IsentropicLift Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Through 25hrs the 0.25"+ line cuts across Staten Island and Brookyn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 A low tracking ENE just won't cut it for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 LE through 30 hrs DC - 0.50" Philly - 0.25"-0.50" ACY - 0.25"-0.50" NYC - 0.25"+ EWR - 0.25"+ MMU - 0.10"+ HPN - 0.10"+ JFK - 0.25"+ ISP - 0.10"+ BDR - 0.10"+ SWF - 0.10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 .25+ 2-4 for the city...if u don't want that then idk what to tell you. Winter will be over soon...take what we can get. Pattern will break down soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 The NAM looks like 2-4" or 3-5" for most of the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 16, 2015 Author Share Posted February 16, 2015 NAM nudged north with heavier precip in NJ...from about Rt.280 and south now in 0.25"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Snow moves in by 2-3AM and is out by 7-8AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 NAM nudged north with heavier precip in NJ...from about Rt.280 and south now in 0.25"+ Once dry air is over come the city will have decent ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 NAM nudged north with heavier precip in NJ...from about Rt.280 and south now in 0.25"+ The precip shield nudged south, just had a bit of heavier precip over that area for a brief time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 LE through 30 hrs DC - 0.50" Philly - 0.25"-0.50" ACY - 0.25"-0.50" NYC - 0.25"+ EWR - 0.25"+ MMU - 0.10"+ HPN - 0.10"+ JFK - 0.25"+ ISP - 0.10"+ BDR - 0.10"+ SWF - 0.10" Is monmouth in the 25 TO 50? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 .25+ 2-4 for the city...if u don't want that then idk what to tell you. Winter will be over soon...take what we can get. Pattern will break down soon The northwestern half of the sub-forum is almost entirely under 0.25" LE. The only exception is the areas of NE NJ that immediatly surround the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Is monmouth in the 25 TO 50? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 The northwestern half of the sub-forum is almost entirely under 0.25" LE. The only exception is the areas of NE NJ that immediatly surround the city. It all evens out in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 It all evens out in the end. What evens out? I've only had two storms this year over 6" and one was 7". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 What evens out? I've only had two storms this year over 6" and one was 7". I have had one so far...time for central nj and mid Atlantic to cash in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Omg what is wrong with...2-4 ..snow aint money...why the angst? Are you going to eat it? 2-4 is a nice snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 NYC is 0.25+...righttttt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Any thoughts on whats coming next? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Summary of estimated snow totals for NYC: SREF 7" GFSx 7" Cobb Method>>> NAM 5", GFS 3" WPC Probabilities 80% for at least 4" 50% for at least 6" 30% for at least 8" all by sunset tomorrow. Snows for about 10 hours with heaviest during rush hour tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 What evens out? I've only had two storms this year over 6" and one was 7". I haven't even had a 6" storm this year.....could still happen but it won't be this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 NYC is 0.25+...righttttt That graphic doesn't necessarily agree with what's on SV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 12z Summary (2/16) NYC Area QPF (NW - SE Gradient) SREF : 0.25 - 0.50 NAM : 0.25 - 0.40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I have had one so far...time for central nj and mid Atlantic to cash in I just want one system where we all get hammered. This fringe stuff is getting ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Positives: 1. Temps in the 8 - 16 range, super frigid = Higher ratios where mod snow falls 12/15:1 maybe higher 2. Not waiting for some dynamic CCB or IVT to form, tracking radar will be easier and cutoffs identified fairly quickly. 3. Decent moisture feed and these tend to travel a bit north of prog'd Negative: 1. Quick mover 2. Unable to turn the corner into something major - so if expecting a ceiling higher than 5/6 inches (locals higher in SNJ) 3. Will be more sharp cu off in a gradient that could yield 1 inch over 5 miles or less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Looks like a quick hitter with some light snow and some moderate bursts for a few hours. This might end up, wrapping up by 8-9am in our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Omg what is wrong with...2-4 ..snow aint money...why the angst? Are you going to eat it? 2-4 is a nice snow It's not 2-4" areawide, that's the problem. It's actually not a tight precip gradient at all, we are just trully on the fringe of measurable precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 4K NAM shows precip moving in between 05Z and 07Z from SW to NE and then ending between 12z and 14z from West to East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I haven't even had a 6" storm this year.....could still happen but it won't be this one What? I'm in Bloomfield, a few blocks away I've had two 6" inch events... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 So 5-7 hrs of light to moderate snow. Better the further Southeast you go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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