137". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 5:04 PM, Zelocita Weather said: UKIE, SREFS, NAM = 3-6" GFS = 2-3" GGEM/RGEM= C-1" With the rgem this year, I believe we have our answer, its been deadly. Plus confluence and mid level dry air, I don't see much of anything from this imho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 5:10 PM, Allsnow said: Ggem is snowy for Sunday...Here we go again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 5:10 PM, Allsnow said: Ggem is snowy for Sunday... U see the GFS long run? Virginia sees almost 18" of snow over a 10 day period... wtf! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 5:11 PM, ag3 said: About .20"-.25". There aren't meteograms for any other locations but KNYC, KPHL and KBOS. The KNYC meteograms are exactly 3.5mm which is .137". Thank you Alex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 5:02 PM, rossi said: what is the 12z gfs? Little less precip and same goes for the ratios.. 3.3" on 0.25 liquid.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Does anyone else think advisories should be posted because morning commute could be hectic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 5:12 PM, OrangeCountySnowZ said: U see the GFS long run? Virginia sees almost 18" of snow over a 10 day period... wtf! Both the gfs and ggem say we have plenty of cold and chances of snow into March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 5:10 PM, Allsnow said: Ggem is snowy for Sunday... Not a bad setup if you can get the southern stream system to dig far enough South and build heights along the coast. Otherwise it's going to slide OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I love how the Rgem is now the go to model for everyone. Meanwhile, I've been saying it for years and years and people/mets ripped me. Either way, in my experience, the Rgem specializes in northern stream systems and also inside of 24 hours. People are going a little too crazy with it lately. I won't take the Rgem seriously until 0z tonight and especially 6z tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 5:10 PM, Allsnow said: Ggem is snowy for Sunday... We've been down that road before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 5:13 PM, ag3 said: I love how the Rgem is now the go to model for everyone. Meanwhile, I've been saying it for years and years and people/mets ripped me. Either way, in my experience, the Rgem specializes in northern stream systems and also inside of 24 hours. People are going a little too crazy with it lately. agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 5:06 PM, danstorm said: Always one clinger to a sinking ship.The ukmet is Casey Jones on the runaway train... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 On 2/16/2015 at 5:12 PM, weatherfreeeeak said: Does anyone else think advisories should be posted because morning commute could be hectic? Advisory criteria for snow is 3" and right now 3" seems like the exception rather than the rule. And we're quickly moving towards the end of February, not the beginning of the season where people pretend they have never driven in snow before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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