Mophstymeo Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 And away she goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Decent hit from EWR East. Less than great trends tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Moving on for the time being.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Similar to the nam. Looks like 1-3 for the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 I think this more progressive solution is likely, now that sample data is better the GFS and NaM agree, I expect euro to be relatively the same solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 The parent low almost gets to Montreal before the transfer, generally not a great sign for this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 By this time tomorrow, we'll be talking flurries or snow showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Boston and southeast New England get whacked. Closes off at H5 over Upstate NY. We really need this to close off over VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Lol Boston another foot...lock that up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 By this time tomorrow, we'll be talking flurries or snow showers. Still time but the whole setup screams progressive, I highly doubt this trends back... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Boston and southeast New England get whacked. Closes off at H5 over Upstate NY. We really need this to close off over VA.Even with the PNA trending exceedingly positive, it looks like the AO just doesn't let this get done. I wouldn't write this off quite yet, but trends are just not our friend this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter201415 Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 By this time tomorrow, we'll be talking flurries or snow showers.what is your meteorological reasoning for this? No model shows this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Still time but the whole setup screams progressive, I highly doubt this trends back... It won't. This is Boston's winter. We've just got to take it in stride and hope for next year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 what is your meteorological reasoning for this? No model shows this? Nam and GFS are complete duds for our area with the exception of light snow nyc and LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 .25" for nyc and points east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Not an awful run actually. But looks like a light 2 or 3 inch of fluff for E/NJ, NYC/LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 what is your meteorological reasoning for this? No model shows this?This is the same story with every storm this winter. They start with us in the bulls eye and then, three days out . . . They trend west (Christmas), north (today), south (one of the clippers) or east (what is trending for Thursday; the blizzard). It's the pattern. It seems as though there's a groove dug out in the atmosphere and Boston is at it's center. Let's talk on Thursday.Edit: I'd gladly be wrong, but I doubt I will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
killabud Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 This is the same story with every storm this winter. They start with us in the bulls eye and then, three days out . . . They trend west (Christmas), north (today), south (one of the clippers) or east (what is trending for Thursday; the blizzard). It's the pattern. It seems as though there's a groove dug out in the atmosphere and Boston is at it's center. Let's talk on Thursday. Edit: I'd gladly be wrong, but I doubt I will be. and yet you're magically above average for the year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 and yet you're magically above average for the year Not me. I'm western Nassau (SW Nassau to be exact). We're just about average or just below. And what does that have to do with anything -- except prove my point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 .25 qpf with 10-1 ratios maybe higher isn't so bad. Maybe 3-5 inches. Deffinately an aggravating winter so many storms that just had us on the fringes while boson keeps getting demolished Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter201415 Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 This is the same story with every storm this winter. They start with us in the bulls eye and then, three days out . . . They trend west (Christmas), north (today), south (one of the clippers) or east (what is trending for Thursday; the blizzard). It's the pattern. It seems as though there's a groove dug out in the atmosphere and Boston is at it's center. Let's talk on Thursday. Edit: I'd gladly be wrong, but I doubt I will be. ur psychic analysis should be in the banter no offense.its been a great winter already. I had 30 inches of snow thus far! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Every storm this year has adjusted north as we got closer. Anyone west of central li will get flurries when it's done adjusting lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 ur psychic analysis should be in the banter no offense.its been a great winter already. I had 30 inches of snow thus far! Yes -- you have. Boston has had a great winter, too. This is why someone proposed secession before. It's like the world doesn't exist beyond some people's backyards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
killabud Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Not me. I'm western Nassau (SW Nassau to be exact). We're just about average or just below. And what does that have to do with anything -- except prove my point? i am in s/w nassau and measured about 30 inches so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter201415 Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Yes -- you have. Boston has had a great winter, too. This is why someone proposed secession before. It's like the world doesn't exist beyond some people's backyards.it doesn't matter what happened. We are 3 days away from the actual start so these models will wiggle back and forth. It doesn't look major at this point but that could change in a hurry. Have a good night everyone. Tomorrow 12z runs are when the models will start trending. Towards the final outcome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 There's no need to focus on every model it does you no good. I'm not a fan of these kinds of storms I much prefer a nice juicy southern stream system that can deliver ample precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 it doesn't matter what happened. We are 3 days away from the actual start so these models will wiggle back and forth. It doesn't look major at this point but that could change in a hurry. Have a good night everyone. Tomorrow 12z runs are when the models will start trending. Towards the final outcome! True, but I'm betting on how everything's trended this winter so far. We'll find out on Thursday how clairvoyant I am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 10, 2015 Author Share Posted February 10, 2015 I thought that the ridge on the west coast actually looked slightly better that run vs 18z. Part of that vort is coming from the far NW territories in Canada, I'm not so sure this is completely figured out yet. Curious to see what the euro does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 The GGEM looks very close to the GFS, the UKIE appears to develop the low more south at 72 which could be better for us but I cannot see what it does from 72-96...it is snowing at 72 though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Not me. I'm western Nassau (SW Nassau to be exact). We're just about average or just below. And what does that have to do with anything -- except prove my point? I've heard some areas in America average more snow than other areas...its called climatology...and, try as one might...you cannot fight it. Its also not an accident or luck. Mt Washington still gets more snow...much, much, much more than Dulles Airport...even if we have suppression down to Miami... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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