IsentropicLift Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 The surface low so far is about 100 miles south of the 06z position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 The trough axis is further West so the coastal will probably come West, but you don't have a negatively tilted trough so it can only come so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 This is a better run for LI and a slightly better run for NE NJ and NYC. Still not going to amount to much except for on the east end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 .25+ for metro area. Huge hit SNE and Long Island 4-6 hours away from a big hit. Closes off over block island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 E NE hammered. Goes down to 971mb East of Cape Cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 This is a better run for LI and a slightly better run for NE NJ and NYC. Still not going to amount to much except for on the east end. Eastern Long Island gets 1-2 feet this run. 4-6 for the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triniiphone Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 whats the time frame for this event ~? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Arctic wave which favor the coast , however if it closes off 3 hours earlier it gets most . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 This was a good trend for a bigger event in our area. 500mb and aloft look great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 .25+ for metro area. Huge hit SNE and Long Island 4-6 hours away from a big hit. Closes off over block island 06z closed off over E PA. We need the trough to go negative tilt quicker or it's not going to make a difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 any snow maps to post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Eastern Long Island gets 1-2 feet this run. 4-6 for the city This is a better run for LI and a slightly better run for NE NJ and NYC. Still not going to amount to much except for on the east end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 06z closed off over E PA. We need the trough to go negative tilt quicker or it's not going to make a difference. Just 4-6 hours quicker. Stop this run was a blizzard for Long Island and .5 close to the cost. Horrible PBP by u Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 If Boston gets another 1-2 feet on top of the 1-2 feet they got today, that city will be shut down from Snowmageddon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Just 4-6 hours quicker. Stop this run was a blizzard for Long Island and .5 close to the cost. Horrible PBP by u Through Minus 10 air . Another 50 mile tug west and 3 hour faster close off and it`s great back into the city . The city is still .25 to .50 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Just 4-6 hours quicker. Stop this run was a blizzard for Long Island and .5 close to the cost. Horrible PBP by u I never said it wasn't a good run for LI. 4-6 hrs sooner isn't going to help those of us well West of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 .50 from BDR/Islip east on this run. 1.00 from Riverhead east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 If Boston gets another 1-2 feet on top of the 1-2 feet they got today, that city will be shut down from Snowmageddon. It's actually a little scary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 It's actually a little scary.Almost unbelievable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 The UKMET is good with these kinds of systems. Did great with the blizzard that wasn't here. Need to watch that closely today and so on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 GFS trended more towards a big storm for Thursday. Eastern LI and Boston gets crushed.6+ for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 If you live in Suffolk County the 12z GFS was a great run for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Through Minus 10 air . Another 50 mile tug west and 3 hour faster close off and it`s great back into the city . The city is still .25 to .50 . Would like to see the Euro get more excited about QPF here later runs before buying GFS by itself on amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 GFS trended more towards a big storm for Thursday. Eastern LI and Boston gets crushed.6+ for NYC. Why is it that when the city is right on the border between snowfall amounts people always take the over? Didn't we learn that being on the border of anything is never good? This includes today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Would like to see the Euro get more excited about QPF here later runs before buying GFS by itself on amounts. The clipper Sun Mon has -20 air with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triniiphone Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 time frame anyone? i have a flight out of jfk at 5am friday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nygmen Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Why is it that when the city is right on the border between snowfall amounts people always take the over? Didn't we learn that being on the border of anything is never good? This includes today thats without ratios which would certainly be over 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 time frame anyone? i have a flight out of jfk at 5am friday morning This would be valid at 7AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 thats without ratios which would certainly be over 10:1 Agreed, if you ended up under the CCB it would be insane rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 9, 2015 Share Posted February 9, 2015 Why is it that when the city is right on the border between snowfall amounts people always take the over? Didn't we learn that being on the border of anything is never good? This includes today I feel like I've seen a similar map a few times this year, huh? I think what we all want is to see this thing show quicker explosive development. At this point, we need to see the precip shield very expansive far to our NW, otherwise these storms are just going to keep jackpotting Boston and hammering ELI/SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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