SnowGoose69 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Nam looks Bueno at 84 Not enough, you want it more NW than that, remember the NAM is extremely amped at 84 hours on southern stream systems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Ukie and ggem way ots. The one time the euro is correct in the mid range this winter lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Ukie and ggem way ots. The one time the euro is correct in the mid range this winter lol Somehow Boston manages to score a compact little powerhouse on Thursday lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Ukie and ggem way ots. The one time the euro is correct in the mid range this winter lol Correct? Still way out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Correct? Still way out there. Highly doubt this comes back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Highly doubt this comes back. I actually doubt it does too, but it's funny how this was a hit, then several runs in a row shifted south, then gradually shifted back north and now again south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Highly doubt this comes back. Meteorlogical reasoning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LehighValleyDad Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Ukie and ggem way ots. The one time the euro is correct in the mid range this winter lol Yeah this is an amazingly annoying winter for snow lovers unless you're in the far Northeast. Previously when the Euro was the last model holding on to a more amped solution, it caved and was wrong. Now this time when it was the first with a weak out to sea solution, it looks like it's going to end up being correct. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Highly doubt this comes back. Lets just focus on this current storm first. Pna should spike for this storm which should allow amplification. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I love how the downers step up after every new run!!!! it gets so tiresome with absolutely no analysis to back it up just peanut gallery B.S. per Op runs go figure.... plenty of breathing room ATM before the upper jet would help kick it east--imo http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015021412/gfs_uv250_eus_16.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGod Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I love how the downers step up after every new run!!!! it gets so tiresome with absolutely no analysis to back it up just peanut gallery B.S. per Op runs go figure.... ecomp.gif DM our savior - I'm following you to the promised land brother. If you like our chances with this storm than I'm feeling optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Most people come and go based on every model run so I'm not surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Everytime threat this year has come back north west and sometimes way north west after the storm that was currently going on past. So we will see if the same happens after tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Ukie and ggem way ots. The one time the euro is correct in the mid range this winter lol UK not as bad as I thought, a scraper but closer than first appeared. UK has had tendency to be progressive with coastals at times. Will b interesting to see the ECM. How were the GEFS? 72H Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 UK not as bad as I thought, a scraper but closer than first appeared. UK has had tendency to be progressive with coastals at times. Will b interesting to see the ECM. How were the GEFS? http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2015021412/gfs-ens_mslp_uv850_us_16.png http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2015021412/gfs-ens_mslp_uv850_namer_16.png http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/nav_conus_pmsl.php?fday=4&fcolor=wbg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Euro is pretty amped up.. Light snow up to phl Tuesday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/ens/prec_f096_usbg.gif http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/ens/prec_f096_us.html lots of juice...lots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 light snow up to nyc. Confluence just strong enough to push it se. Need a bit more energy to eject Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Euro is pretty amped up.. Light snow up to phl Tuesday morning Lol these models.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 as is 3-5 dca and big hit lower mid Atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redbanknjandbigbasslakepa Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Ye of little faith. You want to say this thing completely shears out and falls apart, maybe. But mark my words, it isn't going to form and whiff us. Coastal sections will have at least a moderate impact, and it very well could come back full bore west. +nao, +ao, some ridging in Atlantic, climatology this season all spell keep the faith. This isn't a VA Beach snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 OPC 96 hr prog 984mb thru the benchmark track with a solid 1035mb Atlantic High as a buffer http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/A_96hrbw.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 OPC 96 hr prog 984mb thru the benchmark track with a solid 1035mb Atlantic High as a buffer http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/A_96hrbw.gif A_96hrbw.gif I hope those highs don't budge further east T, they need to remain stationary or this baby will slide along with them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I hope those highs don't budge further east T, they need to remain stationary or this baby will slide along with them. Further west would be nice =) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I hope those highs don't budge further east T, they need to remain stationary or this baby will slide along with them. Hey V ---understood does our storm know this...LOL Follow that 1020mb contour line on the OPC prog -inside of 60W we in good shape here ---good shape -imo http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/9khwbg_conus.gif wiggle room Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Hey V ---understood does our storm know this...LOL Follow that 1020mb contour line on the OPC prog -inside of 60W we in good shape here ---good shape -imo http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/9khwbg_conus.gif wiggle room four.gif Lol, we need to blindfold the low and personally guide it. " This way please"...I'm concerned with this years trend.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Guess 18z GFS wasn't any good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Guess 18z GFS wasn't any goodots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 LOL that wacky 18z http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ just cant wait to see the ENS on this!!! brooklyn b for sale today!!! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/lowtracks/lowtrack_ensembles.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mranger48 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I'll bite...Did it come north whatsoever from 12z? Sent from my iPhone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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