HighStakes Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Euro is even further nw. Virtually nothing on the front but we miss the big early rains. I'm wondering if further west is good for something coming up behind. We'll see where it goes. ETA: by behind I mean tues-wed Yeah, awful look on the Euro. If we can't get anything meaningful on the front end then this my as well go far enough west to just give us light rain. I'm in no mood to see a deluge washout after these current temps. It is an unbelievably quick scouring of the deep cold though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 18, 2015 Author Share Posted February 18, 2015 this weekend looked so promising a few days agoand the winter a few months ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 this weekend looked so promising a few days ago I never felt good about snow chances. With the hp on the move and big +ao/nao quite a bit had to go right to pull it off. I'm rooting for the furthest west and least rainiest track right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Touché. Which us why I wanted to know how much lousier the NJ & NY & Philly drivers are going to be. How many middle finger waves, Italian chin swipes and adrenaline surges should I pack? Guess it depends on the neighborhoods you pass through! Or, save those for the toll booths. I've taken several trips between here and Philly which at times can be...interesting (in terms of traffic). I've contributed my fair share to the state of Delaware in the last several years (turnpike). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I never felt good about snow chances. With the hp on the move and big +ao/nao quite a bit had to go right to pull it off. I'm rooting for the furthest west and least rainiest track right now. i thought we could at least get a front end dumped but the trend has been stronger storm instead of hardly a hint of Low pressure. Euro dosent give us any frozen precip. Not one pellet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I never felt good about snow chances. With the hp on the move and big +ao/nao quite a bit had to go right to pull it off. I'm rooting for the furthest west and least rainiest track right now. That's kind of how I feel. Rather have it go far enough west that we don't have a washout all day Sunday but instead have lighter rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 i thought we could at least get a front end dumped but the trend has been stronger storm instead of hardly a hint of Low pressure. Euro dosent give us any frozen precip. Not one pellet It's a terrible run for the entire coast all the way to canada. There a lot of weenies feeling kinda sick right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 It's a terrible run for the entire coast all the way to canada. There a lot of weenies feeling kinda sick right now and of course the storm behind it is way south and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I never felt good about snow chances. With the hp on the move and big +ao/nao quite a bit had to go right to pull it off. I'm rooting for the furthest west and least rainiest track right now. I'm hoping for the warmest wettest track and then an 850 line in Montreal for the next 8 months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 and of course the storm behind it is way south and east I'm not too worried about op runs on that one for a while. So much happens before it that chaos takes over big time. It's just the next chance at something frozen unless things completely reverse for the weekend. Not many signs of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I'm hoping for the warmest wettest track and then an 850 line in Montreal for the next 8 months. Yep. I at least want to finally see some real precip. And I'm done with this pointless wind/cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Euro has my 12z Friday temp at -7. By Sunday at 18z I'm at 47. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 18, 2015 Author Share Posted February 18, 2015 we toss the euro and keep the gfs, that's all it's really that simple since the euro will be different in 11 hours and the gfs in 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 we toss the euro and keep the gfs, that's all it's really that simple since the euro will be different in 11 hours and the gfs in 3 I am hugging the Ukie until 0Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 18, 2015 Author Share Posted February 18, 2015 I am hugging the Ukie until 0Z. I've been out....how did that look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 euro brewing a Miller A day 8-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I've been out....how did that look? Oops that was the 0Z the 12Z not so much. I guess i am stuck hugging myself on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 euro brewing a Miller A day 8-10 Too much confluence and suppression. Let me know if you can find someone who actually believes that will be our real problem with the hypothetical storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 euro brewing a Miller A day 8-10 Yeah, socal low gets sucked right into the trough.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Oops that was the 0Z the 12Z not so much. I guess i am stuck hugging myself on this one. hug the canadien. It said you were barely getting snow a few days ago and it was right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Too much confluence and suppression. Let me know if you can find someone who actually believes that will be our real problem with the hypothetical storm. sucks not being in the bullseye 9 days out. Congrats Greenville SC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 hug the canadien. It said you were barely getting snow a few days ago and it was right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 it actually brings precip to DC! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 18, 2015 Author Share Posted February 18, 2015 it actually brings precip to DC! kiss of death is that the same system as GFS, just consolidated? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 P04+5 would be acceptable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 P04+5 would be acceptable Only P05 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Here's today's CWG piece on the weekend. I'm not very excited about it. http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2015/02/18/weekend-weather-system-trends-rainier-with-less-and-snow-still-large-uncertainty/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Here's today's CWG piece on the weekend. I'm not very excited about it. http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2015/02/18/weekend-weather-system-trends-rainier-with-less-and-snow-still-large-uncertainty/ Good read, you have just washed my last drop of hope down the drain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Here's today's CWG piece on the weekend. I'm not very excited about it. http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2015/02/18/weekend-weather-system-trends-rainier-with-less-and-snow-still-large-uncertainty/ The weekend thing was dying last night. Today rigor mortis is setting in. I look forward to your write-up on next weeks storm MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Here's today's CWG piece on the weekend. I'm not very excited about it. http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2015/02/18/weekend-weather-system-trends-rainier-with-less-and-snow-still-large-uncertainty/ Excellent read! I shared too! You do a great job! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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