JC-CT Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 96h GEFS Not seeing anything over RI. f96.gif Nor are you seeing all the members... Tropical tidbits has the individual ensemble MSLPs if you click on the Eastern US as a region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Euro will probably tuck this over Islip on this run.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Euro will probably tuck this over Islip on this run.... lol. Some probably don't want to ever see any snow again as I've been hearing and reading on social media. I suppose my sick and twisted way of thinking is, Bring it on. Why not make an attempt at winter weather history? Sh*t may never happen for any of us again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Nor are you seeing all the members... Tropical tidbits has the individual ensemble MSLPs if you click on the Eastern US as a region. Definitely tossing the outliers given the tight cluster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Definitely tossing the outliers given the tight cluster. gfs-ememb_lowlocs_atl_16.png I agree. I was trying to get at the point that if you threw out the 2 or 3 way west outliers, the mean would probably be a little farther east. There is a decent cluster that looks like they would be scrapers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Definitely tossing the outliers given the tight cluster. gfs-ememb_lowlocs_atl_16.png WOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Looks to me like it's pretty tightly clustered near the BM. I agree. I was trying to get at the point that if you threw out the 2 or 3 way west outliers, the mean would probably be a little farther east. There is a decent cluster that looks like they would be scrapers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 I agree. I was trying to get at the point that if you threw out the 2 or 3 way west outliers, the mean would probably be a little farther east. There is a decent cluster that looks like they would be scrapers. I'm tossing the outliers on both sides. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Looks to me like it's pretty tightly clustered near the BM. Well it's all relative. Some are better hits for the entire region than others. Good consensus for widespread snow though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 That's pretty awesome clustering...FWIW the Ukie looked pretty similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 That's called a cluster fook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Well it's all relative. Some are better hits for the entire region than others. Good consensus for widespread snow though. Well, yea, western areas are more precarious...obviously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 That's pretty awesome clustering...FWIW the Ukie looked pretty similar Very classic look to me for a 1 to 2 footer with a good probability for a 3-6 hour type stall/wobble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Gonna need an inverted trough in order to get anything substantial up here on this Thurs/Fri storm it looks like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Very classic look to me for a 1 to 2 footer with a good probability for a 3-6 hour type stall/wobble. Somewhere just south of Boston will make a run @ a 50" pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Can't wait for my 2-4" while you guys rock another HECS. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Gonna need an inverted trough in order to get anything substantial up here on this Thurs/Fri storm it looks like Nah, you'll prob be plowable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Gonna need an inverted trough in order to get anything substantial up here on this Thurs/Fri storm it looks like Why over stuff like this at this timeframe? We are just getting into agreement that there will be a storm around the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 I'm tossing the outliers on both sides. Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Nah, you'll prob be plowable. agree, but plowable is meh when just to your south they are 15+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 9, 2015 Author Share Posted February 9, 2015 That's called a cluster fook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Yes If there ever were a time to invoke such a philosophy, this is it. Did you see that cluster? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Well, yea, western areas are more precarious...obviously. I'm being a and looking for that 75 mile shift west from the 12z GFS. So in that regard, boo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 agree, but plowable is meh when just to your south they are 15+ Who knows, dude....this smacks of a mid level death band out by you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Yeah this is pretty epic, I have to confess. If Friday delivers on a big scale, I don't think anything touches this stretch.nothing touches it without it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Euro looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 I'm being a and looking for that 75 mile shift west from the 12z GFS. So in that regard, boo. I would do the same thing. No need to explain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Congrats BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Howdy all....just joined here. Looks like great discussions going on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 If there ever were a time to invoke such a philosophy, this is it. Did you see that cluster? 2 west and 3 east of the cluster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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