RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Regression to the mean from 2011 and 2013.....eastern NE has some ground to make up Yup, that's how it goes. It's why I try not to melt TOO MUCH when I'm fringed, I try to see the big picture instead. Seasonal snow zone in full affect, those in it should really appreciate this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Jerry: I recently learned that I have successive paternal ancestors whose first names were Leon. The great grandfather and the great-great grandfather. Does this qualify me as royalty? You're in the club brother! Brookline never looked better than this season! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Question for mets....The storm going on right now is set to wander off the East Coast. With this potential event on its heels is it safe to say that we'd expect the models to continue to dig this baby south since you probably wouldn't see two major lows that close to each other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 12z GEFS gets precip back pretty far to the west, Must be some real amped up members on the indv panels GFS-ENS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f96.png The 6z ensembles had some absolute bombs, be fun to see the 12z indies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 You're in the club brother! Brookline never looke better than this season! Yeah this is pretty epic, I have to confess. If Friday delivers on a big scale, I don't think anything touches this stretch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 The 6z ensembles had some absolute bombs, be fun to see the 12z indies My guess by seeing that precip way back west there will be some or more good ones too, 988mb on the mean is not bad either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 I just looked at the 12z gfs and compared it to the 0z gfs. A lot of pieces in the setup look different by a lot. It kind of looks like one of those over-corrected gfs runs. I think the gfs will probably go back east at 0z just a hunch though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 I just looked at the 12z gfs and compared it to the 0z gfs. A lot of pieces in the setup look different by a lot. It kind of looks like one of those over-corrected gfs runs. I think the gfs will probably go back east at 0z just a hunch though. Possible, but the 6z GFS was similar & the GGEM looks like GFS as well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 GEFS look solid. as Jerry would say " it's coming folks" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 12z GEFS gets precip back pretty far to the west, Must be some real amped up members on the indv panels Definitely a tug back to the West on that mean. Will be interesting to see the indiv panels. Some of the 06z members were pretty big hits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 So, here's a ridiculous thought that might, just might be obtainable somewhere. If this next storm and perhaps PD work out, could someone crack 100" in a 30 day period? Was thinking just south of Boston would be the front runner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 12z Ukie, Can't see where it was from hr 72 to hr 96, But it does not look bad other then a little east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 9, 2015 Author Share Posted February 9, 2015 depending on the Euro... could conceivably end this current event and wake tomorrow in a continuous watch/warn scenario. wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Definitely a tug back to the West on that mean. Will be interesting to see the indiv panels. Some of the 06z members were pretty big hits. You can see it in those isobars as it gets the precip all the way back to NYS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 depending on the Euro... could conceivably end this current event and wake tomorrow in a continuous watch/warn scenario. wow For a Thursday Nite event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 depending on the Euro... could conceivably end this current event and wake tomorrow in a continuous watch/warn scenario. wow Might be a little early for the watches to go up before the current warnings expire, but if the euro hops on board and confidence is there, combined with the snow removal challenge in the populated areas that could be hit, it would be reasonable for public notice. Interesting scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 depending on the Euro... could conceivably end this current event and wake tomorrow in a continuous watch/warn scenario. wow Same [longwave] storm, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PineHillsWx Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Have a buddy flying out to Hawaii Friday morning. What is the timing for this one. Is it Thurs aft and night or Thurs night and Friday morning (if it does in fact hit). I can't read models.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Definitely a tug back to the West on that mean. Will be interesting to see the indiv panels. Some of the 06z members were pretty big hits. There are a few members really far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 lol, and wow, all at the same time. less than 3 weeks ago I was crying about the lake formed next to my house due to frozen ground and way too much rain. Just now I was shoveling snow over a 5 foot bank. If something like this verifies. Wow for many. What's the 1717 story? I've seen some of those crazy drawings showing endless snow depths, but where and what are the snowfall comparisons that we are talking about here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 There are a few members really far west. Hudson river west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Hudson river west? One is, the others are more like RI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Have a buddy flying out to Hawaii Friday morning. What is the timing for this one. Is it Thurs aft and night or Thurs night and Friday morning (if it does in fact hit). I can't read models.... The worst of it looks like overnight thur into friday morning and lingering for eastern areas until the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 One is, the others are more like RI. Yikes. Rainer for many of us with either kind of set up. Rain on top of feet of snow. Bad combo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Yikes. Rainer for many of us with either kind of set up. Rain on top of feet of snow. Bad combo. That's just a few members though...the point is more so that they are skewing the mean west a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 9, 2015 Author Share Posted February 9, 2015 Same [longwave] storm, right? Yeah I was just contemplating that philosophy and how much is certainly seems that way. We're in a Terran version of a Red Spot as a poor analogy.. . Either way, has to life cycle before it ends, and do so with a chain of events. Fascinating - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Yeah I was just contemplating that philosophy and how much is certainly seems that way. We're in a Terran version of a Red Spot .. .kind of has to life cycle before it ends, and do so with a chain of events. Fascinating - Earth's Gray Spot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 That's just a few members though...the point is more so that they are skewing the mean west a bit. yeah. I got ya. Verbatim that far west would be a killer, but averaging out the trend sounds like a decent possibility for a good sized winter event for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 So, here's a ridiculous thought that might, just might be obtainable somewhere. If this next storm and perhaps PD work out, could someone crack 100" in a 30 day period? Was thinking just south of Boston would be the front runner. absolutely amazing if that came to fruition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 96h GEFS Not seeing anything over RI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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